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  3. Utah State Aggies vs Boise St. Broncos
Sat 7:00 PM ET
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Aggies30
0-3
versus
Boise St. Broncos logo
Boise St.
Broncos62
2-1
Final
Team1234T
Utah State Aggies3147630
Boise St. Broncos14356762
NCAAF · Utah State Aggies at Boise St. Broncos

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Mountain West Conference Loses Five Teams to PAC-12, Including Boise State and Utah State

Game time: October 5, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Albertsons Stadium — Boise, ID

Article updated Oct 3, 6:07 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Mountain West Conference has suffered significant losses as five teams have defected to the PAC-12, including Boise State and Utah State. Boise State's move to the PAC-12

Game outlook

The Mountain West Conference has suffered significant losses as five teams have defected to the PAC-12, including Boise State and Utah State. Boise State's move to the PAC-12 was expected due to its football program's history and iconic blue field. Despite still playing under the Mountain West banner for their upcoming matchup, both Boise State and Utah State will soon join the PAC-12. Utah State faces a tough challenge against Boise State, led by running back Ashton Jeanty, who is having a standout season. Boise State has dominated the series between these teams, with Utah State's last victory dating back to 2015. Utah State is the underdog in this weekend's game against Boise State, with the betting line remaining at +27 for Utah State.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Aggies +1,400 | Broncos -4,000

Spread: Aggies +26.5 (-110) | Broncos -26.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 66.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Boise St. will win straight-up is 98%.

Utah State Aggies

Utah State football team is off to a disappointing 1-3 start, falling short of preseason expectations of contending for the Mountain West Conference championship. Tough losses to USC and Utah were understandable, but the defeat to Temple was particularly disheartening. With upcoming challenging matchups against No. 21 Boise State and No. 25 UNLV, the path to bowl eligibility seems steep. Despite their struggles, quarterback Spencer Petras and linebacker Jon Ross Maye express optimism and a commitment to improvement. Interim head coach Nate Dreiling is focused on maintaining team confidence and instilling belief that they can turn things around. Utah State's ranking of 124 reflects their struggles, particularly on defense where they are ranked 127, allowing an average of 36.25 points per game. The team is now looking ahead to conference play with determination to prove themselves and improve their season performance.

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Boise St. Broncos Analysis

Star running back Ashton Jeanty has made his Heisman Trophy intentions clear with a dominant start to the season, scoring 13 touchdowns in the first four games. His electrifying performances have put him in the conversation for college football's highest individual honor, breaking barriers for Group of Five players. Boise State's offense has been a major force, averaging 47.75 points per game, but their defense ranks lower at #103, giving up an average of 30.00 points per game. In their upcoming matchup against Utah State, who has had success against Boise State in recent matchups, all eyes will be on Jeanty as he continues his historic campaign for the Heisman.

Boise State Offense Dominates as They Prepare to Take on Struggling Utah State Defense

Boise State's offense has been exceptionally strong, averaging 47.8 points per game and accumulating a total of 191 points in their first four games—their best start since 2004. Ashton Jeanty has been a standout performer, with 845 rushing yards, a 10.3 yards per carry average, and 13 touchdowns. The offensive line has been impressive as well, only allowing two sacks so far this season. This has provided quarterback Maddux Madsen with ample time to lead the team effectively. With only two turnovers in four games, Boise State's ability to protect the ball while consistently scoring points has been a key factor in their success. Conversely, Utah State has struggled defensively, losing three consecutive games and ranking 111th in the nation in pass defense. Given these factors, Boise State, currently ranked No. 21 in the AP poll, should be able to secure a convincing victory over Utah State.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#UtahStateAggies#BoiseStBroncos

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Aggies vs Broncos archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Aggies vs Broncos matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Utah State Aggies+1,360 → +1,600Moved
  • Moneyline · Boise St. Broncos-4,000 → -4,750Moved
  • Spread · Utah State Aggies+26.5 (-110) → +28 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Boise St. Broncos-26.5 (-110) → -28 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over65.5 (-110) → 66.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under65.5 (-110) → 66.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Utah State Aggies
0-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Boise St. Broncos
2-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-10-03T22:07:54.462Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-11-18Boise St. Broncos 45 · Utah State Aggies 10
  • 2022-11-25Utah State Aggies 23 · Boise St. Broncos 42
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Boise St. Broncos defeated Utah State Aggies 62-30

Boise St. Broncos defeated Utah State Aggies 62-30 on October 5, 2024, a 32-point decision in the series. Boise St. Broncos' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 35-14. Against SportsJaw's recorded Utah State Aggies +28 (-110) spread, Boise St. Broncos covered, while the 92 combined points finished over the recorded total of 66.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MiamimikeSpread · Boise St. Broncos -26.5 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargasSpread · Boise St. Broncos -26.5 (-110)Win
  • KingjamesSpread · Utah State Aggies +26.5 (-110)Loss
  • JoeThomasTotal · Over 66 (-110)Win
  • Mr_BiggsMoneyline · Boise St. Broncos -4,250Win