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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons
Sat 12:00 PM ET
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NCAAF · Navy Midshipmen at Air Force Falcons

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Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: October 5, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Falcon Stadium — USAF Academy, CO

Article updated Oct 2, 6:02 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In a highly anticipated non-conference matchup, undefeated Navy will take on struggling Air Force at the Falcons' home turf. Navy, with a 4-0 record and a strong conference

Game outlook

In a highly anticipated non-conference matchup, undefeated Navy will take on struggling Air Force at the Falcons' home turf. Navy, with a 4-0 record and a strong conference performance, seeks revenge against Air Force after a loss last season. On the other hand, Air Force's 1-3 record and offensive struggles make them the underdogs in this game, with Navy favored by 10 points according to current betting lines.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Midshipmen -370 | Falcons +295

Spread: Midshipmen -10 (-110) | Falcons +10 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 35.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Navy will win straight-up is 79%.

Navy Midshipmen

Navy has been performing exceptionally well on offense this season, ranking fourth in the nation in scoring at 49 points per game and fifth in rushing yards per game. In their latest game, they secured their first road win against UAB with a convincing 41-18 victory. Quarterback Blake Horvath had an impressive performance, completing 9 out of 11 passes for 225 yards and two touchdowns, while also leading the team in rushing yards. The team's top receiver, Eli Heidenreich, had three catches for 108 yards and a touchdown. Navy has covered the spread in their last three games and Horvath has been a key player, leading the team in both passing and rushing yards. The team will face Air Force next, who have a defense ranked 80th against the pass and 70th against the run. Overall, Navy is currently ranked 10th in offense and 79th in defense with a 4-0 record for the season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Air Force Falcons Analysis

The Air Force Falcons have struggled offensively, ranking 132nd in the nation in points per game at 12.5. In their last game against Wyoming, they lost 31-19 and were outscored 24-6 in the second half. Quarterback John Busha has yet to throw a touchdown this season and the team has failed to cover the spread in their last three games. Despite ranking 57th in rushing yards per game, they are dead last in passing yards per game. The Falcons will face Navy, who has a strong defense, ranking 116th against the pass and 87th against the run. Overall, the Falcons have a power ranking of 90 and are 1-3 on the season.

Undefeated Navy Set to Dominate Struggling Air Force in Anticipated Matchup

The Navy team, currently undefeated, will face off against a struggling Air Force team that has suffered three consecutive losses. Air Force has struggled to score points, ranking third to last in the nation in points per game. In their most recent game, they were defeated by an underperforming Wyoming team. While both teams focus on the running game, Navy possesses a stronger offense, including an improved passing game in their last two matches. Air Force's defense will struggle to contain Navy's offensive prowess, resulting in a significant victory for the Midshipmen. Despite Air Force likely gaining some rushing yards, it will not be enough to overcome Navy's dominance. Based on these factors, it is recommended to take Navy at -10 for this game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NavyMidshipmen#AirForceFalcons

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Midshipmen vs Falcons archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Midshipmen vs Falcons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Navy Midshipmen-334 → -378Moved
  • Moneyline · Air Force Falcons+265 → +300Moved
  • Spread · Navy Midshipmen-8 (-110) → -10 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Air Force Falcons+8 (-110) → +10 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over36.5 (-110) → 37.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under36.5 (-110) → 37.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Navy Midshipmen
3-0 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Air Force Falcons
0-3 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-10-02T22:02:30.814Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-10-21Air Force Falcons 17 · Navy Midshipmen 6
  • 2022-10-01Navy Midshipmen 10 · Air Force Falcons 13
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Navy Midshipmen defeated Air Force Falcons 34-7

Navy Midshipmen defeated Air Force Falcons 34-7 on October 5, 2024, a 27-point decision in the series. Navy Midshipmen's strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Navy Midshipmen -10 (-110) spread, Navy Midshipmen covered, while the 41 combined points finished over the recorded total of 37.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AveragejoeSpread · Navy Midshipmen -8 (-110)Win
  • ThehitmanSpread · Air Force Falcons +10 (-110)Loss
  • AdrianMariucciTotal · Under 35.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpSpread · Air Force Falcons +10 (-110)Loss
  • 72dolphinsTotal · Over 37 (-110)Win
  • AliencreationSpread · Navy Midshipmen -9.75 (-110)Win