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  3. UAB Blazers vs South Florida Bulls
Sat 12:00 PM ET
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4-3
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South Florida Bulls logo
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South Florida Bulls01731030
NCAAF · UAB Blazers at South Florida Bulls

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UAB Blazers vs South Florida Bulls prediction and best bet for Oct. 31, 2026

Game time: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Raymond James Stadium — Tampa, FL

Article updated Oct 29, 10:21 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

South Florida will beat UAB, with a projected score of South Florida 23, UAB 17. The Bulls’ 50 tackles for loss create the strongest matchup concern for a Blazers offense missing center Adam Lepkowski. UAB’s outstanding pass defense should keep the game competitive, however, and neither the supplied 7.5-point spread nor the 42.5 total offers enough value for an official wager.

UAB Blazers vs South Florida Bulls prediction and best bet

South Florida gets the nod because its defensive disruption offers a convincing way to disrupt UAB’s offense. The Bulls rank 14th nationally with 50 tackles for loss, while the Blazers average 339.0 yards and 23.3 points per game. With Lepkowski unavailable, UAB’s protection and interior blocking deserve particular attention.

The counterweight is a UAB defense allowing just 316.6 yards per game. That makes asking South Florida to win by more than a touchdown less appealing than picking it to win outright. The forecast is South Florida 23, UAB 17, with low confidence. The best betting decision is Pass after evaluating the spread and total separately.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Kickoff: Saturday, October 31, 2026, noon ET, 11 a.m. CT.

Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida.

Broadcast: ESPNU.

Records: UAB Blazers 4-3; South Florida Bulls 4-2.

SportsJaw odds: UAB Blazers +7.5 (-110); South Florida Bulls -7.5 (-108). Moneyline: UAB Blazers +250; South Florida Bulls -300. Total: Over 43.5 (-108); Under 43.5 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 42.5 (-108); Under 42.5 (-110). Moneyline: UAB +250; South Florida -300.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

UAB Blazers outlook

UAB’s strongest argument is its pass defense. The Blazers lead the FBS at 126.0 passing yards allowed per game and have held all seven opponents below 200. Their total defense ranks first in the American and 31st nationally. Those numbers give UAB a credible route to staying close, although its 24.6 points allowed per game cautions against equating yardage prevention with consistently low scores.

The October 15 win over East Carolina required a dramatic finish. UAB won 30-17 in overtime after a 93-yard touchdown drive with 1:02 remaining and a successful two-point conversion. Ryder Burton connected with Rod Robinson II for the touchdown, and Delvon Gulley added an 80-yard interception-return touchdown in overtime. That scoring sequence matters when judging the offense: the final total included a defensive touchdown.

UAB also has useful specialists. Jonah Delange has made 17 of 19 field goals, and Oliver Straw averages 45.9 yards per punt. They could help turn stalled possessions into points or better field position. Cooper Young is expected to continue at center in Lepkowski’s absence. The Blazers still seek their first road victory of 2026, so translating their defensive strengths into an away win remains the challenge.

South Florida Bulls outlook

South Florida returns after beating Kent State 29-2 on October 17. That result followed conference defeats against Temple, 17-13, and UTSA, 31-24. The sequence shows why the Bulls deserve a measured forecast: their latest result was emphatic, but their two preceding games ended in losses. Their better overall record comes alongside a worse conference record than UAB’s.

The Bulls allow 325.1 total yards per game, broken down into 181.0 passing and 144.1 rushing yards. Their tackles for loss are especially relevant against a visiting offense missing its regular center. A negative play could push UAB away from manageable situations and make its next conversion harder. That is a plausible matchup advantage, rather than a guarantee that the Bulls will control every possession.

Offensively, South Florida has thrown no interceptions in 183 attempts through seven games. Protecting passes matters against a UAB team that just benefited from a decisive interception return. It does not guarantee turnover-free football, however. On defense, the Bulls have recovered five fumbles and intercepted two passes, with both interceptions coming in the opener. Their forecasted advantage rests more on disrupting drives than on assuming a takeaway surge.

Key matchup factors

The central tension is South Florida’s ability to create negative plays against UAB’s ability to limit passing yardage. Neither strength guarantees touchdowns, and both could make a stalled drive costly. With both teams returning from byes, rest supplies no obvious reason to favor one side.

SportsJaw’s October 29 update lists UAB +7.5 (-108) as the community spread leader at 50%, an evenly divided share. Over 42.5 (-108) has 100% community support; qualified handicapper picks show the same percentages. Separately, Cleatz’s 9:26 a.m. EDT snapshot gives UAB 61% of spread tickets and 69% of handle. Those are betting preferences and money shares, not win probabilities or proof of value.

UAB Blazers vs South Florida Bulls spread prediction

A six-point South Florida win would put UAB +7.5 (-108) on the winning side of the spread. UAB’s pass defense and accurate field-goal kicking make that scenario credible. The extra half-point beyond seven also matters if the game finishes with a touchdown separating the teams.

Still, the projected margin sits only 1.5 points inside UAB’s allowance. Its missing center and South Florida’s tackles for loss leave meaningful room for a wider result. Spread recommendation: Pass on UAB +7.5 (-108) and South Florida -7.5 (-110).

UAB Blazers vs South Florida Bulls total prediction

The projected 40 points lean below 42.5, with UAB’s pass defense and South Florida’s defensive disruption supplying the scoring argument. Neither requires a turnover to end a possession, which makes a restrained scoring forecast reasonable.

The Under still has only 2.5 points of room against that projection. UAB allows 24.6 points per game, and its latest victory illustrates how a defensive touchdown and overtime can change a total. Community enthusiasm for the Over offers no independent scoring edge. Total recommendation: Pass on Under 42.5 (-110) and Over 42.5 (-108).

UAB Blazers vs South Florida Bulls Projected Score & Betting Picks

The game forecast is South Florida 23, UAB 17. South Florida’s disruptive defense and interception-free passing record give it the narrow preference, particularly against an offense adjusting at center. The expectation is that the Bulls create enough difficult situations for UAB to win without requiring a string of takeaways.

UAB’s nationally leading pass defense is the strongest counterargument. If it limits South Florida’s passing production again, the Blazers could keep the result within one possession or win outright. Confidence is low because that resistance directly challenges the favorite’s route to victory. The six-point margin and 40-point total favor neither supplied market strongly enough. The single official SportsJaw wager is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Blazers17

Bulls23

Projected winner South Florida BullsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on UAB +7.5 (-108) and South Florida -7.5 (-110).

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • UAB AthleticsBlazers Return From Bye for American Conference Road Test at South Florida
  • USF AthleticsUSF Football Begins Stretch Run vs. UAB on Halloween
  • CleatzCollege Football Betting Splits Today: Public Bets & Money %
#UABBlazers#SouthFloridaBulls

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Blazers vs Bulls game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Blazers vs Bulls matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UAB Blazers+250 → +250Unchanged
  • Moneyline · South Florida Bulls-300 → -300Unchanged
  • Spread · UAB Blazers+7.5 (-110) → +7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · South Florida Bulls-7.5 (-110) → -7.5 (-108)Moved
  • Total · Over41.5 (-110) → 43.5 (-108)Moved
  • Total · Under41.5 (-110) → 43.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

UAB Blazers
4-3 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
South Florida Bulls
4-2 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-26T13:53:56.943Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-11-22South Florida Bulls 48 · UAB Blazers 18
  • 2024-10-19UAB Blazers 25 · South Florida Bulls 35
Final result

Matchup pick recap

South Florida Bulls defeated UAB Blazers 30-10

South Florida Bulls defeated UAB Blazers 30-10 on October 31, 2026, a 20-point decision in the series. South Florida Bulls' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 17-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded UAB Blazers +7.5 (-110) spread, South Florida Bulls covered, while the 40 combined points finished under the recorded total of 43.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerSouth Florida BullsWin
  • SpreadPass on UAB +7.5 (-108) and South Florida -7.5 (-110).Pass
  • TotalPass on Under 42.5 (-110) and Over 42.5 (-108).Pass

Tipster picks

  • CodexSpread · South Florida Bulls -7.5 (-109)Win
  • TphamSpread · South Florida Bulls -7.5 (-110)Win
  • DerekFisherTotal · Under 42.5 (-108)Win
  • Fisher49Total · Over 42.5 (-108)Loss
  • UncledavidSpread · UAB Blazers +7.5 (-108)Loss
  • ThetotalerTotal · Under 42.5 (-108)Win
  • JtphamSpread · South Florida Bulls -7.5 (-110)Win
  • Barry713Spread · South Florida Bulls +7.5 (-108)Win
  • Hustle$Spread · UAB Blazers +7.5 (-108)Loss