Mississippi St. Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns Predictions October 31, 2026
Texas will beat Mississippi State, 31-17, with its stronger defensive numbers and red-zone efficiency providing the clearest matchup advantages. The Bulldogs’ offensive production makes Mississippi State +20.5 (-110) the best wager at the supplied SportsJaw price. Texas is the pick to win, but covering that spread requires considerably more separation. The total of 50.5 is a Pass.
Mississippi St. Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns prediction and best bet
Texas gets the winning forecast because its defensive profile offers the strongest contrast between these teams. The Associated Press matchup report lists the Longhorns allowing 19.1 points per game, compared with Mississippi State’s 27.7. Texas also converted 92.9% of its red-zone opportunities, a useful advantage against a defense allowing opponents to score on 84.0% of those trips.
The best bet is the point spread: Mississippi State +20.5 (-110). The Bulldogs’ reported averages of 439.7 yards and 30.0 points give them a credible scoring path despite the difficult assignment. Their defensive weaknesses favor Texas outright, but their offensive production makes taking more than three touchdowns attractive. The forecast is Texas 31, Mississippi State 17.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Mississippi St. Bulldogs at Texas Longhorns, 2026 college football season. Saturday, October 31, at 6:30 p.m. CT.
Venue: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas. Broadcast: ESPN.
Mississippi State record: 4-3 overall, 2-3 SEC after its October 24 loss to Oklahoma.
SportsJaw odds: Mississippi St. Bulldogs +20.5 (-110); Texas Longhorns -20.5 (-110). Moneyline: Mississippi St. Bulldogs +850; Texas Longhorns -1,450. Total: Over 50.5 (-112); Under 50.5 (-108).