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  3. Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi Rebels
Sat 12:45 PM ET
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Mississippi Rebels014102145
NCAAF · Auburn Tigers at Mississippi Rebels

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Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi Rebels prediction: Rebels win, Tigers cover

Game time: October 31, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET

Venue: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium — Oxford, MS

Article updated Oct 31, 8:49 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Mississippi will beat Auburn, Mississippi Rebels 31, Auburn Tigers 24, with Trinidad Chambliss’s passing production and Deuce Alexander’s consistent receiving output supplying the strongest advantage. Byrum Brown’s running threat against a vulnerable Ole Miss rush defense makes Auburn Tigers +11.5 (-110) an actionable spread wager. The total of 57.5 is a Pass, despite a projection slightly below that number.

Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi Rebels prediction and best bet

Mississippi has the stronger case to win this game, but Auburn has the more attractive spread. Chambliss enters with 1,926 passing yards and 16 passing touchdowns, giving the Rebels a productive quarterback to challenge an Auburn defense allowing 396.9 yards per game. Alexander’s steady receiving production strengthens that advantage.

The best bet is Auburn Tigers +11.5 (-110). Brown leads Auburn in rushing, and the Tigers’ own matchup report identifies Ole Miss as the SEC’s lowest-rated rush defense. That is a specific avenue for Auburn to compete. Mississippi’s injuries add uncertainty to the favorite’s margin, while Auburn’s October 17 victory at Georgia supplies a recent example of this team winning a difficult road game.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Auburn at No. 12 Mississippi, 2026 college football season, Saturday, October 31. Kickoff: 11:45 a.m. CT.

Venue: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi. Broadcast: SEC Network.

Records: Auburn Tigers 4-3; Mississippi Rebels 4-2.

SportsJaw odds: Auburn Tigers +10.5 (-110); Mississippi Rebels -10.5 (-110). Moneyline: Auburn Tigers +320; Mississippi Rebels -400. Total: Over 58.5 (-108); Under 58.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 57.5 (-111); Under 57.5 (-105). The spread, rather than either moneyline or total, supplies the official wager.

Auburn Tigers outlook

Brown gives Auburn two ways to challenge Mississippi. He has 1,365 passing yards and eight touchdown passes, alongside a team-leading 480 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns. His running production is particularly relevant against the rush defense described in Auburn’s October 28 report as the SEC’s lowest rated. The Tigers need that matchup to produce manageable passing situations.

Auburn averages 25.4 points and 376.6 yards through seven games. Keshaun Singleton leads the receiving group with 36 catches and 431 yards, giving Brown an established option alongside his own rushing threat. The offense struggled to run against LSU on October 24, according to Auburn’s report, although that same report identifies LSU as the league’s leading rush defense.

First-year coach Alex Golesh’s team faces its fourth consecutive ranked opponent. The win at Georgia shows its competitive potential, but allowing 24.1 points and 396.9 yards per game leaves a substantial challenge against Chambliss. Elijah Melendez leads Auburn with 57 tackles and four sacks.

The October 29 availability report lists offensive lineman Tai Buster and tight end Hunter Herring out, with receiver Jeremiah Koger questionable. Those absences complicate an offensive plan that needs contributions beyond Brown.

Mississippi Rebels outlook

Chambliss is the main reason to forecast a Mississippi victory. His 1,926 passing yards rank third in the SEC, while his 16 touchdown passes are tied for third. Auburn defensive coordinator DJ Durkin described him as accurate from the pocket and on the move, with the ability to threaten defenses as a runner while still looking downfield.

Alexander supplies a consistent receiving presence. He averages 87.7 receiving yards per game, has recorded at least five receptions in six of seven games and leads Ole Miss receivers with five touchdowns. That repeated production makes him a central concern for an Auburn defense already allowing substantial yardage.

The October 29 injury report complicates the outlook. Running back Kewan Lacy is out after dislocating his left shoulder against Texas on October 24. Starting safety Edwin Joseph is out for a third consecutive week following an ankle sprain. Cornerbacks Cedrick Beavers and Iverson McCoy are also out, while Jalyn Crawford is questionable.

Starting tackle Terez Davis, offensive lineman Connor Howes and linebacker Luke Ferrelli are listed as probable. Keaton Thomas leads the defense with 45 tackles. Mississippi has the passing personnel to win, but its rush-defense concern is a meaningful obstacle to covering 11.5 points.

Key matchup factors

The decisive question is whether Mississippi’s passing advantage outweighs Auburn’s opportunity on the ground by enough to create separation. Chambliss can test a defense conceding 396.9 yards per game, while Brown offers Auburn a way to attack the opponent’s identified weakness without matching Mississippi pass for pass.

Availability adds uncertainty, especially with Lacy and Joseph out. Those absences matter, but their exact effect on scoring or margin is difficult to quantify.

SportsJaw’s community leader was Over 57.5 (-115), updated October 31 at 00:30 UTC. That is a member preference, not a win probability. The current supplied Over price is 57.5 (-111), distinct from the community entry.

Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi Rebels spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Auburn Tigers +11.5 (-110). Brown’s rushing production against Mississippi’s described rush-defense weakness is the strongest reason to take the points. Auburn’s Georgia road win also argues against treating this matchup as an automatic comfortable victory for the favorite.

The counterargument is Mississippi’s passing offense against Auburn’s defensive yardage allowance. That supports the Rebels outright and could produce a wider margin if Auburn struggles to answer. Still, the forecast of Mississippi Rebels 31, Auburn Tigers 24 leaves enough room below 11.5 to favor the Tigers at the supplied spread.

Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi Rebels total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 57.5 (-111) and Under 57.5 (-105). The projected 55 points sit below the line, but that small difference is not enough to make the Under a wager.

Chambliss and Alexander offer a credible scoring threat, and Brown’s matchup could help Auburn contribute. Lacy’s absence introduces uncertainty without guaranteeing lower scoring. There are no supported pace or possession figures here to justify expecting a slow game. SportsJaw’s community preference for the Over is another viewpoint, but it does not supply the missing scoring analysis.

Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi Rebels Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Mississippi Rebels 31, Auburn Tigers 24. Mississippi’s passing production supplies the strongest reason to select the home team, with Alexander giving Chambliss a consistently productive receiver against a defense allowing nearly 397 yards per game.

Brown is the strongest counterargument. His team-leading rushing output aligns with Mississippi’s identified defensive weakness, giving Auburn a plausible route to an upset as well as a cover. That keeps confidence at medium rather than high.

The single official SportsJaw wager is the spread, Auburn Tigers +11.5 (-110). Mississippi remains the projected winner. The total is a Pass because the modest gap between 55 projected points and 57.5 lacks a sufficiently strong supporting scoring case.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Tigers24

Rebels31

Projected winner Mississippi RebelsConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Spread: Auburn Tigers +11.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Ole Miss AthleticsFootball vs. Auburn: First Look
  • Auburn Tigers AthleticsThe Opening Drive: Auburn at No. 12 Ole Miss
  • Mississippi Clarion Ledger via AOLOle Miss football vs Auburn injury report: Latest update on Luke Ferrelli, Terez Davis
#AuburnTigers#MississippiRebels

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Tigers vs Rebels game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Tigers vs Rebels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Auburn Tigers+304 → +320Moved
  • Moneyline · Mississippi Rebels-304 → -400Moved
  • Spread · Auburn Tigers+10.5 (-110) → +10.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Mississippi Rebels-10.5 (-110) → -10.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over53.5 (-110) → 58.5 (-108)Moved
  • Total · Under53.5 (-110) → 58.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Auburn Tigers
4-3 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Mississippi Rebels
4-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-26T02:52:04.710Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The best bet is Auburn Tigers +11.5 (-110). Brown leads Auburn in rushing, and the Tigers’ own matchup report identifies Ole Miss as the SEC’s lowest-rated rush defense. That is a specific avenue for Auburn to compete. Mississippi’s injuries add uncertainty to the favorite’s margin, while Auburn’s October 17 victory at Georgia supplies a recent example of this team winning a difficult road game.

The October 29 availability report lists offensive lineman Tai Buster and tight end Hunter Herring out, with receiver Jeremiah Koger questionable. Those absences complicate an offensive plan that needs contributions beyond Brown.

The October 29 injury report complicates the outlook. Running back Kewan Lacy is out after dislocating his left shoulder against Texas on October 24. Starting safety Edwin Joseph is out for a third consecutive week following an ankle sprain. Cornerbacks Cedrick Beavers and Iverson McCoy are also out, while Jalyn Crawford is questionable.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Mississippi Rebels defeated Auburn Tigers 45-15

Mississippi Rebels defeated Auburn Tigers 45-15 on October 31, 2026, a 30-point decision in the series. Mississippi Rebels' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Auburn Tigers +10.5 (-110) spread, Mississippi Rebels covered, while the 60 combined points finished over the recorded total of 58.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerMississippi RebelsWin
  • SpreadSpread: Auburn Tigers +11.5 (-110)Loss
  • TotalPass on Over 57.5 (-111) and Under 57.5 (-105)Pass

Tipster picks

  • JtmcentireTotal · Over 57.5 (-109)Win
  • CodexSpread · Auburn Tigers +10.5 (-112)Loss