Baylor Bears vs Arizona St. Sun Devils Predictions October 3, 2026
Arizona State will beat Baylor, Arizona State 24, Baylor 20, with its defensive efficiency providing the strongest reason to favor the home team. Baylor’s four-game run of holding opponents below 20 points makes the Bears a difficult opponent to separate from. Under 49 (-110) is the strongest wager at the supplied price; neither side offers a clear spread edge.
Baylor Bears vs Arizona St. Sun Devils prediction and best bet
Arizona State gets the winner selection behind a defense allowing 4.68 yards per play through three games. Baylor’s first true road appearance of 2026 adds another challenge for the visitors, although the Bears’ defensive results suggest a close finish. The forecast is Arizona State 24, Baylor 20.
The best bet is Under 49 (-110). Arizona State’s 38.0-point scoring average needs context: it falls to 22.0 against FBS opponents. Baylor has held all four opponents below 20 points, while the Sun Devils have limited opposing third- and fourth-down conversions to 28.3%. Those results support a restrained scoring forecast, with enough uncertainty about the winning margin to pass on the spread.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Time: Saturday, October 3, 2026, at 7:30 p.m. Arizona time, 9:30 p.m. Central, according to both teams’ official previews.
Venue: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Arizona. Broadcast: ESPN.
Records: Baylor is 3-1 with three consecutive wins. Arizona State is 2-1. Both are 1-0 in Big 12 play.
SportsJaw odds: Arizona State -4 (-105), Baylor +4 (-110). Moneyline: Arizona State -180, Baylor +155. Total: Over 49 (-110) or Under 49 (-110). This is a 2026 college football matchup.