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  3. Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals
Sat 3:30 PM ET
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NCAAF · Duke Blue Devils at Louisville Cardinals

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Duke and Louisville Face Off in Saturday Showdown For Conference Lead

Game time: October 28, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Cardinal Stadium — Louisville, KY

Article updated Oct 22, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The game total is 46.5 total points. Rising to a Saturday afternoon conference showdown at the L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Duke (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS, 3-3-1 O/U) and

Game outlook

The game total is 46.5 total points. Rising to a Saturday afternoon conference showdown at the L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Duke (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS, 3-3-1 O/U) and Louisville (6-1 SU, 3-3-1 ATS, 3-3-1 O/U) face-off with the Cardinals opening as the 4.5-point favorite. Both teams bring their respective records to the field with Duke 2-1 in conference play and Louisville 3-1, coming off a bye last week. There are several injury reports involving players from both teams. Kickoff is set for 3:30pm ET.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/28/2023 @ 3:30pm EST

Where: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium Stadium Blue Devils vs Cardinals Betting Odds Moneyline: Blue Devils +162 | Cardinals -190

Spread: Blue Devils +4 (-110) | Cardinals -4 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 46 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Louisville will win straight-up is 66%.

Duke Blue Devils

Duke were not able to withstand the 21-0 scoring run in the 4th quarter by Florida State in their game last Saturday. The Blue Devils had led 20-17 at the half, however their QB Riley Leonard was injured in the 3rd quarter and they failed to score a single point in the 2nd half. Duke has the 19th-ranked rushing attack which is led by senior RB Jordan Waters and junior RB Jaquez Moore, however their passing attack is only ranked 115th with Leonard's status for the next game uncertain. The defense ranks 5th in the nation in allowing an average of 9.83 points per game and are 5-2 (4-3 ATS) this season.

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Louisville Cardinals Analysis

In their recent game against Pittsburgh, Louisville had a 21-14 lead at halftime, but ultimately lost 38-21. The Cardinals outgained Pitt 430-288 and won the time of possession battle, but 3 turnovers cost them the game. Louisville is led by quarterback Jack Plummer, who has passed for 1,901 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions this season. His top recipients are Jamari Thrash (39 receptions for 639 yards and 6 TDs) and Chris Bell (11 receptions for 223 yards and 2 TDs), while Jawhar Jordan (89 carries for 661 yards and 8 TDs) leads their rushing attack. After their loss to Pittsburgh, Louisville faces a bye week and the question is if they will bounce back after the break.

Duke Favored Heading Into Matchup With Louisville Despite Recent Defeats

Duke has suffered two defeats in its last three games, but given that they were against Notre Dame and Florida State, there is no need to panic yet. Louisville, meanwhile, faced a 2-5 Pitt team and came away empty-handed, an unwelcome result after their bye week. The Duke secondary, which ranks 17th in passing yards allowed, has faced two capable QBs in their last three games, and should be ready for Louisville. Additionally, their ground game is strong, averaging 197.4 rush yards/game. The Cardinals' top rusher Jordan is dealing with a hamstring injury but if he plays, his production may be limited. Taking this into consideration, Duke looks well-positioned to at least cover the 4.5-point spread.

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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Blue Devils vs Cardinals archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Blue Devils vs Cardinals matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Duke Blue Devils+148 → +169Moved
  • Moneyline · Louisville Cardinals-182 → -200Moved
  • Spread · Duke Blue Devils+4 (-110) → +4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Louisville Cardinals-4 (-110) → -4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over47 (-110) → 47 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under47 (-110) → 47 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Duke Blue Devils
4-2 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Louisville Cardinals
5-1 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-22T22:36:15.826Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The game total is 46.5 total points. Rising to a Saturday afternoon conference showdown at the L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Duke (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS, 3-3-1 O/U) and Louisville (6-1 SU, 3-3-1 ATS, 3-3-1 O/U) face-off with the Cardinals opening as the 4.5-point favorite. Both teams bring their respective records to the field with Duke 2-1 in conference play and Louisville 3-1, coming off a bye last week. There are several injury reports involving players from both teams. Kickoff is set for 3:30pm ET.

Duke were not able to withstand the 21-0 scoring run in the 4th quarter by Florida State in their game last Saturday. The Blue Devils had led 20-17 at the half, however their QB Riley Leonard was injured in the 3rd quarter and they failed to score a single point in the 2nd half. Duke has the 19th-ranked rushing attack which is led by senior RB Jordan Waters and junior RB Jaquez Moore, however their passing attack is only ranked 115th with Leonard's status for the next game uncertain. The defense ranks 5th in the nation in allowing an average of 9.83 points per game and are 5-2 (4-3 ATS) this season.

Duke has suffered two defeats in its last three games, but given that they were against Notre Dame and Florida State, there is no need to panic yet. Louisville, meanwhile, faced a 2-5 Pitt team and came away empty-handed, an unwelcome result after their bye week. The Duke secondary, which ranks 17th in passing yards allowed, has faced two capable QBs in their last three games, and should be ready for Louisville. Additionally, their ground game is strong, averaging 197.4 rush yards/game. The Cardinals' top rusher Jordan is dealing with a hamstring injury but if he plays, his production may be limited. Taking this into consideration, Duke looks well-positioned to at least cover the 4.5-point spread.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2021-11-18Louisville Cardinals 62 · Duke Blue Devils 22
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Louisville Cardinals defeated Duke Blue Devils 23-0

Louisville Cardinals defeated Duke Blue Devils 23-0 on October 28, 2023, a 23-point decision in the series. Louisville Cardinals' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Duke Blue Devils +4.5 (-110) spread, Louisville Cardinals covered, while the 23 combined points finished under the recorded total of 47.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BadmanSpread · Louisville Cardinals +4 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsTotal · Under 46.5 (-110)Win
  • Barry713Spread · Duke Blue Devils +4 (-110)Loss
  • PeytoncTotal · Under 46.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Duke Blue Devils +6 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Duke Blue Devils +6 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 45.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Duke Blue Devils +6 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 45.5 (-110)Loss
  • 72dolphinsTotal · Under 45.5 (-110)Win
  • ryry663Moneyline · Duke Blue Devils +180Loss
  • ryry663Spread · Duke Blue Devils +5.5 (-110)
Loss