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  3. Iowa St. Cyclones vs Baylor Bears
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Iowa St. Cyclones logo
Iowa St.
Cyclones30
3-3
versus
Baylor Bears logo
Baylor
Bears18
2-4
Final
Team1234T
Iowa St. Cyclones71010330
Baylor Bears066618
NCAAF · Iowa St. Cyclones at Baylor Bears

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Iowa State vs Baylor: Bears Look to Surprise Cyclones with QB Shapen's Game-Changing Ability

Game time: October 28, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: McLane Stadium — Waco, TX

Article updated Oct 22, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Saturday afternoon, the Iowa State Cyclones (4-3 SU, 3-1 Big 12) will travel to McLane Stadium to face the Baylor Bears (3-4 SU, 2-2 Big 12) in a Big 12 conference

Game outlook

On Saturday afternoon, the Iowa State Cyclones (4-3 SU, 3-1 Big 12) will travel to McLane Stadium to face the Baylor Bears (3-4 SU, 2-2 Big 12) in a Big 12 conference matchup. Both teams are coming off wins against Cincinnati, with Iowa State delivering a 30-10 victory and Baylor prevailing 32-29. The Bears are the betting favorite opening at -1.75, with the current line being Iowa St -2.5. Kickoff is set for 3:30 EST.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/28/2023 @ 3:30pm EST

Where: McLane Stadium Stadium Cyclones vs Bears Betting Odds Moneyline: Cyclones -135 | Bears +115

Spread: Cyclones -2.5 (-110) | Bears +2.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Baylor will win straight-up is 53%.

Iowa St. Cyclones

Quarterback Rocco Becht has had mixed results with his passing game. After two games where he completed fewer than 58% of his passes for less than 200 yards, Becht improved with two touchdowns and a season-high 241 yards against Cincinnati. The defense has been one of the Big 12's strongest teams with a conference-low 198.1 passing yards allowed and 12 sacks. Linebacker Jeremiah Cooper leads the nation with five interceptions and 33 tackles in total. The Cyclones have had a bye week which allowed them to regain confidence and prepare for Baylor feeling healthy.

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Baylor Bears Analysis

Behind the leadership of Junior QB Blake Shapen, the Bears have been able to sneak out two conference wins with a combined margin of four points, averaging 400.3 total yards and 296 passing yards per game. Defensively, they have allowed 298.4 total yards per game and 199.3 passing yards (third best in the conference). Linebacker Matt Jones leads the team in tackles for the season with 50.

Baylor Bears Look to Upset Iowa State with Difference Maker QB Shapen

Baylor has earned two wins over Iowa State over the last four meetings and have gone 5-0 ATS as underdogs. They have put up 31 points in each of the last three matchups and hold a 7-3 SU record against the Cyclones in the last ten. QB Shapen has proven to be a difference maker, as evidenced by his 73.1 completion percentage, 238 yard performance and 3 passing TDs against them last year. Shapen was also able to move the ball against UCF and Tx Tech's pass defense rankings of second and fourth in the Conference, respectively. His skill and potential to put up a good performance against Iowa State's top ranked pass defense make the Bears worth a bet.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#IowaStCyclones#BaylorBears

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cyclones vs Bears archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Cyclones vs Bears matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Iowa St. Cyclones+100 → -155Moved
  • Moneyline · Baylor Bears-121 → +134Moved
  • Spread · Iowa St. Cyclones+1.75 (-110) → -3 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Baylor Bears-1.75 (-110) → +3 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over47 (-110) → 47 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under47 (-110) → 47 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Iowa St. Cyclones
3-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Baylor Bears
2-4 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-22T22:36:27.791Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-09-24Baylor Bears 31 · Iowa St. Cyclones 24
  • 2021-09-25Iowa St. Cyclones 29 · Baylor Bears 31
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Iowa St. Cyclones defeated Baylor Bears 30-18

Iowa St. Cyclones defeated Baylor Bears 30-18 on October 28, 2023, a 12-point decision in the series. Iowa St. Cyclones' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Iowa St. Cyclones -3 (-110) spread, Iowa St. Cyclones covered, while the 48 combined points finished over the recorded total of 47.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Roderick806Spread · Baylor Bears +1 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Baylor Bears +3 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Iowa St. Cyclones -3 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 47 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Iowa St. Cyclones -3 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 47 (-110)Win