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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Texas Tech Red Raiders vs TCU Horned Frogs
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Texas Tech Red Raiders logo
Texas Tech
Red Raiders34
4-2
versus
TCU Horned Frogs logo
TCU
Horned Frogs35
3-3
Final
Team1234T
Texas Tech Red Raiders31414334
TCU Horned Frogs14071435
NCAAF · Texas Tech Red Raiders at TCU Horned Frogs

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Texas Tech Ready to Upset TCU as Seven-Point Underdog in Big 12 Showdown

Game time: October 26, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium — Fort Worth, TX

Article updated Oct 24, 6:08 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The upcoming Big 12 football matchup between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the TCU Horned Frogs is set to be a thrilling game. With Tech holding a narrow lead in the

Game outlook

The upcoming Big 12 football matchup between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the TCU Horned Frogs is set to be a thrilling game. With Tech holding a narrow lead in the head-to-head series, Saturday's game at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX promises to be competitive. TCU opens as the favorite with a current line of TCU -6.5. Fans can tune in at 3:30 ET to see how this exciting game unfolds.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Raiders +210 | Horned Frogs -250

Spread: Red Raiders +6.5 (-110) | Horned Frogs -6.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 67 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that TCU will win straight-up is 71%.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Joey McGuire is in his third season as head coach of the Texas Tech Red Raiders football team, boasting a 4-2 record so far. The team is currently 5-2 and in contention for the Big 12 title game, with losses to Washington State and Baylor. Behren Morton has been a standout at quarterback, with Josh Kelly as a top receiver and Tahj Brooks leading the rushing attack. The defense has been the team's weakness, allowing an average of 33.7 points and 441.8 yards per game. Texas Tech is ranked 18th in offense, 125th in defense, and has a power ranking of 68 with a 4-2 record. Oddsmakers have priced them at +1,600 to win the Big 12 title game.

TCU Horned Frogs Analysis

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The TCU Horned Frogs have had a mixed start to the season, currently holding a 3-3 record. Despite notable wins over Stanford, Kansas, and Utah, they have also suffered losses to UCF, SMU, and Houston. Quarterback Josh Hoover has been a standout performer, throwing for 2,270 yards and 16 touchdowns. The offense is averaging 32.4 points per game, ranking 41st in the country. However, the defense has been a weak point, allowing 32.0 points per game and forcing only 0.7 takeaways per contest. With no ranked opponents left on their schedule, TCU has the potential to make a push for a bowl game. Their upcoming matchup with Texas Tech, who has had recent success against TCU, will be one to watch.

Upcoming College Football Game Preview: Texas Tech Poised to Upset TCU as Seven-Point Underdog

I am not inclined to favor TCU as they are currently in a strong position as a seven-point favorite for this upcoming game. Although they are coming off a notable 13-7 victory over Utah on the road, it must be noted that Utah's offensive performance has been lacking this season. Facing a formidable challenge in Fort Worth this Saturday, TCU may encounter difficulties. Consequently, my preference is to support Texas Tech and take the points in this match. An important factor to consider is turnover rate, which often determines the success of a team. TCU ranks 132nd out of 134 FBS teams in turnover margin per game (-1.8), indicating a significant weakness. In contrast, Texas Tech's quarterback, Behren Morton, has excelled in safeguarding the ball with a 17/3 TD/INT ratio. Additionally, Morton led his team to victory against TCU last year, enhancing the likelihood of a favorable outcome. While the Red Raiders have the potential to emerge victorious, I opt for a cautious approach by selecting the points.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TexasTechRedRaiders#TCUHornedFrogs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Red Raiders vs Horned Frogs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Red Raiders vs Horned Frogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas Tech Red Raiders+187 → +165Moved
  • Moneyline · TCU Horned Frogs-228 → -195Moved
  • Spread · Texas Tech Red Raiders+5.5 (-110) → +5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · TCU Horned Frogs-5.5 (-110) → -5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over67.5 (-110) → 66.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under67.5 (-110) → 66.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas Tech Red Raiders
4-2 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
TCU Horned Frogs
3-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-10-24T22:08:56.103Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-11-02TCU Horned Frogs 28 · Texas Tech Red Raiders 35
  • 2022-11-05Texas Tech Red Raiders 24 · TCU Horned Frogs 34
Final result

Matchup pick recap

TCU Horned Frogs defeated Texas Tech Red Raiders 35-34

TCU Horned Frogs defeated Texas Tech Red Raiders 35-34 on October 26, 2024, a 1-point decision in the series. TCU Horned Frogs' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Texas Tech Red Raiders +5 (-110) spread, Texas Tech Red Raiders covered, while the 69 combined points finished over the recorded total of 66.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • WarbuczSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -5.5 (-110)Loss
  • MackintoshSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders +5.5 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -5.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 67 (-110)Win
  • Fisher49Spread · TCU Horned Frogs -6 (-110)Loss
  • MookiebetsSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders +6.5 (-110)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • AliencreationTotal · Over 66.5 (-110)Win
  • AliencreationSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders +6.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders +6 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 65.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders +6 (-110)Win