NCAAF Matchups
Arkansas Razorbacks vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs Prediction

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ARK
MIS.ST
Open
Side
-6.5
+6.5
+7.5
Moneyline
-230
+195
+230
Total
O 58
U 58
58

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Arkansas Razorbacks vs
Mississippi St. BulldogsPredictions & Preview

Arkansas Razorbacks Set to Face Mississippi State Bulldogs in Conference Matchup, Favored to Win by 7 Points

The Arkansas Razorbacks (4-3) will travel to Athens, GA to face the struggling Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-6) in a conference matchup at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. After a tough loss to LSU, the Razorbacks will look to bounce back against the Bulldogs, who are on a six-game losing streak. In their prior meeting, the Bulldogs secured a close victory over the Razorbacks. Arkansas is favored to win by 7 points according to current betting lines. Kickoff is set for 12:45 PM Eastern Time.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Razorbacks -275 | Bulldogs +225
  • Spread: Razorbacks -7 (-110) | Bulldogs +7 (-110)
  • Total: Over/Under 58 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Arkansas will win straight-up is 73%.

Arkansas vs Mississippi St. Stats

Razorbacks vs Bulldogs prediction infographic
View stats & injuries for Razorbacks vs Bulldogs

Arkansas Razorbacks

The Razorbacks suffered a 34-10 loss to the #8 LSU Tigers, with quarterback Taylen Green completing 21 out of 31 passes for 239 yards and a touchdown. The rushing attack was ineffective, gaining only 38 yards on 19 carries with no scores. Senior Andrew Armstrong led all receivers with seven receptions for 94 yards and a touchdown. The offense has struggled in recent games, failing to score more than 20 points. Coach Sam Pittman acknowledged breakdowns in the second half. Arkansas is ranked 39th in offense, 29th in defense, and has a power ranking of 87 with a 4-3 record this season.

Mississippi St. Bulldogs Analysis

The Bulldogs suffered their sixth consecutive loss, falling to the #14 Texas A&M Aggies 34-24 at home. Despite keeping the game close in the first half, the A&M defense proved to be too much for Mississippi State, recording three sacks and 11 tackles for loss. Freshman QB Michael Van Buren Jr. had a strong performance with 242 passing yards and three touchdowns, while Davon Booth led rushers with 79 yards. Head coach Jeff Lebby praised Van Buren's progress and potential. Mississippi State's defense has struggled recently, allowing 34 or more points in five straight games. Overall, the Bulldogs have a power ranking of 120 and are ranked #73 for offense, scoring an average of 28 points per game, and #119 for defense, giving up an average of 33.17 points per game. Mississippi State has a 1-6 record (4-3 ATS) and has a historical disadvantage against Arkansas in their last three matchups.

Arkansas Razorbacks Favored to Win Big Against Struggling Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Arkansas Razorbacks have demonstrated a strong performance against the spread in away games this season, winning all four matchups. They have also shown success in covering the spread in seven of their last eight games away or at neutral sites dating back to the previous year. With a 5-2 record ATS overall in 2024 and winning three of their last four games, the Razorbacks are well-positioned for success. On the other hand, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have struggled to cover the spread at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, losing two of their last three games. Their defense has shown vulnerability, allowing 30 or more points in every game this season and ranking poorly in various statistical categories. Based on offensive prowess and statistical trends, Arkansas appears to have a significant advantage in this matchup, making them the favorable pick to win comfortably on the road. Choose Arkansas for the win.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] [ 4 ] [ 5 ] [ 6 ] [ 7 ]

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