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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Georgia State Panthers vs Georgia Southern Eagles
Thu 7:30 PM ET
Georgia State Panthers logo
Georgia State
Panthers27
5-1
versus
Georgia Southern Eagles logo
Georgia Southern
Eagles44
4-2
Final
Team1234T
Georgia State Panthers7014627
Georgia Southern Eagles101771044
NCAAF · Georgia State Panthers at Georgia Southern Eagles

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Eagles vs Panthers Showdown: 3rd Down Defense Could Decide the Outcome

Game time: October 26, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Allen E. Paulson Stadium — Statesboro, GA

Article updated Oct 22, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Eagles are 5-2 overall and 3-1 in conference, while the Panthers are 6-1, and 4-0 in conference. The Eagles and Panthers will face off Thursday night, with kick off set

Game outlook

The Eagles are 5-2 overall and 3-1 in conference, while the Panthers are 6-1, and 4-0 in conference. The Eagles and Panthers will face off Thursday night, with kick off set for 7:30 PM Eastern. Georgia Southern is coming off a win over ULL and the Panthers come into the game with a win against Louisiana Conference rival.

Game Info

When: Thursday, 10/26/2023 @ 7:30pm EST

Where: Allen E. Paulson Stadium Stadium Panthers vs Eagles Betting Odds Moneyline: Panthers +100 | Eagles -120

Spread: Panthers +1.5 (-110) | Eagles -1.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 62.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Georgia Southern will win straight-up is 55%.

Georgia State Panthers

Georgia State performed well against Louisiana, with an end result of 20-17 and offensive success of 343 total yards, 214 coming from air. QB Darren Grainger completed 77% of his passes for two touchdowns. Marcus Carroll led the ground attack with 110 yards and the defense got an interception and two sacks. Georgia State is in the top 10 of 3rd down efficiency (51.7%), averaging 4.2 yards per carry and 68% of passes completed, and has allowed 66.7% of TDs in the red zone. Pass defense averages 65.5% completion rate, 7.3 depth per completion, and 4.3 yards per carry. Georgia State is 6-1 this season, 39th in Power Ranking, 41st offensively and 58th defensively.

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Georgia Southern Eagles Analysis

The Eagles' offense is high-powered and pass-heavy, with the team ranking 8th in the country (53%) in the 3rd down conversion rate. The Eagle's defense is comes in at 28th on the 3rd down conversion rate, but 95th in the Red Zone defense. The defense is performing well against the run, allowing only 109 rushing yards per contest.

Eagles Defense Poised to Limit Panthers' Progress On 3rd Down: Georgie Southern Expected to Win By 1.5 Points

The Eagles' defense line's ability to penetrate the backfield could cause major difficulties for the Panthers, as they are not renowned for their secondary. Similarly, the Eagles' 3rd down efficacy and average of fewer than 110 yards per game conceded on the ground point to a potential brick wall for the Panthers. Georgia Southern's strength on 3rd down may also restrict the Panthers to shorter drives on the field. It is expected that the Eagles will take this one at home, with a point spread of -1.5.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#GeorgiaStatePanthers#GeorgiaSouthernEagles

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Panthers vs Eagles archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Panthers vs Eagles matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Georgia State Panthers+106 → -109Moved
  • Moneyline · Georgia Southern Eagles-129 → -111Moved
  • Spread · Georgia State Panthers+2.5 (-110) → +0.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Georgia Southern Eagles-2.5 (-110) → -0.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over62.25 (-110) → 63.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under62.25 (-110) → 63.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Georgia State Panthers
5-1 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Georgia Southern Eagles
4-2 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-22T22:36:03.186Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-08Georgia Southern Eagles 33 · Georgia State Panthers 41
  • 2020-11-28Georgia Southern Eagles 24 · Georgia State Panthers 30
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Georgia Southern Eagles defeated Georgia State Panthers 44-27

Georgia Southern Eagles defeated Georgia State Panthers 44-27 on October 26, 2023, a 17-point decision in the series. Georgia Southern Eagles' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 17-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Georgia State Panthers +0.5 (-110) spread, Georgia Southern Eagles covered, while the 71 combined points finished over the recorded total of 63.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MackintoshSpread · Georgia Southern Eagles +1.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpSpread · Georgia Southern Eagles -1 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Georgia Southern Eagles -120Win
  • JohnTharpTotal · Under 62.5 (-110)Loss
  • Mr_BiggsSpread · Georgia State Panthers +1 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Georgia State Panthers +1 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 63 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Georgia State Panthers +1 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 63 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Georgia Southern Eagles -1 (-110)Win