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  3. Old Dominion Monarchs vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Sat 5:00 PM ET
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2-5
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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs logo
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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs1436326
NCAAF · Old Dominion Monarchs at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

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Old Dominion Monarchs vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs prediction: Bulldogs win, betting pass

Game time: October 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Venue: Joe Aillet Stadium — Ruston, LA

Article updated Oct 24, 1:43 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Louisiana Tech will beat Old Dominion 27-17, with Blake Baker's efficient passing and the Bulldogs' disruptive defense supplying the strongest matchup advantages. Old Dominion's defensive results make a comfortable cover less convincing. Neither Louisiana Tech -13.5 (-110) nor Under 45.5 (-118) offers a strong enough edge at the supplied price, so the official wager is Pass.

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs prediction and best bet

Louisiana Tech is the pick to win because its passing efficiency complements a defense capable of ending possessions with negative plays and interceptions. Baker enters with nine touchdown passes against one interception, while the Bulldogs have recorded 47 tackles for loss. Their three-game winning streak includes a 24-0 road victory over ULM on October 17.

Old Dominion brings enough defensive resistance to complicate the betting decision. The Monarchs rank third in the Sun Belt in total defense and opponent third-down conversion rate. Those strengths favor a competitive margin, but backing them also means opposing Louisiana Tech's playmakers. Best bet: Pass. The forecast favors the Bulldogs without finding a sufficiently strong spread or total opportunity.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Kickoff: Saturday, October 24, 2026, at 4 p.m. CT, 5 p.m. ET. Broadcast: ESPN+.

Venue: Origin Bank Field at Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, Louisiana.

Records: Old Dominion Monarchs 2-5; Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 4-2.

Weather: Mostly sunny Saturday, highs in the mid-80s, southeast winds around 5 mph.

SportsJaw moneylines: Old Dominion +400; Louisiana Tech -525.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw spreads: Old Dominion +13.5 (-108); Louisiana Tech -13.5 (-110). Total: Over 45.5 (-104), Under 45.5 (-118).

Old Dominion Monarchs outlook

Old Dominion's defense is the strongest argument for keeping this game within reach. The Monarchs have held three opponents below 300 yards and allow 335.8 yards per game, third in the Sun Belt. Their third-place ranking in opponent third-down conversion rate gives that yardage figure useful context. Against Baker, finishing defensive possessions will matter as much as limiting individual gains.

The October 15 loss to Georgia Southern featured contributions from two quarterbacks. Quinn Henicle completed 6 of 10 passes for 86 yards and a touchdown. Ryan Huff relieved him and completed 9 of 14 for 115 yards and a touchdown. Those results describe their most recent appearances without settling who will lead the offense against Louisiana Tech.

TJ Johnson's 71-yard touchdown reception in that game was Old Dominion's longest passing play of the season. It illustrates the potential for a single play to change the scoring picture. Maurki James has also received more work: 19 carries for 66 yards and two touchdowns across the four games preceding the preview, compared with four carries for nine yards and no touchdowns in the first three. His increased involvement has not yet produced a large rushing sample.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs outlook

Louisiana Tech's recent results give the home team a firmer starting point. The Bulldogs enter 4-2 overall and 2-0 in conference after shutting out ULM 24-0 on the road. That result extended their winning streak to three games. It supports confidence in their current form, although repeating a shutout against another opponent is a much greater demand.

The season's defensive numbers explain the appeal more clearly than the streak alone. Louisiana Tech is tied for the Sun Belt lead with nine interceptions and averages 7.8 tackles for loss, with 47 overall. Those plays can force an opponent into longer conversion attempts or end a possession outright. They also introduce scoring volatility if turnovers leave the offense a short field.

Baker has thrown for 857 yards, nine touchdowns and one interception, with a conference-best 169.4 passing-efficiency rating. Jalen Mickens supplies a substantial receiving threat: 476 yards, second-most in the Sun Belt, and 79.3 yards per game. Louisiana Tech has also produced five 100-yard receiving performances across four players, the conference's highest total. That distribution gives Old Dominion multiple targets to account for. The Monarchs' third-down defense remains a meaningful obstacle to turning that production into a decisive margin.

Key matchup factors

The central question is whether Louisiana Tech can turn defensive disruption into enough scoring opportunities to overcome Old Dominion's resistance on third down. Negative plays favor the Bulldogs, but the Monarchs' defensive rankings make sustained separation less certain. Turnovers could help Louisiana Tech win while also pushing the total higher.

SportsJaw's blended spread consensus favors Old Dominion +13.5 at 74% in the October 24 update at 05:38 UTC. Old Dominion also leads the community spread selections. The blend incorporates a modeled sportsbook sample and SportsJaw participation; it is not a win probability or an observed ticket count. That preference deserves consideration, but popularity alone is no reason to back either side.

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Old Dominion +13.5 (-108) and Louisiana Tech -13.5 (-110). The projected 10-point margin falls on Old Dominion's side of the spread, but the case is vulnerable to Louisiana Tech's ability to create takeaways and negative plays.

Backing the Bulldogs requires a margin of at least 14 points. Old Dominion's yardage and third-down defense make that an uncomfortable demand. Taking the Monarchs offers a cushion, yet the evidence gives no firm measure of how reliably their offense can sustain possessions here. Neither price warrants an official selection.

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 45.5 (-104) and Under 45.5 (-118). The 27-17 forecast totals 44 points, only 1.5 below the line. That narrow difference leaves little room for scoring swings and is insufficient to justify the more expensive under.

Both defenses offer reasons to expect stalled drives. Baker's efficiency, Louisiana Tech's receiving production and Johnson's recent long touchdown supply the counterargument. Interceptions can also shorten scoring drives instead of simply suppressing points. The under is the forecast's direction, but it is not the official wager.

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Louisiana Tech 27, Old Dominion 17. Baker's passing efficiency and the Bulldogs' defensive disruption give Louisiana Tech the stronger combination for winning. The projection assumes those advantages create enough productive possessions to overcome Old Dominion's ability to limit yardage and third-down conversions.

The strongest counterargument is the Monarchs' defense, which could make the margin considerably tighter. Old Dominion also leads the series 2-0, although this is the first meeting in Ruston and their first as Sun Belt opponents. Confidence in the winner is medium. The score is an editorial projection, and the single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass, with both spread and total left alone.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Monarchs17

Bulldogs27

Projected winner Louisiana Tech BulldogsConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Old Dominion +13.5 (-108) and Louisiana Tech -13.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • LA Tech AthleticsPreview: LA Tech vs. Old Dominion
  • Old Dominion AthleticsGame Eight Preview: Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
  • Sun Belt ConferenceNationally-Televised Mid-Week Contests Headline Sun Belt Football Week 8 Schedule
#OldDominionMonarchs#LouisianaTechBulldogs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Monarchs vs Bulldogs game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Monarchs vs Bulldogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Old Dominion Monarchs+330 → +415Moved
  • Moneyline · Louisiana Tech Bulldogs-425 → -550Moved
  • Spread · Old Dominion Monarchs+10.5 (-108) → +13.5 (-108)Moved
  • Spread · Louisiana Tech Bulldogs-10.5 (-108) → -13.5 (-111)Moved
  • Total · Over45.5 (-108) → 44 (-107)Moved
  • Total · Under45.5 (-113) → 44 (-113)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Old Dominion Monarchs
2-5 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
4-2 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-19T13:07:29.632Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 26-0

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 26-0 on October 24, 2026, a 26-point decision in the series. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Old Dominion Monarchs +13.5 (-108) spread, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs covered, while the 26 combined points finished under the recorded total of 44.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerLouisiana Tech BulldogsWin
  • SpreadPass on Old Dominion +13.5 (-108) and Louisiana Tech -13.5 (-110)Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 45.5 (-104) and Under 45.5 (-118)Pass

Tipster picks

  • CodexTotal · Under 45.5 (-115)Win
  • BjenkinsSpread · Old Dominion Monarchs +13.5 (-108)Loss