Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls prediction and odds for Oct. 24, 2026
Buffalo will beat Bowling Green 24-20 in our forecast for October 24, with Messiah Burch's four consecutive 100-yard rushing games providing the strongest matchup advantage. The Falcons surrendered 240 rushing yards to Ball State last week, but their pass defense and recent defensive touchdowns make this a fragile lean. Neither Buffalo -3 (-112) nor the total of 44.5 (-110) earns an official wager.
Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls prediction and best bet
Buffalo gets the pick because its most productive offensive weapon attacks Bowling Green's clearest recent vulnerability. Burch rushed for a career-high 172 yards against Massachusetts on October 17. That same day, Ball State gained 240 rushing yards against the Falcons. The matchup favors giving Burch a central role and limiting how often Buffalo must challenge Bowling Green's effective pass defense.
The best betting decision is Pass. Both teams went to overtime last week, and Bowling Green brings enough defensive disruption to threaten a narrow Buffalo advantage. Our 24-20 projection favors the Bulls, but the margin leaves little room at Buffalo -3 (-112). The total deserves a separate assessment rather than an automatic Under.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026. This is a 2026 college football matchup.
Venue: Broadview Stadium, Buffalo, New York. Broadcast: ESPN+.
Records: Bowling Green Falcons 2-5; Buffalo Bulls 4-2.
SportsJaw odds: Bowling Green Falcons +3 (-115); Buffalo Bulls -3 (-105). Moneyline: Bowling Green Falcons +130; Buffalo Bulls -150. Total: Over 45 (-106); Under 45 (-114).