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  3. Miami-OH RedHawks vs Central Michigan Chippewas
Sat 1:00 PM ET
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Miami-OH
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4-3
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Central Michigan Chippewas logo
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Chippewas27
3-3
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Miami-OH RedHawks777728
Central Michigan Chippewas3714327
NCAAF · Miami-OH RedHawks at Central Michigan Chippewas

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Miami-OH RedHawks vs Central Michigan Chippewas prediction: Miami narrowly, spread a Pass

Game time: October 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Kelly/Shorts Stadium — Mount Pleasant, MI

Article updated Oct 24, 8:44 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Miami-OH will beat Central Michigan 23-20, with its MAC-leading run defense providing the strongest matchup advantage against an offense awaiting clarity on Angel Flores’ injury. The RedHawks also enter after consecutive wins, but Central Michigan’s home results and Miami’s pass-defense weakness make this a low-confidence forecast. Neither Miami-OH -3.5 (-110) nor the supplied total of 40.5 offers a convincing wager.

Miami-OH RedHawks vs Central Michigan Chippewas prediction and best bet

Miami gets the winner’s call because its recent rushing production and conference-leading run defense offer a credible route to controlling this matchup. The RedHawks rushed for a season-best 324 yards in their 34-14 victory over Akron. Central Michigan enters with its quarterback situation unsettled after Flores left the Western Michigan game injured.

The best betting decision is Pass. Miami’s last road victory was only 20-19 at Massachusetts, and Central Michigan is 3-1 at home this season. Those results temper the temptation to treat the Akron win as Miami’s expected performance. A 23-20 forecast favors the RedHawks outright but leaves them short of covering -3.5.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Miami-OH at Central Michigan, 2026 college football season. Saturday, October 24, at 1 p.m. ET.

Venue and broadcast: Kelly/Shorts Stadium; ESPN+.

Records: Miami-OH RedHawks 4-3; Central Michigan Chippewas 3-3.

SportsJaw odds: Miami-OH RedHawks -3.5 (-105); Central Michigan Chippewas +3.5 (-115). Moneyline: Miami-OH RedHawks -165; Central Michigan Chippewas +140. Total: Over 40.5 (-110); Under 40.5 (-110).

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Quarterback watch: Central Michigan’s October 23 preview said Flores remained under evaluation. Jadyn Glasser would likely start if Flores could not play.

Miami-OH RedHawks outlook

Miami’s consecutive victories show two different paths to winning: a 20-19 escape at Massachusetts and a 34-14 result against Akron. The second was powered by a season-best rushing performance, with Rodney Nelson contributing 142 yards and two touchdowns. His scoring included a 58-yard run, giving Miami an example of the explosive production that can change a close game.

The defensive contribution against Akron was substantial. Miami intercepted four passes and converted those takeaways into 21 points. That helped produce the comfortable margin, but projecting another four-interception game would put too much weight on one afternoon. The rushing output is encouraging; the scoring total needs to be viewed alongside the turnovers.

Central Michigan’s October 23 preview ranked Miami first in the MAC against the run and last against the pass. That split gives the RedHawks a clear strength and an equally relevant vulnerability. Their run defense could challenge the rushing component of Flores’ game if he plays. Their pass defense gives Central Michigan a way to respond. Miami has enough recent positives to earn the forecast, but its defense presents a mixed matchup rather than an overwhelming advantage.

Central Michigan Chippewas outlook

Central Michigan’s home results are the strongest reason to expect a competitive game. The Chippewas are 3-1 at Kelly/Shorts Stadium this season and have won eight of their previous 10 home games. Their school also reported that the opponents responsible for their four losses were a combined 21-5 entering this matchup. The overall record deserves that context.

The 21-14 loss to Western Michigan contained encouraging production despite an unfavorable scoreboard. Central Michigan led 337-272 in total yards and 20-15 in first downs. Flores supplied 279 total yards: 117 rushing and 162 passing. He completed 14 of 25 throws with one touchdown before leaving injured in the fourth quarter.

Those numbers explain why his status matters, but Central Michigan also needs a better start. It trailed Ohio 31-0 at halftime in the preceding game and Western Michigan 21-0 entering the fourth quarter. Recovering from another large deficit would put considerable pressure on either quarterback.

Glasser had appeared in six of seven games, completing 55.8 percent of his passes for 242 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. That record invites caution if he starts, although Miami’s weak conference ranking against the pass gives the Chippewas a potential opening.

Key matchup factors

Flores’ availability changes how Central Michigan might attack Miami. His 117 rushing yards against Western Michigan make the confrontation with Miami’s run defense particularly relevant. If that route becomes difficult, the Chippewas would need more from the passing game against the RedHawks’ weaker defensive area.

The consensus favors Miami, but popularity is separate from a betting edge. At 12:38 UTC on October 24, the supplied combined spread consensus favored Miami 462-138, or 77%. Those counts incorporate a modeled sportsbook sample and SportsJaw participation; they are not observed bettor totals. Central Michigan’s spread support gained two percentage points from the previous day. That shift alone is no reason to back the underdog.

Miami-OH RedHawks vs Central Michigan Chippewas spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Miami-OH -3.5 (-110) and Central Michigan +3.5 (-110). Miami’s rushing performance against Akron and run-defense ranking support an outright lean, but covering requires a victory by at least four points. The projected three-point margin falls short.

Central Michigan would cover in that forecast, yet the projection is too fragile to make +3.5 an official selection. Its home record argues for a close game; its recent early deficits and unsettled quarterback situation argue against trusting that margin. Neither side has a sufficiently persuasive case at the supplied price.

Miami-OH RedHawks vs Central Michigan Chippewas total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 40.5 (-105) and Under 40.5 (-111). The 23-20 projection produces 43 points, giving the forecast a modest Over tilt. That small difference is not enough to justify buying the Over.

Miami’s pass-defense ranking gives Central Michigan a possible scoring opportunity, while Flores’ injury adds uncertainty about how effectively it can use that opening. Miami’s 34 points against Akron also included 21 points from takeaways. Repeating that contribution would be an aggressive assumption. These competing factors leave too wide a scoring range for either total wager.

Miami-OH RedHawks vs Central Michigan Chippewas Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Miami-OH 23, Central Michigan 20. Miami’s recent rushing success and strength against the run give it the slight advantage. The forecast assumes those strengths matter without requiring another four-interception performance or another large early deficit from Central Michigan.

The strongest counterargument is the Chippewas’ home success, reinforced by their yardage and first-down advantages in last week’s defeat. Miami’s pass-defense weakness also leaves room for an upset, particularly if Flores can play effectively. Confidence is low because the quarterback uncertainty and opposing strengths could readily change the margin. Miami is the projected winner; the spread and total are both Pass. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

RedHawks23

Chippewas20

Projected winner Miami-OH RedHawksConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Miami-OH RedHawks -3.5 (-110) and Central Michigan Chippewas +3.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 40.5 (-105) and Under 40.5 (-111)

Sources

  • Central Michigan University AthleticsNews & Notes: Chippewas Host Miami (Ohio) for Senior Day on Saturday at 1 p.m. ET
  • Central Michigan University AthleticsFootball Preview: RedHawks Pose Yet Another Stiff Test for Chippewas on Saturday
  • Mid-American ConferenceWeek 8 MAC Football Preview
#MiamiOHRedHawks#CentralMichiganChippewas

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw RedHawks vs Chippewas game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past RedHawks vs Chippewas matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami-OH RedHawks-119 → -165Moved
  • Moneyline · Central Michigan Chippewas+102 → +140Moved
  • Spread · Miami-OH RedHawks-1.5 (-110) → -3.5 (-105)Moved
  • Spread · Central Michigan Chippewas+1.5 (-110) → +3.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Over43 (-110) → 40.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under43 (-110) → 40.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami-OH RedHawks
4-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Central Michigan Chippewas
3-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-20T03:56:19.926Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Miami gets the winner’s call because its recent rushing production and conference-leading run defense offer a credible route to controlling this matchup. The RedHawks rushed for a season-best 324 yards in their 34-14 victory over Akron. Central Michigan enters with its quarterback situation unsettled after Flores left the Western Michigan game injured.

The 21-14 loss to Western Michigan contained encouraging production despite an unfavorable scoreboard. Central Michigan led 337-272 in total yards and 20-15 in first downs. Flores supplied 279 total yards: 117 rushing and 162 passing. He completed 14 of 25 throws with one touchdown before leaving injured in the fourth quarter.

Miami’s pass-defense ranking gives Central Michigan a possible scoring opportunity, while Flores’ injury adds uncertainty about how effectively it can use that opening. Miami’s 34 points against Akron also included 21 points from takeaways. Repeating that contribution would be an aggressive assumption. These competing factors leave too wide a scoring range for either total wager.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-10-26Central Michigan Chippewas 7 · Miami-OH RedHawks 46
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Miami-OH RedHawks defeated Central Michigan Chippewas 28-27

Miami-OH RedHawks defeated Central Michigan Chippewas 28-27 on October 24, 2026, a 1-point decision in the series. Miami-OH RedHawks' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami-OH RedHawks -3.5 (-105) spread, Central Michigan Chippewas covered, while the 55 combined points finished over the recorded total of 40.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerMiami-OH RedHawksWin
  • SpreadPass on Miami-OH RedHawks -3.5 (-110) and Central Michigan Chippewas +3.5 (-110)Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 40.5 (-105) and Under 40.5 (-111)Pass

Tipster picks

No graded public tipster picks were recorded for this matchup.