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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Rice Owls logo
Rice
Owls49
1-5
versus
Florida Atlantic Owls logo
Florida Atlantic
Owls51
3-2
Final
Team1234T
Rice Owls14721749
Florida Atlantic Owls71621751
NCAAF · Rice Owls at Florida Atlantic Owls

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Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction: FAU wins, betting pick is Pass

Game time: October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Flagler Credit Union Stadium — Boca Raton, FL

Article updated Oct 23, 9:38 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Florida Atlantic will beat Rice 31-24, with Caden Veltkamp’s sustained passing accuracy providing the strongest reason to favor FAU. Jacurri Brown’s explosive rushing gives Rice a credible answer against a team coming off a 56-point defensive concession. At Florida Atlantic -8 and a total of 52.5, neither supplied price offers a convincing betting edge. The official recommendation is Pass.

Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction and best bet

Florida Atlantic gets the winner pick because Veltkamp brings more than one productive afternoon into this matchup. Following the Oct. 17 loss at Army, he had completed more than 65% of his passes in six consecutive games. That consistency gives FAU a reasonable foundation for the projected 31-24 victory, even after a heavy defeat.

The best betting decision is Pass. Brown gives Rice enough explosive rushing potential to threaten an eight-point spread, while Rice’s scoreless second half against Tulsa makes the underdog difficult to endorse. The scoring forecast also sits only 2.5 points above the total. Neither margin is persuasive enough to turn this low-confidence forecast into an official wager.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Kickoff: Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, at 11 a.m. Central. Rice’s Oct. 21 team report identifies Florida Atlantic as its next road opponent.

SportsJaw odds: Rice Owls +9.5 (-110); Florida Atlantic Owls -9.5 (-110). Moneyline: Rice Owls +275; Florida Atlantic Owls -340. Total: Over 55 (-111); Under 55 (-105).

Moneyline: Rice +269; Florida Atlantic -332.

Total: Over 52.5 (-112); Under 52.5 (-108).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Recent results: Rice lost 38-17 at home to Tulsa on Oct. 17. Florida Atlantic lost 56-24 at Army that day, ending its four-game winning streak. Those results supply the immediate context for this 2026 college football matchup.

Rice Owls outlook

Brown is the central reason Rice can challenge the favorite. Through seven games, he had 669 rushing yards, fifth in the American Conference. His 22 runs of at least 10 yards tied for the conference lead and fifth nationally. His three runs of at least 50 yards led the conference and tied for third nationally. Those gains give Rice a way to generate scoring opportunities without needing every play of a possession to succeed.

Rice’s Oct. 21 report credited Brown with three 100-yard rushing games this season. He ran for 154 yards against Tulsa on Oct. 17, but that production could not prevent a 38-17 defeat. Rice scored a touchdown on its opening possession for the first time this season and trailed 21-17 at halftime before being outscored 17-0 after the break.

That contrast shapes the forecast: Brown can produce substantial yardage while the offense still struggles to finish a game. Rice also recorded seven tackles for loss against Tulsa. Negative plays could interrupt FAU’s possessions, although tackles for loss alone say little about how effectively Rice will defend Veltkamp’s passing. Rice needs both offensive follow-through and defensive disruption to convert Brown’s threat into an upset.

Florida Atlantic Owls outlook

Veltkamp completed 33 of 48 passes for 318 yards and three touchdowns against Army. It was his seventh career 300-yard passing game, tying Chris Robison for second-most by an FAU quarterback. Combined with his six-game stretch above 65% completions, that performance makes passing the clearest strength behind the Florida Atlantic forecast.

Easton Messer caught 14 passes at Army, one short of the school’s single-game receptions record. His involvement gives Rice another specific concern alongside Veltkamp. A repeat of that connection would help FAU build possessions, but one large reception total is no guarantee of another productive afternoon against a different defense.

The larger concern is how much scoring FAU might need. Army led 35-14 at halftime after scoring three goal-line touchdowns in the second quarter. The eventual 56-24 loss ended a four-game winning streak. That result weighs heavily against trusting FAU to win comfortably.

There were useful individual defensive contributions: edge Deshaun Batiste made his season debut with five tackles, including 1.5 for loss. Joseph Sipp Jr. recorded eight tackles, bringing his team-leading season total to 41. Their production offers encouraging detail, but containing Brown remains a demanding assignment after the Army result.

Key matchup factors

The decisive contrast is sustained passing accuracy against explosive quarterback rushing. FAU’s case rests on Veltkamp keeping its offense productive across possessions. Rice’s case rests on Brown creating gains large enough to change field position or produce scoring chances quickly. Either route can win; FAU gets the slight preference because Veltkamp’s accuracy spans six games.

As of Oct. 23 at 13:26 UTC, the combined consensus favored FAU -8 by 375 selections to 230, with a 62% blended share. These counts combine a modeled sportsbook sample with SportsJaw participation. Qualified handicappers favored FAU -8 at 75%. Those figures describe selection preferences, not FAU’s win probability or a guarantee of spread value.

Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Florida Atlantic -8 (-110) and Rice +8 (-110). The projected seven-point FAU victory falls on Rice’s side of the spread, but a one-point cushion between the forecast margin and the line is too fragile to justify a bet.

Brown’s rushing and FAU’s defensive result at Army make the underdog tempting. Rice’s failure to score after halftime against Tulsa pushes back against that case. FAU can win without covering, while Rice still carries enough offensive uncertainty to make taking the points uncomfortable.

Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 52.5 (-112) and Under 52.5 (-108). The projected 55 points lean toward the Over, supported by Veltkamp’s production, Brown’s long-run threat and FAU’s recent defensive difficulties. Rice’s second-half shutout against Tulsa is the strongest warning against expecting both offenses to contribute consistently.

The total sentiment is mixed: the blended consensus favors Over at 57%, while the sportsbook component favors Under at 54%. Neither is a scoring probability. With the forecast only 2.5 points above the line, the Over’s higher price has too little cushion.

Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Florida Atlantic 31, Rice 24. Veltkamp’s accuracy and Messer’s recent involvement give FAU the slight advantage in a game where both teams have plausible scoring paths. The projection expects Rice to turn Brown’s rushing threat into enough offense to stay competitive.

The strongest counterargument is that FAU just conceded 56 points, and Brown has repeatedly shown the ability to produce long gains. That combination leaves an upset within reach. Confidence is low because the evidence favoring FAU comes with substantial defensive concerns. The official SportsJaw wager is Pass, with separate passes on both teams at the supplied spread and both directions at 52.5.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Owls24

Owls31

Projected winner Florida Atlantic OwlsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Rice University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Tulsa Outlasts Rice
  • Florida Atlantic University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Owls’ Win Streak Ends at Army
  • Rice University AthleticsBrown Named to DCTF Midseason All-Texas Team
#RiceOwls#FloridaAtlanticOwls

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Owls vs Owls game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Owls vs Owls matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Rice Owls+310 → +275Moved
  • Moneyline · Florida Atlantic Owls-400 → -340Moved
  • Spread · Rice Owls+10 (-110) → +9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Florida Atlantic Owls-10 (-110) → -9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over55.5 (-110) → 55 (-111)Moved
  • Total · Under55.5 (-108) → 55 (-105)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Rice Owls
1-5 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Florida Atlantic Owls
3-2 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-19T03:38:36.299Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-10-04Florida Atlantic Owls 27 · Rice Owls 21
  • 2023-11-25Florida Atlantic Owls 21 · Rice Owls 24
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Florida Atlantic Owls defeated Rice Owls 51-49

Florida Atlantic Owls defeated Rice Owls 51-49 on October 24, 2026, a 2-point decision in the series. Florida Atlantic Owls' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 16-7. Against SportsJaw's recorded Rice Owls +9.5 (-110) spread, Rice Owls covered, while the 100 combined points finished over the recorded total of 55.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerFlorida Atlantic OwlsWin
  • SpreadPass on Florida Atlantic Owls -8 (-110) and Rice Owls +8 (-110).Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 52.5 (-112) and Under 52.5 (-108).Pass

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsSpread · Rice Owls +7.5 (-112)Win
  • VegaspatSpread · Florida Atlantic Owls -7.5 (-108)Loss
  • Fisher49Total · Over 51.5 (-108)Win
  • JwSpread · Rice Owls -7.5 (-108)Win
  • StevehSpread · Florida Atlantic Owls -7.5 (-108)Loss
  • Lockpicker69Spread · Florida Atlantic Owls -7.5 (-108)Loss
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Over 51.5 (-108)Win
  • BluedevilSpread · Rice Owls +8 (-104)Win