Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks Predictions October 24, 2026
Baylor will beat Kansas 24-20, with its rushing defense providing the strongest matchup advantage against Isaiah Marshall and Dylan Edwards. The Bears’ offensive line problems make the projected margin fragile, however. Baylor -3 (-106) offers too little cushion for an official wager, and the total of 53.5 is also a pass. The game forecast carries low confidence.
Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction and best bet
Baylor is the pick to win because its defensive performance offers the strongest reason to trust either team. The Bears held each of their first six opponents to 20 points or fewer, and Kansas faces a particularly difficult test on the ground.
The official betting recommendation is Pass. A projected four-point win leaves Baylor barely beyond the three-point spread, while its blocking problems introduce a meaningful risk to that margin. Picking the Bears to win is a stronger position than paying to back them to cover.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Date and venue: Saturday, October 24, 2026, at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Kansas. This college football matchup is Kansas’ 114th Homecoming game.
Broadcast: Baylor Athletics lists TNT, truTV and HBO Max.
Records: Baylor Bears 3-2; Kansas Jayhawks 2-4.
SportsJaw spread and moneyline: Baylor -3 (-106) and Kansas +3 (-114); Baylor -145 and Kansas +125 on the moneyline.
SportsJaw total: Over 53.5 (-109) or Under 53.5 (-110).
Baylor Bears outlook
Baylor has won four of its past five games, but the October 17 loss to TCU exposed its clearest weakness. The Bears surrendered four sacks and rushed for a season-low 54 yards at 1.6 yards per carry. Four penalties on their final drive compounded the offensive problems. Dave Aranda subsequently identified pass protection and run blocking as priorities.