SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Odds Comparison
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks
Sat 1:00 PM ET
Baylor Bears logo
Baylor
Bears24
3-2
versus
Kansas Jayhawks logo
Kansas
Jayhawks25
2-4
Final
Team1234T
Baylor Bears7014324
Kansas Jayhawks7031525
NCAAF · Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks

Your Picks on Baylor vs Kansas

Picks closed
Spread
Moneyline
Total

Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction: Bears -1 gets the edge

Game time: October 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium — Lawrence, KS

Article updated Oct 24, 8:37 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Baylor will beat Kansas, 27-23, with its run defense providing the strongest matchup advantage against Isaiah Marshall and Dylan Edwards. The Bears allow 86.7 rushing yards per game and 2.6 yards per carry, giving Baylor -1 (-110) enough appeal for an actionable spread recommendation. Confidence is medium after Baylor’s offensive struggles against TCU. The total of 53 is a Pass.

Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction and best bet

Baylor -1 (-110) is the best bet because the Bears’ defensive strength directly challenges a major source of Kansas production. Marshall and Edwards have combined for 747 rushing yards at 5.0 yards per carry. Making those yards harder to earn would put more responsibility on the Jayhawks’ passing game.

Baylor still needs an offensive rebound after losing 17-6 to TCU. Its season average of 30.0 points per game offers a more encouraging picture than that latest result, but Kansas presents a credible passing-defense challenge. The forecast favors Baylor’s ability to limit Kansas enough to win by four, rather than requiring a dominant road performance.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks, 2026 college football season, Saturday, October 24. Kickoff: noon CT, also 1 p.m. EDT.

Venue: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Broadcast: TNT.

Records: Baylor Bears 3-2; Kansas Jayhawks 2-4.

SportsJaw odds: Baylor Bears +1.5 (-110); Kansas Jayhawks -1.5 (-110). Moneyline: Baylor Bears -103; Kansas Jayhawks -117. Total: Over 54.5 (-110); Under 54.5 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 53 (-106), Under 53 (-114).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Previous games: Baylor lost 17-6 to TCU; Kansas lost 35-24 at Kansas State.

Baylor Bears outlook

Baylor’s season production gives it a reasonable route back from a six-point outing. The Bears average 436.2 total yards per game, including 286.0 passing and 150.2 rushing. DJ Lagway has averaged 279 passing yards with eight touchdown passes and three interceptions. Gavin Freeman’s 49 catches, 555 yards and two touchdowns make him an important part of that passing attack.

The latest performance puts a limit on expectations. Against TCU, Baylor averaged 1.6 yards per rushing attempt and allowed four sacks of Lagway. Those results raise concerns about whether the Bears can keep their offense moving when the running game contributes little. Kansas’s allowance of 174.3 passing yards per game makes an immediate passing rebound something Baylor must earn.

The defense is the stronger reason to back the Bears. Baylor allows 326.7 total yards and 14.7 points per game, with opponents averaging 86.7 rushing yards and 2.6 yards per carry. Through six games, its 22 sacks and 52 tackles for loss had each surpassed the corresponding total from the previous season. That combination suggests Baylor can challenge both designed runs and passing situations, although Marshall’s mobility adds a different test.

Kansas Jayhawks outlook

Kansas has the offensive production to make this competitive. The Associated Press preview lists the Jayhawks at 449.7 total yards, 207.2 rushing yards and 32.0 points per game. That scoring average exceeds Baylor’s, and the Jayhawks have several ways to distribute the work rather than relying entirely on one runner.

Marshall entered with 1,294 passing yards and nine touchdown passes, alongside 372 rushing yards. His 117 rushing yards against Kansas State are the clearest recent example of his ground contribution. Edwards adds 375 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns, plus 155 receiving yards and another touchdown. Nik McMillan leads Kansas with 23 catches, 400 receiving yards and four touchdown receptions.

Returning home after a two-game road swing gives Kansas a setting where it has gone 2-1. Its pass defense also offers a direct challenge to Lagway: the official Kansas preview ranks its 174.3 passing yards allowed per game third in the Big 12. The run defense is a potential opening for Baylor, however, with Kansas allowing 174.3 rushing yards per game. Overall, the Jayhawks surrender 348.7 yards and 24.0 points per game. Their offensive output makes an upset plausible, but the defensive comparison favors Baylor.

Key matchup factors

The pivotal question is whether Kansas can preserve its offensive flexibility against Baylor’s front. If the Bears limit rushing gains without allowing Marshall to escape for substantial yardage, they can make Kansas work through longer passing situations. Conversely, sustained Kansas rushing success would weaken the main argument for the favorite.

Consensus also favors Baylor, but it measures preference rather than win probability. At the October 24 update of 12:23 p.m. UTC, the combined spread count favored Baylor 379-222 across 601 modeled equivalent selections, with 63% blended support. Those counts combine a modeled sportsbook sample with SportsJaw participation; they are not observed sportsbook ticket totals. The matchup evidence carries more weight than that popularity.

Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks spread prediction

The spread recommendation is Baylor Bears -1 (-110). A four-point projected victory clears the supplied line, while the run-defense matchup gives the selection a football reason beyond the score estimate. Baylor has a plausible way to suppress Kansas’s offense without needing to match the Jayhawks’ usual scoring output.

The strongest objection is Baylor’s own offense. Another performance resembling the TCU loss could undo the defensive advantage, especially against Kansas’s pass defense. That risk keeps confidence at medium. The one-point spread is attractive enough to accept it, with Baylor projected to win by more than the required margin.

Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks total prediction

The total recommendation is Pass on 53, priced Over -106 and Under -114. Baylor 27, Kansas 23 produces 50 points, but that modest cushion is not enough to make the Under an official recommendation. Kansas averages 32.0 points and Baylor 30.0, leaving meaningful scoring upside if both offenses perform closer to their season averages.

The consensus is divided: sportsbook support favors Over at 71%, while the SportsJaw community leader is Under. The blended figure favors Over at 57%. Those preferences do not settle the competing scoring cases. Baylor’s defensive matchup is more persuasive for the spread than for a total wager.

Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Baylor 27, Kansas 23. Expect the Bears to hold Kansas below its season scoring average while recovering enough offensive production to secure the win. This projection allows Kansas to score more than Baylor usually concedes, acknowledging the Jayhawks’ offensive output and Marshall’s rushing contribution.

The strongest counterargument combines Kansas’s pass defense with Baylor’s recent protection problems. If Lagway faces similar disruption to the TCU game, the Bears could struggle to reach 27 regardless of how well their defense plays. Even so, Baylor’s ability to challenge the Kansas ground game tips the forecast. Confidence is medium, and the single official wager is Baylor Bears -1 (-110).

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Bears27

Jayhawks23

Projected winner Baylor BearsConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Spread: Baylor Bears -1 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • ABC News / Associated PressBaylor visits Kansas in Big 12 action
  • Baylor AthleticsFive Keys to Saturday's Game
  • Kansas AthleticsJayhawks to Host Bears for 114th Homecoming Game
#BaylorBears#KansasJayhawks

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Jayhawks game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Bears vs Jayhawks matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Baylor Bears-148 → -103Moved
  • Moneyline · Kansas Jayhawks+120 → -117Moved
  • Spread · Baylor Bears-2.5 (-117) → +1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Kansas Jayhawks+2.5 (-105) → -1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over54.5 (-106) → 54.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under54.5 (-115) → 54.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Baylor Bears
3-2 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Kansas Jayhawks
2-4 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-20T03:50:15.817Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-30Kansas Jayhawks 17 · Baylor Bears 45
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Kansas Jayhawks defeated Baylor Bears 25-24

Kansas Jayhawks defeated Baylor Bears 25-24 on October 24, 2026, a 1-point decision in the series. Kansas Jayhawks' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 15-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Baylor Bears +1.5 (-110) spread, Baylor Bears covered, while the 49 combined points finished under the recorded total of 54.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerBaylor BearsLoss
  • SpreadSpread: Baylor Bears -1 (-110)Loss
  • TotalPass on total 53: Over 53 (-106), Under 53 (-114)Pass

Tipster picks

  • CodexTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Win
  • MrmisterSpread · Baylor Bears -1 (-110)Loss