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NCAAF PicksSat 3:45 PM ET
Kansas St. Wildcats logo
Kansas St.
Wildcats
4-2
versus
Arizona St. Sun Devils logo
Arizona St.
Sun Devils
3-3
NCAAF · Kansas St. Wildcats at Arizona St. Sun Devils

Your Picks on Kansas St. vs Arizona St.

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
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Kansas St. Wildcats vs Arizona St. Sun Devils Predictions October 24, 2026

Game time: October 24, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET

Venue: Mountain America Stadium — Tempe, AZ

Article updated Oct 19, 12:05 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Kansas State will beat Arizona State 28-27 in the October 24 matchup, with its productive quarterback and running back combination providing the strongest reason to favor the Wildcats. That is a low-confidence forecast: Arizona State’s receiving production makes a close finish plausible. Neither Kansas State -3.5 (-106) nor the 55.5-point total offers a compelling wager, so the official recommendation is Pass.

Kansas St. Wildcats vs Arizona St. Sun Devils prediction and best bet

Kansas State gets the winner pick because Avery Johnson and Joe Jackson supplied substantial rushing production in its latest victory. Their contributions offer a plausible route to another win without requiring the Wildcats to rely entirely on their passing attack.

The distinction is the margin. Arizona State showed enough through the air against Texas Tech to warrant caution about laying more than a field goal. Kansas State 28, Arizona State 27 is the forecast, but neither betting market earns an official play.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, October 24, 2026, at 2:45 p.m. Central Time. Kansas State visits Arizona State in this 2026 college football matchup.

Broadcast: ESPN2.

Records: Kansas St. Wildcats 4-2; Arizona St. Sun Devils 3-3.

SportsJaw odds: Kansas St. Wildcats -3.5 (-105); Arizona St. Sun Devils +3.5 (-115). Moneyline: Kansas St. Wildcats -165; Arizona St. Sun Devils +140. Total: Over 56.5 (-115); Under 56.5 (-105).

SportsJaw total: Over 55.5 (-110); Under 55.5 (-110).

SportsJaw moneyline: Kansas State -165; Arizona State +140.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Kansas St. Wildcats outlook

Kansas State beat Kansas 35-24 on October 17, generating 568 total yards, including 359 rushing yards. Johnson passed for 209 yards and one touchdown while adding 132 yards on the ground. Jackson rushed for a season-high 159 yards and a touchdown.

That distribution is more useful to the forecast than the yardage total alone. Both the quarterback and running back contributed heavily, giving Arizona State two rushing threats to account for. It remains a projection that they can repeat that success against a different defense.

Jaron Tibbs caught a nine-yard touchdown pass from Johnson in the fourth quarter. On defense, safety Logan Bartley recorded Kansas State’s first interception of the season. That takeaway was welcome, but the forecast should not depend on the Wildcats producing another interception this week.

Arizona St. Sun Devils outlook

Arizona State lost 53-25 at No. 10 Texas Tech on October 17. The Sun Devils fell behind 21-0 just over 11 minutes into the first quarter and faced a 43-10 halftime deficit. Avoiding another opening collapse is central to their upset chances.

Mikey Keene entered for the second half and completed 25 of 34 passes for 256 yards and two touchdowns. Cutter Boley also connected with Raiden Vines-Bright for a 74-yard touchdown. Those contributions show passing potential, although Keene’s production came with Arizona State already trailing heavily.

Reed Harris finished that game with season totals of 41 receptions, 653 yards and eight touchdowns. Derek Eusebio returned from injury and made his first catches of the season, collecting seven for 89 yards. His contribution adds another encouraging element beyond Harris, without settling how the quarterbacks will be used against Kansas State.

Key matchup factors

The central question is whether Kansas State can turn its recent rushing success into sustained offense again. A strong performance against Kansas is a positive signal, but Arizona State’s lopsided loss alone is not proof of a specific weakness against the run.

Arizona State’s passing options are the main counterweight. Harris’ season production carries more weight than a single late rally, while Eusebio’s return offers another potential outlet. Kansas State gets a narrow edge from its latest offensive showing, with room for the Sun Devils to challenge that judgment.

Kansas St. Wildcats vs Arizona St. Sun Devils spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Kansas State -3.5 (-106) and Arizona State +3.5 (-110). The Wildcats must win by at least four points to cover, a larger margin than the projected one-point victory.

The score forecast points toward Arizona State covering, but that slight preference is too fragile for a wager. The teams faced different opponents last week, and the contrast between those results cannot reliably determine this margin. Neither laying the points nor taking them offers enough conviction at the supplied price.

Kansas St. Wildcats vs Arizona St. Sun Devils total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 55.5 (-110) and Under 55.5 (-110). The projected 55 points sit just below the line, leaving almost no separation between the forecast and the market.

Kansas State’s rushing output should not automatically be treated as an Under signal; successful drives can also produce touchdowns. Arizona State’s passing response suggests scoring potential, but its large deficit shaped that performance. Neither consideration supplies a strong directional edge.

Kansas St. Wildcats vs Arizona St. Sun Devils projected score

Game forecast: Kansas State 28, Arizona State 27. Johnson and Jackson give the Wildcats the offensive foundation for the winner pick. Arizona State’s receiving production is the strongest reason to expect a competitive finish.

Confidence is low because the forecast leans heavily on recent performances against different opponents. Kansas State is the projected winner, both the spread and total are passes, and the single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Wildcats28

Sun Devils27

Projected winner Kansas St. WildcatsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Kansas St. Wildcats -3.5 (-106) and Arizona St. Sun Devils +3.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Kansas State University AthleticsK-State at Arizona State to Kick in Afternoon on ESPN2
  • Kansas State University AthleticsPrevious-game context: K-State Extends Streak over KU to 18 Games in 35-24 Win
  • Sun Devil AthleticsPrevious-game context: No. 10 Texas Tech jumps out to early lead as football falls in Lubbock

SportsJaw Wildcats vs Sun Devils game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Wildcats vs Sun Devils matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Kansas St. Wildcats-175 → -165Moved
  • Moneyline · Arizona St. Sun Devils+140 → +140Unchanged
  • Spread · Kansas St. Wildcats-3.5 (-103) → -3.5 (-105)Moved
  • Spread · Arizona St. Sun Devils+3.5 (-121) → +3.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Over56.5 (-108) → 56.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Under56.5 (-113) → 56.5 (-105)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Kansas St. Wildcats
4-2 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Arizona St. Sun Devils
3-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-19T04:05:50.528Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Reed Harris finished that game with season totals of 41 receptions, 653 yards and eight touchdowns. Derek Eusebio returned from injury and made his first catches of the season, collecting seven for 89 yards. His contribution adds another encouraging element beyond Harris, without settling how the quarterbacks will be used against Kansas State.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-16Arizona St. Sun Devils 24 · Kansas St. Wildcats 14
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