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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Colorado Buffaloes vs Oklahoma St. Cowboys
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Colorado Buffaloes logo
Colorado
Buffaloes24
2-4
versus
Oklahoma St. Cowboys logo
Oklahoma St.
Cowboys57
3-2
Final
Team1234T
Colorado Buffaloes14100024
Oklahoma St. Cowboys716142057
NCAAF · Colorado Buffaloes at Oklahoma St. Cowboys

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Colorado Buffaloes vs Oklahoma St. Cowboys prediction: Cowboys favored, spread a Pass

Game time: October 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium — Stillwater, OK

Article updated Oct 24, 2:30 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Oklahoma State will beat Colorado, 35-20, behind Drew Mestemaker and an offense averaging 517.7 yards per game. The Cowboys' passing production and protection give them the strongest matchup advantage, while Colorado's disruptive defense makes a comfortable margin less certain. Neither Oklahoma State -13.5 (-110) nor the total of 56 offers a compelling betting edge. The official recommendation is Pass.

Colorado Buffaloes vs Oklahoma St. Cowboys prediction and best bet

Oklahoma State is the pick to win because its offensive production has been both substantial and sustained. The Cowboys average 37.2 points and have exceeded 30 in five consecutive games. Colorado averages 19.5 points, making its task more demanding if this becomes a game of trading touchdowns.

Winning and covering require different judgments. Oklahoma State -13.5 (-110) needs a victory by at least 14 points, and our forecast clears that threshold by just one point. Colorado's defensive disruption, its competitive showing against Utah and Oklahoma State's defensive problems at Houston make that cushion too small for a spread wager. Best bet: Pass, with medium confidence in the game forecast.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Kickoff: Saturday, October 24, 2026, at 5:05 p.m. MT, according to Colorado's official preview.

Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma. Oklahoma State's 105th Homecoming game is sold out.

Broadcast: FS1.

Records: Colorado Buffaloes 2-4; Oklahoma St. Cowboys 3-2.

SportsJaw odds: Colorado Buffaloes +13 (-110); Oklahoma St. Cowboys -13 (-110). Moneyline: Colorado Buffaloes +400; Oklahoma St. Cowboys -525. Total: Over 55.5 (-108); Under 55.5 (-112).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 56 (-108); Under 56 (-108). Moneyline: Colorado +410; Oklahoma State -550.

Colorado Buffaloes outlook

Colorado's defense gives the Buffaloes a credible way to compete despite four consecutive losses. They lead the Big 12 with 8.8 tackles for loss per game and have recorded at least seven in each of their six games. That consistency matters against an opponent whose offensive averages otherwise suggest a difficult afternoon.

The October 17 loss to then-No. 11 Utah showed both resistance and vulnerability. Colorado erased a 13-point deficit in the third quarter but lost 27-24. Its defense delivered nine tackles for loss, nine pass breakups and eight quarterback hurries. Utah finished with 131 rushing yards and no rushing touchdowns; Colorado had allowed only three rushing touchdowns through six games.

The offensive concern is the gap between moving the ball and scoring. Colorado averages 394.2 yards, including 253.8 passing and 140.3 rushing, but only 19.5 points. Those averages make sustained scoring the central question without identifying a single cause for the shortfall.

Isaac Wilson threw two touchdowns and two interceptions against Utah. JaQuail Smith contributed 73 rushing yards on 13 carries and a 68-yard touchdown reception. Micah Welch, with 220 rushing yards on 45 carries, missed Tuesday practice because of a hand injury and was reported uncertain for this game.

Oklahoma St. Cowboys outlook

Oklahoma State enters with an offense ranked fifth nationally in total yards and fourth in passing. Its 517.7 yards per game include 329.5 through the air and 188.2 on the ground. That balance gives Colorado more to defend than Mestemaker's passing alone, even though the quarterback remains the clearest reason to favor the Cowboys.

Mestemaker averages 323.3 passing yards, second nationally, and has reached 300 in five straight games. Caleb Hawkins averages 98.7 rushing yards, while Wyatt Young averages 93.5 receiving yards. Oklahoma State's official preview identified them as the only FBS trio individually inside the national top 20 in those respective categories.

The October 17 trip to Houston demonstrated why offensive strength is insufficient by itself to justify laying nearly two touchdowns. Mestemaker completed 22 of 34 passes for 365 yards, three touchdowns and an interception, yet Oklahoma State lost 35-32 after trailing 14-3 at halftime.

Houston gained 505 yards, well above the Cowboys' season allowance of 358.2 per game. Oklahoma State also allows 23.7 points per game. Safety Mose Phillips III will miss Colorado after suffering a shoulder injury against UCF on October 10. His absence adds a personnel concern to a defense coming off a difficult performance.

Key matchup factors

Protection against disruption is the decisive matchup. Oklahoma State ranks 10th nationally in both sacks allowed and tackles for loss allowed. Colorado's defensive front must interrupt that protection often enough to reduce the Cowboys' scoring opportunities. If Oklahoma State maintains manageable downs, its broader offensive production favors the home team.

As of October 24 at 06:23 UTC, Oklahoma State led SportsJaw's blended spread consensus at 79%, with a combined modeled count of 475 selections against 126 for Colorado. Those are modeled equivalents incorporating community participation, not observed sportsbook tickets. Colorado gained nine percentage points from the previous day's snapshot. The favorite's popularity informs the market picture but is not a reason by itself to back either side.

Colorado Buffaloes vs Oklahoma St. Cowboys spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Oklahoma State -13.5 (-110) and Colorado +13.5 (-104). The projected 15-point victory puts the Cowboys just beyond the spread, leaving little room for an extra Colorado score or a stalled Oklahoma State possession.

The Cowboys' repeated 30-point performances support favoritism. Colorado's defensive production and three-point loss to Utah argue against treating a runaway result as routine. Oklahoma State's loss at Houston supplies another caution: substantial passing production did not deliver a win. Neither side offers enough margin for error at these prices.

Colorado Buffaloes vs Oklahoma St. Cowboys total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 56 (-108) and Under 56 (-108). The forecast adds to 55 points, only one below the posted total. That difference is too narrow to justify an Under recommendation.

Oklahoma State's scoring streak and the defensive damage Houston inflicted create a plausible higher-scoring outcome. Colorado's low scoring average and ability to generate negative plays point toward a lower total. With credible scoring arguments in both directions, the projected score is a useful expectation, but insufficient grounds for a wager at 56.

Colorado Buffaloes vs Oklahoma St. Cowboys Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Oklahoma State 35, Colorado 20. The Cowboys' sustained passing output, productive supporting personnel and protection rankings give them the better chance to control scoring. Colorado's offense has shown individual sparks, but its season scoring average makes matching Oklahoma State possession for possession a demanding assignment.

The strongest counterargument is that Colorado's defensive front can disrupt this game more than the forecast assumes, while the Cowboys' defense gives the Buffaloes opportunities to stay close. That keeps confidence at medium. Oklahoma State is the projected winner, but the expected margins against both the spread and total are thin. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Buffaloes20

Cowboys35

Projected winner Oklahoma St. CowboysConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • ABC News / Associated PressOklahoma State hosts Colorado in Big 12 play
  • Oklahoma State University AthleticsOklahoma State hosts Colorado for 105th Homecoming game
  • University of Colorado AthleticsThe Road Ahead- Oklahoma State: Presented by Progressive
#ColoradoBuffaloes#OklahomaStCowboys

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Buffaloes vs Cowboys game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Buffaloes vs Cowboys matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Colorado Buffaloes+450 → +400Moved
  • Moneyline · Oklahoma St. Cowboys-630 → -525Moved
  • Spread · Colorado Buffaloes+14.5 (-122) → +13 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Oklahoma St. Cowboys-14.5 (+100) → -13 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over54.5 (-115) → 55.5 (-108)Moved
  • Total · Under54.5 (-105) → 55.5 (-112)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Colorado Buffaloes
2-4 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Oklahoma St. Cowboys
3-2 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-18T12:10:27.865Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Isaac Wilson threw two touchdowns and two interceptions against Utah. JaQuail Smith contributed 73 rushing yards on 13 carries and a 68-yard touchdown reception. Micah Welch, with 220 rushing yards on 45 carries, missed Tuesday practice because of a hand injury and was reported uncertain for this game.

Houston gained 505 yards, well above the Cowboys' season allowance of 358.2 per game. Oklahoma State also allows 23.7 points per game. Safety Mose Phillips III will miss Colorado after suffering a shoulder injury against UCF on October 10. His absence adds a personnel concern to a defense coming off a difficult performance.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-29Oklahoma St. Cowboys 0 · Colorado Buffaloes 52
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Oklahoma St. Cowboys defeated Colorado Buffaloes 57-24

Oklahoma St. Cowboys defeated Colorado Buffaloes 57-24 on October 24, 2026, a 33-point decision in the series. Oklahoma St. Cowboys' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 20-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Colorado Buffaloes +13 (-110) spread, Oklahoma St. Cowboys covered, while the 81 combined points finished over the recorded total of 55.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerOklahoma St. CowboysWin
  • SpreadPass on Oklahoma St. Cowboys -13.5 (-110) and Colorado Buffaloes +13.5 (-104)Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 56 (-108) and Under 56 (-108)Pass

Tipster picks

  • CodexTotal · Over 55.5 (-114)Win
  • Lockpicker69Total · Under 56 (-109)Loss
  • JackCohenSpread · Oklahoma St. Cowboys -13.5 (-110)Win