North Dakota St. Bison vs New Mexico Lobos Predictions October 24, 2026
New Mexico will beat North Dakota St., with a projected score of Lobos 23, Bison 20, in their Oct. 24 matchup. New Mexico's repeated rushing success and sustained scoring defense give it the edge, though North Dakota St.'s recent offensive production makes this a close call. Neither New Mexico -4.5 (-105) nor the total of 42.5 offers a convincing wager. The official recommendation is Pass.
North Dakota St. Bison vs New Mexico Lobos prediction and best bet
New Mexico gets the pick because its strongest results extend beyond one Saturday. The Lobos have surpassed 200 rushing yards in five of six games this season and held opponents to 20 points or fewer in 10 straight games dating to last season. That combination favors their chances of winning a competitive game.
The best betting decision is Pass. North Dakota St. just scored 31 points against Nevada, and New Mexico needed a second-half comeback at Hawai'i. The Lobos have the stronger case to win, but asking them to cover -4.5 (-105) requires more separation than this forecast projects.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Matchup: North Dakota St. visits New Mexico on Oct. 24, 2026, in college football. The Bison's Oct. 17 team recap confirms the upcoming road game.
Records: North Dakota St. Bison 6-1; New Mexico Lobos 4-1.
SportsJaw moneyline: North Dakota St. +150; New Mexico -180.
SportsJaw odds: North Dakota St. Bison +4.5 (-110); New Mexico Lobos -4.5 (-110). Moneyline: North Dakota St. Bison +170; New Mexico Lobos -200. Total: Over 41.5 (-109); Under 41.5 (-109).

