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NCAAF PicksThu 7:00 PM ET
Liberty Flames logo
Liberty
Flames
5-1
versus
Kennesaw St. Owls logo
Kennesaw St.
Owls
1-5
NCAAF · Liberty Flames at Kennesaw St. Owls

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Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw St. Owls Predictions October 22, 2026

Game time: October 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium — Kennesaw, GA

Article updated Oct 17, 12:59 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Liberty will beat Kennesaw St., with a projected score of Liberty Flames 28, Kennesaw St. Owls 20 on October 22. Makai Jackson’s conference-leading receiving production is the strongest reason to favor the Flames. Confidence is low, however, and neither Liberty -8.5 (-130) nor either side of the 48.5 total presents a clear betting edge. The official SportsJaw recommendation is Pass.

Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw St. Owls prediction and best bet

The Liberty pick rests on Jackson’s receiving production and a bye before this road trip. His ability to turn receptions into substantial yardage offers a plausible route to the scoring advantage reflected in the forecast. That is enough for a cautious winner selection, but an eight-point projection leaves Liberty short of covering -8.5.

Kennesaw State’s earlier close losses and improved offensive output make the underdog worth considering. They are not enough to turn a narrow projected cover into an official wager at -130. Best bet: Pass, with both the spread and total evaluated separately below.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Liberty Flames at Kennesaw St. Owls, 2026 college football season.

Kickoff: Thursday, October 22, 2026, at 7 p.m. ET.

Venue: Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium in Kennesaw, Georgia.

Broadcast: CBS Sports Network.

SportsJaw moneyline: Liberty -340; Kennesaw St. +270.

SportsJaw odds: Liberty Flames -8.5 (-178); Kennesaw St. Owls +8.5 (-104). Moneyline: Liberty Flames -317; Kennesaw St. Owls +285. Total: Over 48.5 (-112); Under 48.5 (-108).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Liberty Flames outlook

Liberty’s October 14 report credited Makai Jackson with 22 receptions, 515 receiving yards, five receiving touchdowns and 85.8 receiving yards per game through the first half of the season. Entering Week 7, he led Conference USA in receiving yards and receiving touchdowns and shared the lead in total touchdowns.

Jackson also caught a touchdown in each of Liberty’s first four games. He became the first Liberty player to score a touchdown in each of his first four appearances with the program. That sequence gives the forecast more grounding than a receiving-yardage total alone: his scoring contribution extended across several games.

Liberty has a bye before visiting Kennesaw State. The additional preparation time is a modest positive for the Flames, although it should not be treated as an automatic scoring advantage. The central question is whether Jackson’s production translates into enough successful possessions to create separation.

Kennesaw St. Owls outlook

Kennesaw State’s October 11 preview listed the Owls at 1-4 overall and 0-1 in Conference USA before their October 14 visit to Missouri State. Those are historical records, not confirmed records entering Liberty week. The Missouri State result is missing, so the assessment of their form stops before that game.

At that point, the Owls had suffered consecutive losses of 17-14 at Arkansas State and 27-26 against Jacksonville State. Against Jacksonville State on October 7, they generated 411 total yards, including 293 passing yards. Brayden Munroe contributed seven catches for 159 yards and led the team with 19 catches for 299 yards as of October 11.

Their rushing output had also increased. Kennesaw State averaged 157 rushing yards over the two games preceding Missouri State, compared with 87 against Georgia State and Tennessee. As of the same preview, the Owls were the only Conference USA team with four players who had each rushed for at least 100 yards and a touchdown.

Key matchup factors

The most useful tactical question is how Kennesaw State balances attention to Jackson with its broader defensive responsibilities. His production makes him an obvious focal point. The forecast favors Liberty converting that threat into points, without assuming a particular coverage assignment or personnel mismatch.

Kennesaw State’s defensive scoring figures offer the strongest counterweight. As of October 11, the Owls ranked fourth in Conference USA at 23.4 points allowed per game and had conceded 18.8 per game against non-Power 4 opponents. Those averages warrant caution about forecasting a comfortable Liberty cover, though they are not opponent-adjusted predictions for this game.

The Owls’ distributed rushing production also matters. Multiple contributors give their offense several possible routes to sustain possessions. Whether that translates into scoring against Liberty remains an uncertainty, which keeps confidence low.

Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw St. Owls spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Liberty -8.5 (-130) and Kennesaw St. +8.5 (-130). Liberty must win by at least nine points to cover; the projected eight-point margin instead falls narrowly on the Owls’ side.

That half-point difference is too fragile to justify paying -130 for Kennesaw State. Its earlier competitive losses make resistance plausible, but a close loss against another opponent is no guarantee here. Jackson supplies a reason to favor Liberty outright without supplying a reliable estimate of the winning margin.

Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw St. Owls total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 48.5 (-117) and Under 48.5 (-113). The projected 48 points sit only half a point below the line, an insufficient cushion for an Under recommendation.

Jackson’s scoring record and Kennesaw State’s productive Jacksonville State outing point toward offensive potential. The Owls’ defensive scoring averages pull the assessment toward restraint. With those competing considerations, a small change in finishing drives could move the result to either side of 48.5.

Liberty Flames vs Kennesaw St. Owls projected score

Game forecast: Liberty Flames 28, Kennesaw St. Owls 20. Jackson’s established receiving production tips the winner selection toward Liberty, with the bye adding a modest preparation advantage.

The strongest counterargument is Kennesaw State’s combination of earlier close games, improved rushing output and defensive resistance. The missing Missouri State result also limits how confidently those earlier performances can describe the Owls entering this matchup. Confidence: low. The official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Flames28

Owls20

Projected winner Liberty FlamesConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Liberty Flames -8.5 (-130) and Kennesaw St. Owls +8.5 (-130).

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 48.5 (-117) and Under 48.5 (-113).

Sources

  • Liberty UniversityJackson Added to Biletnikoff Award Watch List
  • Kennesaw State University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Football Readies for Return to Springfield to Face Missouri State

SportsJaw Flames vs Owls game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Flames vs Owls matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Liberty Flames-345 → -317Moved
  • Moneyline · Kennesaw St. Owls+270 → +285Moved
  • Spread · Liberty Flames-8.5 (-110) → -8.5 (-178)Moved
  • Spread · Kennesaw St. Owls+8.5 (-110) → +8.5 (-104)Moved
  • Total · Over47.5 (-112) → 48.5 (-112)Moved
  • Total · Under47.5 (-108) → 48.5 (-108)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Liberty Flames
5-1 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Kennesaw St. Owls
1-5 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-17T04:59:21.428Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-11-29Kennesaw St. Owls 48 · Liberty Flames 42
  • 2024-10-23Liberty Flames 24 · Kennesaw St. Owls 27