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  3. Nevada Wolfpack vs San Diego St. Aztecs
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NCAAF · Nevada Wolfpack at San Diego St. Aztecs

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San Diego State Looks to Capitalize on Nevada's Struggling Defense in Mountain West Showdown

Game time: October 21, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Snapdragon Stadium — San Diego, CA

Article updated Oct 15, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The game total is 47.5 points. Last season, SDSU defeated the Wolf Pack 23-7. Nevada has three players who are out due to injury, while the Aztecs have no injuries to report.

Game outlook

The game total is 47.5 points. Last season, SDSU defeated the Wolf Pack 23-7. Nevada has three players who are out due to injury, while the Aztecs have no injuries to report. The Nevada Wolf Pack and San Diego St. Aztecs will face off on Saturday at 6:00 p.m. PT in the Mountain West Conference.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/21/2023 @ 9:00pm EST

Where: Snapdragon Stadium Stadium Wolf Pack vs Aztecs Betting Odds Moneyline: Wolfpack +400 | Aztecs -550

Spread: Wolfpack +13.5 (-110) | Aztecs -13.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego St. will win straight-up is 85%.

Nevada Wolfpack

Last Saturday, Nevada was outmatched by UNLV with the Rebels storming out to a 28-7 lead they never looked back from. Despite the Wolf Pack putting up 27 points and 474 total yards, most of that offensive production was seen after UNLV had gotten far ahead. All of Nevada's defeats this season have been lopsided, outscored 206-80 among all of their games. Sophomore quarterback Brendon Lewis leads the Wolf Pack with 907 passing yards, two touchdowns and six interceptions, and also leads the team with 311 rush yards and three TDs. Junior RB Sean Dollars has 79 carries with a 3.1 yard averaging (241 yards). Four receivers have at least 175 receiving yards and senior Jamaal Bell leads them in receptions (26) and yards (247) Offensively, they score 17.3 points per game, rank 128th and average 322.7 total yards (116th) with 203.3 passing yards (100th) and 119.3 rushing yards (109th). Defensively, they surrender 39.5 points per game (132nd), 512.2 total yards (133rd) 314.7 passing yards (130th) and 197.5 rushing yards (124th). They have 12 sacks and three interceptions this season. Opposition converting 55.1% of third downs (132nd) and scoring 80.0% of red zone trips (51st). Power ranking of 129 and 0-6 (3-3 ATS) this season. The Nevada Wolf Pack have had a tough season, with all of their defeats being lopsided and a current power ranking of 129. Offensively, the team puts up 17.3 points per game, averaging 322.7 total yards and 203.3 passing yards. Defensively, they struggle giving up 39.5 points and 512.2 total yards per game, with an opposition success rate of over 55% on third downs and and 80.0% of red zone trips. Sophomore quarterback Brendon Lewis leads the team in passing and rushing yards, while senior Jamaal Bell is

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

San Diego St. Aztecs Analysis

The Aztecs earned their first conference victory of the season last week at Hawaii, scoring 21 fourth-quarter points to pull away from the Rainbow Warriors. San Diego State won by relying on both sides of the ball, particularly freshman running back Lucky Sutton who scored twice, and senior safety Deshawn McCuin who recorded a 70-yard pick-six. In spite of Hawaii outgaining SDSU 480-378, the Aztecs prevailed with four turnovers and a 14-minute advantage in time of possession. Senior QB Jalen Mayden leads the Aztecs in both passing and rushing, with 1,633 total yards, nine total touchdowns and six interceptions. Junior RB Jaylon Armstead have 60 carries for 257 yards and five TDs and Senior RB Kenan Christon has 64 carries for 234 yards. The team has four players who have at least 220 receiving yards this season. The Aztecs' defense gives up 31.3 points (107th) and 443.9 total yards per game (121st), including 277.9 passing yards (123rd) and 166.0 rushing yards (104th). The defense has nine sacks and nine interceptions this season.

San Diego State Ready to Take Advantage of Nevada's Struggling Defense

San Diego State's offense looks to exploit Nevada's less-than-impressive defense. Aztecs QB Mayden is expected to make the most of his time, likely leading the team to over 300 total yards and four TDs. The Wolf Pack's weaknesses should be evident from the start, as SDSU looks to build off the 21 fourth-quarter points earned in the previous matchup. The Aztecs should be able to contain the Pack, who relies heavily on their quarterback instead of rushing plays. With four turnovers last week, San Diego State is set to limit Nevada's ability on the field, resulting in a well-deserved victory.

Written by Johnmizner Published on 10/19/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Information is what wins games, having the upper edge in ways of injuries, knowing who's starting, and the coaching philosophies are just a few key eliminates that go into each and every play I put out.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NevadaWolfpack#SanDiegoStAztecs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wolfpack vs Aztecs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Wolfpack vs Aztecs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Nevada Wolfpack+440 → +335Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego St. Aztecs-625 → -435Moved
  • Spread · Nevada Wolfpack+13.5 (-110) → +11 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs-13.5 (-110) → -11 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over49.75 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under49.75 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Nevada Wolfpack
0-5 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego St. Aztecs
1-4 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-15T22:36:27.744Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The game total is 47.5 points. Last season, SDSU defeated the Wolf Pack 23-7. Nevada has three players who are out due to injury, while the Aztecs have no injuries to report. The Nevada Wolf Pack and San Diego St. Aztecs will face off on Saturday at 6:00 p.m. PT in the Mountain West Conference.

About the Author: Information is what wins games, having the upper edge in ways of injuries, knowing who's starting, and the coaching philosophies are just a few key eliminates that go into each and every play I put out.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-22San Diego St. Aztecs 23 · Nevada Wolfpack 7
  • 2021-11-13Nevada Wolfpack 21 · San Diego St. Aztecs 23
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Nevada Wolfpack defeated San Diego St. Aztecs 6-0

Nevada Wolfpack defeated San Diego St. Aztecs 6-0 on October 21, 2023, a 6-point decision in the series. Nevada Wolfpack's strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Nevada Wolfpack +11 (-110) spread, Nevada Wolfpack covered, while the 6 combined points finished under the recorded total of 48.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MoneymouthSpread · Nevada Wolfpack +13.5 (-110)Win
  • DrpaulSpread · Nevada Wolfpack +13.5 (-110)Win
  • MiamimikeSpread · Nevada Wolfpack +13.5 (-110)Win
  • Steve512Spread · Nevada Wolfpack +13.5 (-110)Win
  • Philly267Spread · Nevada Wolfpack +13.5 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Nevada Wolfpack +13.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -11.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 48 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -11.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -11.5 (-110)Loss
  • TgodfreyTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Win
  • Randy54Spread · Nevada Wolfpack +11 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksSpread · Nevada Wolfpack -11 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -11 (-110)Loss