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  3. Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Sat 6:30 PM ET
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Cavaliers31
0-5
versus
North Carolina Tar Heels logo
North Carolina
Tar Heels27
6-0
Final
Team1234T
Virginia Cavaliers14010731
North Carolina Tar Heels7107327
NCAAF · Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels

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No. 10 UNC Tar Heels Gun For Third Straight Win Against Virginia Cavaliers

Game time: October 21, 2023 at 6:30 PM ET

Venue: Kenan Stadium — Chapel Hill, NC

Article updated Oct 15, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The #10 ranked Tar Heels (6-0; 5-1-0 ATS) will be hosting the Virginia Cavaliers (1-5; 4-2-0 ATS) at Kenan Stadium on Saturday at 6:30 p.m. EDT. Both teams have met twice

Game outlook

The #10 ranked Tar Heels (6-0; 5-1-0 ATS) will be hosting the Virginia Cavaliers (1-5; 4-2-0 ATS) at Kenan Stadium on Saturday at 6:30 p.m. EDT. Both teams have met twice before, with UNC emerging victorious in both meetings. The Tar Heels aim to make it three by taking the rivalry game and protect their playoff hopes. Virginia will be looking to spoil that run and win the game.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/21/2023 @ 6:30pm EST

Where: Kenan Memorial Stadium Stadium Cavaliers vs Tar Heels Betting Odds Moneyline: Cavaliers +1,015 | Tar Heels -2,150

Spread: Cavaliers +23.5 (-110) | Tar Heels -23.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 57 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 96%.

Virginia Cavaliers

The Cavaliers are batteling the tough task of defending against their opponents, as they are surrendering 177.0 yards per game on the ground and allowing 7.1 yards per attempt through the air. Senior wide receiver Malik Washington has earned himself 8th in the nation, with 44 catches, 668 yards, and five touchdowns to his name this season. Despite these efforts, the Cavaliers have a challenge ahead in North Carolina where they must exceed their last score of 24 points in order to claim a Power Five win. Power Ranking of 107 Ranked 102nd in offense (scoring an average of 22.33 per game) Ranked 108th in defense (allowing an average of 31.83 points to be scored against them per game) Record: 1-5 (4-2 ATS) Surrendering 177.0 yards per game on the ground Allow 7.1 yards per attempt through the air Wide receiver Malik Washington has 44 catches, 668 yards (8th in the nation), and five touchdowns Must exceed 24 points to claim a Power Five win

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

North Carolina Tar Heels Analysis

The North Carolina Tar Heels football team is undefeated and knocking on the door of another ACC Championship Game appearance. Led by NFL Draft prospect Drake Maye, the team's offense is the 8th best in the nation in terms of yards per game, averaging 501.3 per game, and 15th in scoring at 37.3 points per game. Omarion Hampton leads the rushing attack, averaging 184.3 yards per game and 15th nationwide with 658 yards. Maye is 12th nationally in passing yards with 1,902, and 12 passing touchdowns. On the defensive side, UNC allows 21.0 points per game, and opponents typically pass the ball against them (245.8 yards/game). The Tar Heels have 16 sacks and nine interceptions, and give up 3.6 yards per rush. Only two opponents have reached 30 points against the Tar Heels. Power Ranking: 25 Offense: #18 (36.60 average points/game) Defense: #29 (19.00 average points given up/game) Overall record: 6-0 (5-1 ATS) Last 3 matchups against Virginia: 2-1 (1-2 ATS)

UNC Tar Heels' Impressive Record Foreshadows Possible Blowout Against Virginia

With their strong offensive production and points per game average, the UNC Tar Heels look to be the more formidable team. Their three consecutive ATS wins on their home turf against quality opponents demonstrate their quality and prowess. Virginia, on the other hand, has struggled against quality adversaries in past games, losing by 36 on a neutral site and 28 on the road. Virginia's score per game average is the lowest in the ACC, and their defense grants the most points per game, making a blowout in favor of UNC a likely outcome for Saturday.

Written by Johnmizner Published on 10/19/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Information is what wins games, having the upper edge in ways of injuries, knowing who's starting, and the coaching philosophies are just a few key eliminates that go into each and every play I put out.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

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#VirginiaCavaliers#NorthCarolinaTarHeels

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cavaliers vs Tar Heels archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Cavaliers vs Tar Heels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Virginia Cavaliers+1,150 → +1,200Moved
  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-3,335 → -2,500Moved
  • Spread · Virginia Cavaliers+23.5 (-110) → +24 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-23.5 (-110) → -24 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over56 (-110) → 58 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under56 (-110) → 58 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Virginia Cavaliers
0-5 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
North Carolina Tar Heels
6-0 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-15T22:36:18.518Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

About the Author: Information is what wins games, having the upper edge in ways of injuries, knowing who's starting, and the coaching philosophies are just a few key eliminates that go into each and every play I put out.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-05North Carolina Tar Heels 31 · Virginia Cavaliers 28
  • 2021-09-18Virginia Cavaliers 39 · North Carolina Tar Heels 59
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Virginia Cavaliers defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 31-27

Virginia Cavaliers defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 31-27 on October 21, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Virginia Cavaliers' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-7. Against SportsJaw's recorded Virginia Cavaliers +24 (-110) spread, Virginia Cavaliers covered, while the 58 total pushed.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MickeytTotal · Over 56 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -23.5 (-110)Loss
  • Amp2224Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels -23.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Virginia Cavaliers +24 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 58 (-110)Push
  • OddssharkSpread · Virginia Cavaliers +24 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 58 (-110)Push