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  3. Wisconsin Badgers vs Illinois Fighting Illini
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NCAAF · Wisconsin Badgers at Illinois Fighting Illini

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Wisconsin Badgers vs Fighting Illini: Injury Woes Make Winning Outcome Uncertain

Game time: October 21, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) — Champaign, IL

Article updated Oct 15, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Saturday, two teams from the West Division of the meet up on the gridiron as they look to earn a victory in the Land of Lincoln. Wisconsin, who was beaten 15-6 at home

Game outlook

This Saturday, two teams from the West Division of the meet up on the gridiron as they look to earn a victory in the Land of Lincoln. Wisconsin, who was beaten 15-6 at home by Iowa last Saturday, will be on the road to face the Fighting Illini of Illinois. Illinois recently won their last match up against Maryland 27-24 on the road, making them 13-point underdogs. The all-time series between the teams favors the Badgers 44-39-7, though the most recent matchup was an Illinois win last October. Wisconsin are the favorites with an opening line of -4.5, currently sitting at -2.5.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/21/2023 @ 3:30pm EST

Where: Memorial Stadium Stadium Badgers vs Fighting Illini Betting Odds Moneyline: Badgers -135 | Fighting Illini +115

Spread: Badgers -2.5 (-110) | Fighting Illini +2.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 42 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Wisconsin will win straight-up is 57%.

Wisconsin Badgers

This week’s matchup with Iowa cost Wisconsin more than a spot in the standings, as they fell to a 4-2 record overall and 2-1 record in the Big Ten, leaving them second in the West Division. The Badgers trailed 7-0 from the start and failed to score in second half, ultimately taking a 13-6 loss to the Hawkeyes. They had a slim advantage in total offense (332-237), as well as 18 first downs compared to Iowa’s nine, yet weren’t able to capitalize on either. Additionally, they gave up a safety while not registering a takeaway and had two turnovers to their name. Overall power ranking: 39 Offense ranking: 52 Average points scored per game: 31.40 Defense ranking: 27 Average points conceded per game: 18.40 Overall season record: 4-2 (2-4 ATS) The loss of quarterback Tanner Mordecai to a broken hand has placed more of an emphasis on Braelon Allen and Braedyn Locke, who are compensating in preparation for the upcoming games. Will Pauling leads the team in receiving with 30 catches for 303 yards, while Chimere Dike (15 receptions, 272 yards), Bryson Green (15 grabs, 204 yards) and Skyler Bell (17 catches, 131 yards) have put up impressive numbers as well. Nathanial Vakos is 10 of 11 in field goals with a long of 52, and 17 of 17 on extra points. In addition to Mordecai, Mellusi (broken fibula) is out for the season.

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Illinois Fighting Illini Analysis

The Illinois Fighting Illini snapped a two-game slide and won for just the second time in six games as they took down Maryland on the road last week. The team improved to 3-4 overall and is tied for the basement in the Big Ten West with a 1-3 mark in conference play. The Fighting Illini played a tight game against the Terrapins with the score being tied at 14 after the half and at 24 at the end of the third quarter. In the end, Illinois sealed the victory with Caleb Griffin's 43-yard field goal as time expired. The team is averaging 244 yards per game in passing offense, ranking them 55th in the FBS, and 127.6 yards per contest in rushing offense, situating them at 102nd in the country. They are 118th in the FBS with their scoring offense average of 20.3 points per game and 86th with a scoring defense average of 28.1 points per game. Quarterback Luke Altmyer is 138 of 218 passing for 1,571 yards with eight touchdowns and nine interceptions this season. He also has 67 carries for 201 yards and three scores on the ground. Reggie Love III leads in the run game with 51 carries for 257 yards and a score. Josh McCray, Kaden Feagin, and Aidan Laughery are the other primary players in the run game. In the passing game, Casey Washington (21 grabs, 237 yards), Pat Bryant (23 receptions, 292 yards, five TD), Griffin Moore (eight catches, 129 yards, TD), Tip Reiman (12 grabs, 152 yards, TD) and Hank Beatty (eight receptions, 65 yards) are other reliable options. Notable injuries include McCray (neck) and Love III (leg) both out, and Feagin (shoulder) questionable. Power Ranking: #72 Overall Record: 3-4 (1-3 Conference) Passing Offense: #55 (244 yards per game) Rushing Offense: #102 (127.6 yards per game) Scoring Offense: #118 (20.3 points per game) Scoring Defense: #86 (28.1 points per game)

Injury Issues Leave Outcomes Unclear as Wisconsin and Illinois Prepare to Clash

Both teams are dealing with injury issues that may affect their performance. Wisconsin has lost Mordecai, leaving Locke with little collegiate level experience in the Air Raid system implemented by offensive coordinator Phil Longo. Illinois running back situation is unclear, posing a problem for their offensive success. Altmyer has thrown 9 interceptions and Wisconsin's defense has demonstrated their capability with 10 takeaways in 6 games. Their ability to capitalise on these turnovers could quite possibly be the difference in the game as Illinois has committed 14 turnovers this season. Wisconsin may leverage a short field to gain a tough, hard-fought victory.

Written by Tweiskoff Published on 10/18/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Tim Weiskoff is a Las Vegas regular, has made his living wagering on sports since 1990 and has been one of the top handicappers in the industry for more than 10 years.

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#WisconsinBadgers#IllinoisFightingIllini

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Badgers vs Fighting Illini archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Badgers vs Fighting Illini matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Wisconsin Badgers-195 → -158Moved
  • Moneyline · Illinois Fighting Illini+155 → +135Moved
  • Spread · Wisconsin Badgers-4.5 (-110) → -3 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Illinois Fighting Illini+4.5 (-110) → +3 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over43 (-110) → 40.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under43 (-110) → 40.75 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Wisconsin Badgers
4-2 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Illinois Fighting Illini
3-4 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-15T22:36:06.419Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Illinois Fighting Illini snapped a two-game slide and won for just the second time in six games as they took down Maryland on the road last week. The team improved to 3-4 overall and is tied for the basement in the Big Ten West with a 1-3 mark in conference play. The Fighting Illini played a tight game against the Terrapins with the score being tied at 14 after the half and at 24 at the end of the third quarter. In the end, Illinois sealed the victory with Caleb Griffin's 43-yard field goal as time expired. The team is averaging 244 yards per game in passing offense, ranking them 55th in the FBS, and 127.6 yards per contest in rushing offense, situating them at 102nd in the country. They are 118th in the FBS with their scoring offense average of 20.3 points per game and 86th with a scoring defense average of 28.1 points per game. Quarterback Luke Altmyer is 138 of 218 passing for 1,571 yards with eight touchdowns and nine interceptions this season. He also has 67 carries for 201 yards and three scores on the ground. Reggie Love III leads in the run game with 51 carries for 257 yards and a score. Josh McCray, Kaden Feagin, and Aidan Laughery are the other primary players in the run game. In the passing game, Casey Washington (21 grabs, 237 yards), Pat Bryant (23 receptions, 292 yards, five TD), Griffin Moore (eight catches, 129 yards, TD), Tip Reiman (12 grabs, 152 yards, TD) and Hank Beatty (eight receptions, 65 yards) are other reliable options. Notable injuries include McCray (neck) and Love III (leg) both out, and Feagin (shoulder) questionable. Power Ranking: #72 Overall Record: 3-4 (1-3 Conference) Passing Offense: #55 (244 yards per game) Rushing Offense: #102 (127.6 yards per game) Scoring Offense: #118 (20.3 points per game) Scoring Defense: #86 (28.1 points per game)

Both teams are dealing with injury issues that may affect their performance. Wisconsin has lost Mordecai, leaving Locke with little collegiate level experience in the Air Raid system implemented by offensive coordinator Phil Longo. Illinois running back situation is unclear, posing a problem for their offensive success. Altmyer has thrown 9 interceptions and Wisconsin's defense has demonstrated their capability with 10 takeaways in 6 games. Their ability to capitalise on these turnovers could quite possibly be the difference in the game as Illinois has committed 14 turnovers this season. Wisconsin may leverage a short field to gain a tough, hard-fought victory.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-01Illinois Fighting Illini 34 · Wisconsin Badgers 10
  • 2021-10-09Wisconsin Badgers 24 · Illinois Fighting Illini 0
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Wisconsin Badgers defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 25-21

Wisconsin Badgers defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 25-21 on October 21, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Wisconsin Badgers' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 18-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Wisconsin Badgers -3 (-110) spread, Wisconsin Badgers covered, while the 46 combined points finished over the recorded total of 40.75.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JoeThomasTotal · Over 43 (-110)Win
  • UncledavidSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +4.5 (-110)Win
  • 72dolphinsSpread · Wisconsin Badgers -3 (-110)Win
  • GsimmsSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +2.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Wisconsin Badgers -3 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Wisconsin Badgers -3 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 40.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Wisconsin Badgers -3 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 40.5 (-110)Win