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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Baylor Bears vs Cincinnati Bearcats
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Baylor Bears logo
Baylor
Bears32
1-4
versus
Cincinnati Bearcats logo
Cincinnati
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Team1234T
Baylor Bears3179332
Cincinnati Bearcats01401529
NCAAF · Baylor Bears at Cincinnati Bearcats

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Cincinnati Bearcats and Baylor Bears Battle for Victory this Saturday

Game time: October 21, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Nippert Stadium — Cincinnati, OH

Article updated Oct 15, 6:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

5 despite suffering a 20-point loss last week against Iowa State. Meanwhile, the Baylor Bears are coming off a bye and a 39-14 loss to Texas Tech two weeks ago, covering the

Game outlook

5 despite suffering a 20-point loss last week against Iowa State. Meanwhile, the Baylor Bears are coming off a bye and a 39-14 loss to Texas Tech two weeks ago, covering the 2.5-point spread. On Saturday, the two will meet for the first time ever now that Baylor is a FBS member.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/21/2023 @ 12:00pm EST

Where: Nippert Stadium Stadium Bears vs Bearcats Betting Odds Moneyline: Bears +127 | Bearcats -150

Spread: Bears +3 (-110) | Bearcats -3 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cincinnati will win straight-up is 60%.

Baylor Bears

Baylor had a bye last week, giving them two weeks to prepare for this contest. Prior to this, the Bears were flattened by Texas Tech at home in their previous game, dropping them to a 2-4 overall record and 1-2 in the Big 12. Against Texas Tech, Baylor was outgained 366-341 in total offense, gave up 19 first downs while recording 17 and was edged 30:04 to 29:56 in time of possession. With a power ranking of 101, Baylor's offense is ranked 109 nationally, scoring an average of 21.67 points per game. The defense is ranked 99th, allowing an average of 30.17 points per game on average, and the team is 2-4 (1-4-1 ATS) this season. Blake Shapen is 64 of 103 passing for 920 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions this season. Richard Reese leads the team on the ground with 49 carries for 229 yards and two scores. Monaray Baldwin (404 yards, two TD) and Hal Presley (222 yards) each lead the team in receptions with 17. Isaiah Hankins is nine of nine on extra point attempts and 11 of 14 on field goal attempts with a long of 53 this year.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Cincinnati Bearcats Analysis

The Cincinnati Bearcats have had a bumpy transition to the Big 12, with their most recent loss coming to Iowa State. In the game, the Bearcats were outgained 364-214 in total offense, gave up 17 first downs while picking up 15, and lost the time-of-possession battle in terms of 33:40 to 26:20. Quarterback Emory Jones has put up 1,322 yards passing with 11 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, while adding 352 yards and 3 scores on the ground. Corey Kiner leads the team on the ground with 87 carries for 434 yards and two scores this season. Xzavier Henderson leads the team with 30 receptions for 414 yards and a score, and Braden Smith (22 catches, 307 yards, 3 TDs), Dee Wiggins (15 grabs, 204 yards, TD) and Chamon Metayer (12 catches, 159 yards, 3 TDs) are each over 150 receiving yards this season. Offense - # 65, scoring an average of 30.00 per game Defense - # 61, giving up an average of 24.00 points per game Overall - 2-4 (2-4 ATS) Three-Game Record - 0-3 (0-3 ATS) against Baylor

Baylor Bears to Overcome Bearcats in Difficult Road Game Despite Jones' Mobile Presence

With one win apiece in Big 12 play, both teams enter this contest with a difficult season behind them. Baylor has improved with the return of Shapen, recently impressing in their away win against UCF. Coach Dave Aranda should be well-prepared to overcome Jones' mobile presence for the Bearcats. However, Baylor will have to focus on slowing the powerful Bearcat run game, with an average of 184.3 yards per game, 4.9 yards per carry, and 14 scores in this season. Given Cincinnati's tendency to turn the ball over, they may prove to be their own undoing. We believe Baylor will win on the road, with the Bearcats performing poorly under the pressure.

Written by Steved Published on 10/18/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: I apply a behind the scenes mix of technical analyze of stats, real-time news, and fundamental analysis that helps spot advantages to give me and my clients the edge.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BaylorBears#CincinnatiBearcats

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Bearcats archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bears vs Bearcats matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Baylor Bears-106 → +115Moved
  • Moneyline · Cincinnati Bearcats-115 → -136Moved
  • Spread · Baylor Bears+1 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Cincinnati Bearcats-1 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over52 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under52 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Baylor Bears
1-4 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cincinnati Bearcats
1-3 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-15T22:35:56.225Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Baylor Bears defeated Cincinnati Bearcats 32-29

Baylor Bears defeated Cincinnati Bearcats 32-29 on October 21, 2023, a 3-point decision in the series. Baylor Bears' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 9-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110) spread, Baylor Bears covered, while the 61 combined points finished over the recorded total of 50.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • ThetotalerSpread · Baylor Bears +1 (-110)Win
  • SfdanSpread · Baylor Bears +1 (-110)Win
  • 72dolphinsTotal · Over 52 (-110)Win
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Over 52 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Baylor Bears +3 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Cincinnati Bearcats -3.25 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Cincinnati Bearcats -3 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 50.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Cincinnati Bearcats -3 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 50.5 (-110)Win