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  3. Mississippi St. Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks
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NCAAF · Mississippi St. Bulldogs at Arkansas Razorbacks

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Arkansas Razorbacks Poised to Ding Mississippi State Bulldogs and End Losing Streak

Game time: October 21, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Razorback Stadium — Fayetteville, AR

Article updated Oct 15, 6:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Saturday, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) travel to Fayetteville, Arkansas to face the Razorbacks (2-5). This SEC matchup has the Razorbacks as the betting favorite

Game outlook

On Saturday, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) travel to Fayetteville, Arkansas to face the Razorbacks (2-5). This SEC matchup has the Razorbacks as the betting favorite at -7 initially and -6 currently. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 PM EST.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/21/2023 @ 12:00pm EST

Where: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium Stadium Bulldogs vs Razorbacks Betting Odds Moneyline: Bulldogs +200 | Razorbacks -240

Spread: Bulldogs +6 (-110) | Razorbacks -6 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Arkansas will win straight-up is 71%.

Mississippi St. Bulldogs

The Mississippi State Bulldogs achieved a breakthrough win two weeks ago, defeating Western Michigan by a score of 41-28. This ended a three game losing streak and subsequently the Bulldogs used their bye week to rest and identify areas in which they need to improve. Quarterback Will Rogers was 16 of 22 for 189 yards in the game, with Mike Wright taking relief in the second half, going 7 of 10 for 57 yards and a touchdown. Despite being successful on the field, the Bulldogs are faced with an injury list; with WR J. Robinson (undisclosed), QB W. Rogers (arm), RB J. Pittman (undisclosed), TE R. Goede (foot), RB J. Marks (leg), and K J. Ferrie (foot) all being questionable and DL K. Dinkins (undisclosed), and DL T. Williams (undisclosed) being out. Breaking down the Bulldogs' statistics, they have a power rating of 87, and are ranked: 96th in rushing 76th in passing 82nd in red zone offense 110th in total defense 64th against the run 122nd against the pass 116th in third down defense 40th in the country in sacks 119th in red zone defense 47th in the nation in penalties per game 57th in the country in turnover differential The Bulldogs are 3-3 on the season (1-5 ATS), and are aiming to remain competitive in the second half of the season in order to reach their goal of playing in a post-season bowl game.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Arkansas Razorbacks Analysis

The Arkansas Razorbacks lost their fifth game in a row to 11th ranked Alabama Saturday, but competed with intensity and improved play. Head Coach Sam Pittman gave praise to his team for their effort, noting they were able to remain competitive in a tough venue. Quarterback KJ Jefferson shone for the Razorbacks, going 14-of-24 for 150 yards and two touchdowns, plus 64 yards from 14 carries. The offense as a whole managed 250 yards of total offense. Arkansas's defense was impressive to, getting five sacks in total and excellent play from Landon Jackson who made 11 tackles and 3.5 sacks. As Arkansas's season marches on, the improved play from Jefferson gives the Razorbacks hope. The Razorbacks have #115 offense (108th for the ground game, 99th through the air, and 13th in the red zone), #43 defense (70th against the run and 43rd against the pass,17th in sacks, and 101st in red zone defense), and are #74 in turnover differential . Additionally, they rank 94th in penalties per game. The injury report includes DB D. McGlothern (concussion), DB J. Braxton (undisclosed), P D. Bale (undisclosed), LB C. Paul (head) and DL C. Ball (undisclosed) are all questionable, and RB R. Sanders (undisclosed) is out. Arkansas face Mississippi State this week in a match where they must capitalize on the energy and momentum generated against Alabama. The Bulldogs have the power ranking of 62 and are 2-5 (4-3 ATS) overall when facing Arkansas who were in a 1-2 (ATS) result in the last 3 games between the two teams.

Jefferson Poised to Exact Revenge on Mississippi State and End Razorbacks' Losing Streak.

Jefferson's impressive performance against Crimson Tide bodes well for the Razorbacks going forward. His ability to evade defenders on Saturday is reminiscent of his successful two seasons prior. On Saturday, the team will battle Mississippi State with their sub-par defense, with whom Jefferson missed the matchup last season. Two years ago, Jefferson contributed to the Razorbacks' victory over the Bulldogs. On Saturday, Jefferson may inflict significant damage on MSU's pass defense - 122nd in the country - while the Arkansas pass rush is 17th in sacking the quarterback. A strong effort from the Razorbacks is expected, bringing an end to their five-game losing streak. Arkansas -5.5 is an ideal bet.

Written by Jamescashiola Published on 10/18/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Poker player and sports bettor. Cut my teeth working at Oddsboard.com writing picks content for a couple of old codgers. I've been betting on sports for over 10 years and last couple years I've won more than I've lost. NFL & College football are my jam.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

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#MississippiStBulldogs#ArkansasRazorbacks

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bulldogs vs Razorbacks archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bulldogs vs Razorbacks matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Mississippi St. Bulldogs+228 → +221Moved
  • Moneyline · Arkansas Razorbacks-290 → -268Moved
  • Spread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs+7 (-110) → +7 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Arkansas Razorbacks-7 (-110) → -7 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over50.5 (-110) → 46 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under50.5 (-110) → 46 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Mississippi St. Bulldogs
2-3 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Arkansas Razorbacks
1-5 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-15T22:35:59.004Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs achieved a breakthrough win two weeks ago, defeating Western Michigan by a score of 41-28. This ended a three game losing streak and subsequently the Bulldogs used their bye week to rest and identify areas in which they need to improve. Quarterback Will Rogers was 16 of 22 for 189 yards in the game, with Mike Wright taking relief in the second half, going 7 of 10 for 57 yards and a touchdown. Despite being successful on the field, the Bulldogs are faced with an injury list; with WR J. Robinson (undisclosed), QB W. Rogers (arm), RB J. Pittman (undisclosed), TE R. Goede (foot), RB J. Marks (leg), and K J. Ferrie (foot) all being questionable and DL K. Dinkins (undisclosed), and DL T. Williams (undisclosed) being out. Breaking down the Bulldogs' statistics, they have a power rating of 87, and are ranked: 96th in rushing 76th in passing 82nd in red zone offense 110th in total defense 64th against the run 122nd against the pass 116th in third down defense 40th in the country in sacks 119th in red zone defense 47th in the nation in penalties per game 57th in the country in turnover differential The Bulldogs are 3-3 on the season (1-5 ATS), and are aiming to remain competitive in the second half of the season in order to reach their goal of playing in a post-season bowl game.

The Arkansas Razorbacks lost their fifth game in a row to 11th ranked Alabama Saturday, but competed with intensity and improved play. Head Coach Sam Pittman gave praise to his team for their effort, noting they were able to remain competitive in a tough venue. Quarterback KJ Jefferson shone for the Razorbacks, going 14-of-24 for 150 yards and two touchdowns, plus 64 yards from 14 carries. The offense as a whole managed 250 yards of total offense. Arkansas's defense was impressive to, getting five sacks in total and excellent play from Landon Jackson who made 11 tackles and 3.5 sacks. As Arkansas's season marches on, the improved play from Jefferson gives the Razorbacks hope. The Razorbacks have #115 offense (108th for the ground game, 99th through the air, and 13th in the red zone), #43 defense (70th against the run and 43rd against the pass,17th in sacks, and 101st in red zone defense), and are #74 in turnover differential . Additionally, they rank 94th in penalties per game. The injury report includes DB D. McGlothern (concussion), DB J. Braxton (undisclosed), P D. Bale (undisclosed), LB C. Paul (head) and DL C. Ball (undisclosed) are all questionable, and RB R. Sanders (undisclosed) is out. Arkansas face Mississippi State this week in a match where they must capitalize on the energy and momentum generated against Alabama. The Bulldogs have the power ranking of 62 and are 2-5 (4-3 ATS) overall when facing Arkansas who were in a 1-2 (ATS) result in the last 3 games between the two teams.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-08Arkansas Razorbacks 17 · Mississippi St. Bulldogs 40
  • 2021-11-06Mississippi St. Bulldogs 28 · Arkansas Razorbacks 31
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Mississippi St. Bulldogs defeated Arkansas Razorbacks 7-3

Mississippi St. Bulldogs defeated Arkansas Razorbacks 7-3 on October 21, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Mississippi St. Bulldogs' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Mississippi St. Bulldogs +7 (-110) spread, Mississippi St. Bulldogs covered, while the 10 combined points finished under the recorded total of 46.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BookieslayerSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +7 (-110)Win
  • EljefeTotal · Under 50.5 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs -6.5 (-110)Win
  • DtownsendSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +6 (-110)Win
  • FatherFirstMoneyline · Arkansas Razorbacks -255Loss
  • CoversSpread · Arkansas Razorbacks -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +6.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 47 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +6.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 47 (-110)Loss