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  3. Missouri St. Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens
Tue 7:00 PM ET
Missouri St. Bears logo
Missouri St.
Bears38
2-4
versus
Delaware Blue Hens logo
Delaware
Blue Hens61
2-4
Final
Team1234T
Missouri St. Bears14147338
Delaware Blue Hens717211661
NCAAF · Missouri St. Bears at Delaware Blue Hens

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Missouri St. Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 20, 2026

Game time: October 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Delaware Stadium — Newark, DE

Article updated Oct 20, 7:16 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Delaware will beat Missouri State 27-24, with its Conference USA-leading passing production and 19 sacks through six games providing the strongest reasons to favor the Blue Hens. Both teams received productive first starts from quarterbacks in their latest games, keeping the forecast close. Neither Delaware -3 (-110) nor the total of 52.5 offers a convincing wager. The official recommendation is Pass.

Missouri St. Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens prediction and best bet

Delaware gets the narrow nod because its season-long passing production offers something more substantial than a single encouraging performance. The Blue Hens lead Conference USA with 271.0 passing yards per game, and their pass rush gives them another potential way to influence this matchup.

Missouri State brings a credible upset threat after Henry Belin IV's productive first Bears start. With both teams entering at 2-4, the evidence favors a competitive game more strongly than a decisive Delaware advantage. The forecast is Delaware 27, Missouri State 24, with low confidence. The best betting decision is Pass: the spread matches that projected margin, and the total leaves too little room for error.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Tuesday, October 20, 2026, at 7 p.m. ET.

Venue: Delaware Stadium in Newark, Delaware.

Broadcast: ESPNU, with Mike Corey and Craig Haubert.

Records: Missouri St. Bears 2-4; Delaware Blue Hens 2-4.

SportsJaw odds: Missouri St. Bears +3 (-106); Delaware Blue Hens -3 (-114). Moneyline: Missouri St. Bears +135; Delaware Blue Hens -155. Total: Over 54.5 (-110); Under 54.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Series: This is the programs' first meeting, with both in their second Conference USA season.

Missouri St. Bears outlook

Belin completed 28 of 39 passes for 300 yards and two touchdowns against Kennesaw State on October 14. He accounted for 324 of Missouri State's 421 total yards and completed all 10 of his third-down passes for 123 yards. That performance gives the Bears an encouraging recent offensive reference, although repeating that third-down efficiency is a demanding expectation.

Isaiah Myers supplies the clearest established threat. He leads Conference USA with 554 receiving yards and 92.3 yards per game, with five receiving touchdowns. His seven catches for 135 yards and two scores against Kennesaw State show how much he contributed to Belin's successful start.

Missouri State also received three field goals on three attempts from Yousef Obeid in that win. His 32 consecutive successful extra points offer another useful detail in a matchup projected to finish close.

Delaware Blue Hens outlook

Tyler Bell's first career start produced a Delaware freshman record of 306 passing yards against Middle Tennessee. He completed 22 of 36 attempts with two passing touchdowns and added 15 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown. Conference USA named him Freshman of the Week on October 19.

Sean Wilson has 25 receptions for 339 yards and three touchdowns. Wilson and Da'Wain Lofton are the league's only receiving duo with more than 300 yards each, giving Delaware multiple established targets.

The caution is scoring conversion. Delaware averages 365.0 total yards but 22.8 points per game, so its passing-yardage lead should not be mistaken for overwhelming scoring power. The 19 sacks through six games offer a separate reason for optimism, though that total alone does not tell us how successfully Missouri State will protect its quarterback.

Key matchup factors

The pivotal question is whether Delaware can disrupt Missouri State's passing rhythm before Myers becomes the deciding player. The Blue Hens' sack production makes that a plausible route to victory. The Bears' latest third-down performance supplies a strong counterargument, but it remains one game's result.

Quarterback expectations carry some uncertainty. Missouri State's October 16 preview details Belin's start in its latest win, while Delaware's October 17 preview identifies Skyler Locklear as the Bears' offensive leader. Those accounts leave the starting role unclear. Belin's recent performance informs this forecast without making his next start a certainty.

The spread consensus favors Delaware, but the moneyline points the other way. As of October 20 at 11:12 UTC, the combined spread consensus was 68% for Delaware -3 (-113), up seven percentage points from the prior-day snapshot. SportsJaw members and qualified handicappers each favored that selection at 57%. The separate moneyline consensus leaned Missouri State +130 at 52%. These are selection shares, not win probabilities.

Missouri St. Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens spread prediction

Pass on Delaware -3 (-110) and Missouri State +3 (-110). A three-point Delaware victory would push either spread selection, so the projected score supplies no cushion for choosing a side.

Delaware's passing profile supports picking the winner, while Missouri State's recent offensive performance makes laying points less attractive. The consensus price of Delaware -3 (-113) is distinct from the supplied SportsJaw price of -3 (-110). Support for the favorite is useful context, but it does not turn a narrow forecast into demonstrated spread value.

Missouri St. Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens total prediction

Pass on the total of 52.5, with Over and Under both priced at -110. The projected 51 points sit below the line, but a 1.5-point difference is a thin foundation when both teams' latest quarterback starts produced at least 300 passing yards.

SportsJaw members favor Under 53 (-112) at 60%, and qualified handicappers favor that same selection at 67%. Those opinions concern a different threshold and price. Delaware's scoring average adds some Under appeal, but it describes only one offense. The recent passing performances create enough uncertainty to keep Under 52.5 (-110) off the official betting card.

Missouri St. Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Delaware 27, Missouri State 24. Delaware's passing production and sack total give the Blue Hens a slight edge. The strongest counterargument is Missouri State's Belin-to-Myers connection, which could swing the game if it repeats its latest performance.

Confidence is low because the edge is narrow and Missouri State's quarterback outlook remains uncertain. The spread and total are both passes at the supplied prices. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Bears24

Blue Hens27

Projected winner Delaware Blue HensConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Delaware Blue Hens -3 (-110) and Missouri St. Bears +3 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • University of Delaware AthleticsFootball Plays Host to Missouri State on Tuesday for Senior Day
  • Missouri State AthleticsBears Square Off with Delaware Tuesday on ESPNU
  • Conference USAFB: Weekday CUSA Heats Up in Week Eight
#MissouriStBears#DelawareBlueHens

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Blue Hens game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Bears vs Blue Hens matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Missouri St. Bears+113 → +135Moved
  • Moneyline · Delaware Blue Hens-153 → -155Moved
  • Spread · Missouri St. Bears+2.5 (-111) → +3 (-106)Moved
  • Spread · Delaware Blue Hens-2.5 (-120) → -3 (-114)Moved
  • Total · Over51.5 (-122) → 54.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under51.5 (-108) → 54.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Missouri St. Bears
2-4 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Delaware Blue Hens
2-4 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-18T03:31:41.851Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Delaware Blue Hens defeated Missouri St. Bears 61-38

Delaware Blue Hens defeated Missouri St. Bears 61-38 on October 20, 2026, a 23-point decision in the series. Delaware Blue Hens' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-7. Against SportsJaw's recorded Missouri St. Bears +3 (-106) spread, Delaware Blue Hens covered, while the 99 combined points finished over the recorded total of 54.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerDelaware Blue HensWin
  • SpreadPass on Delaware Blue Hens -3 (-110) and Missouri St. Bears +3 (-110)Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 52.5 (-110) and Under 52.5 (-110)Pass

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsSpread · Delaware Blue Hens -3 (-111)Win
  • PurplebloodSpread · Missouri St. Bears +3 (-105)Loss
  • RcollinsSpread · Delaware Blue Hens -3 (-111)Win
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Delaware Blue Hens -3 (-111)Win
  • 1118240754Total · Under 52.5 (-105)Loss
  • GeorgewTotal · Under 52.5 (-105)Loss
  • JackCohenTotal · Over 52.5 (-112)Win
  • BillywatersTotal · Over 52.5 (-112)Win
  • EmcSpread · Delaware Blue Hens -3 (-111)Win
  • RoycejacobsTotal · Under 52.5 (-105)Loss
  • SwamipicksSpread · Missouri St. Bears +3 (-105)Loss
  • BadmanSpread · Missouri St. Bears +3 (-105)Loss
  • ThetotalerSpread · Delaware Blue Hens -3 (-110)Win
  • KryptonMoneyline · Delaware Blue Hens -140Win