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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. James Madison Dukes vs Marshall Thundering Herd
Thu 7:00 PM ET
James Madison Dukes logo
James Madison
Dukes20
5-0
versus
Marshall Thundering Herd logo
Marshall
Thundering Herd9
3-2
Final
Team1234T
James Madison Dukes0310720
Marshall Thundering Herd00279
NCAAF · James Madison Dukes at Marshall Thundering Herd

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James Madison Dukes vs Marshall Thundering Herd Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: October 19, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Joan C. Edwards Stadium — Huntington, WV

Article updated Oct 15, 6:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Dukes have won nine straight games with a 66% ATS record, and will look to extend this streak with a road victory against the Marshall Thundering Herd. The Thundering

Game outlook

The Dukes have won nine straight games with a 66% ATS record, and will look to extend this streak with a road victory against the Marshall Thundering Herd. The Thundering Herd are 3-0 SU and 1-2 ATS at home this season, and coming off a 41-24 loss to Georgia State as +2 underdogs. James Madison has gone 4-0 SU in one-score games this season and Marshall is looking to take advantage of a quick turnaround opportunity to get back on the field.

Game Info

When: Thursday, 10/19/2023 @ 7:00pm EST

Where: Joan C. Edwards Stadium Stadium Dukes vs Thundering Herd Betting Odds Moneyline: Dukes -177 | Thundering Herd +155

Spread: Dukes -3.5 (-110) | Thundering Herd +3.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 52 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that James Madison will win straight-up is 64%.

James Madison Dukes

The Dukes of James Madison look to get revenge this week against the Marshall Thundering Herd, whom they lost to 26-12 on the road last season. Despite starting out strong in the first quarter, the Dukes' offense went silent after scoring 12 points while quarterback Billy Atkins threw four interceptions on 13-35 attempts. This week, the team is led by the arm of quarterback Jordan McCloud, who has thrown 14 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions with a 9.2 yards per pass attempt. JMU’s offense is ranked 24th in points per game (#33.8), 18th in points per play (#0.509) and near the bottom in third down conversion percentage (127th - 27.27%). However, the Dukes are going up against a Marshall defense with elite rates at getting off the field on third and fourth downs (6th & 15th in opponent conversion percentage, respectively). Additionally, the Thundering Herd possess a 11th ranked pass defense allowing an average of 5.8 yards per pass, and average 130th in the country in Opponent Yards per Rush with 6.0. Overall, the Dukes have all the strength and motivation behind them to make up for last year’s game and come out with the victory. Power Ranking of 26 James Madison ranked 40 in offense and 48 in defense 6-0 (4-2 ATS) this season Billy Atkins threw four interceptions on 13-35 attempt Jordan McCloud has 14 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions and a 9.2 yards per pass average 24th in points per game and 18th in points per plays 27.27% third down conversion percentage Marshall with elite rates at getting off the field on third and fourth downs Thundering Herd possess 11th ranked pass defense Opponent Yards per Rush of 6.0

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Marshall Thundering Herd Analysis

Marshall's chances of success running the ball don't look great as JMU's defense is ranked #1 in the country in Opponent Yards per Rush (1.4), Opponent Rush Play Percentage (35.29) and Opponent Rush Yards per Game (39). However, with an average performance in the passing game, Marshall may still be able to score points. The Thundering Herd's best passing stat is their Completion Percentage (66.29%), and JMU allows the most Opponent Pass Yards per Game (343). Cam Fancher has also shown the ability to put up good numbers, completing 82.9% of his passes in his most recent home game (29-for-35). If they can move the chains and take the easy completions JMU gives up, another 40-point effort might not be out of the question.

Marshall power rank: 37

Offense #: 51

Defense #: 70

Overall record: 4-2 (2-4 ATS)

Marshall vs JMU Last 3: 1-0 (1-0 ATS)

Marshall ATS: Highly Ranked Despite Difficulty Converting Third Downs

Marshall’s success at home against any opponent over recent years is undeniable. This season, Marshall ranks 80th nationally in third down conversions, despite likely regression from both teams in the long run. I am hesitant to back an offense that has difficulty converting when necessary, especially when upcoming games appear to be even more challenging. Marshall has the potential to get outplayed on the ground, but the Thundering Herd have shown in recent weeks that they can handle games in the 40s. James Madison’s three road wins this season have been slim margins, which combined with the shorter week makes them an easy team to fade. Consequently, I am taking Marshall ATS.

Written by Johnmizner Published on 10/17/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Information is what wins games, having the upper edge in ways of injuries, knowing who's starting, and the coaching philosophies are just a few key eliminates that go into each and every play I put out.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Pick on the Total

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Dukes vs Thundering Herd archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Dukes vs Thundering Herd matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · James Madison Dukes-191 → -220Moved
  • Moneyline · Marshall Thundering Herd+158 → +180Moved
  • Spread · James Madison Dukes-4 (-110) → -5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Marshall Thundering Herd+4 (-110) → +5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over52 (-110) → 49 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under52 (-110) → 49 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

James Madison Dukes
5-0 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Marshall Thundering Herd
3-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-15T22:35:47.079Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

About the Author: Information is what wins games, having the upper edge in ways of injuries, knowing who's starting, and the coaching philosophies are just a few key eliminates that go into each and every play I put out.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-22Marshall Thundering Herd 26 · James Madison Dukes 12
Final result

Matchup pick recap

James Madison Dukes defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 20-9

James Madison Dukes defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 20-9 on October 19, 2023, a 11-point decision in the series. James Madison Dukes' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 10-2. Against SportsJaw's recorded James Madison Dukes -5 (-110) spread, James Madison Dukes covered, while the 29 combined points finished under the recorded total of 49.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JoeThomasTotal · Under 52 (-110)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksTotal · Under 52 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpSpread · James Madison Dukes -3.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · James Madison Dukes -174Win
  • MoneyMoneyMoneySpread · James Madison Dukes -3.5 (-110)Win
  • MoneyMoneyMoneyMoneyline · James Madison Dukes -174Win
  • Destiny09Spread · James Madison Dukes -3.5 (-110)Win
  • Destiny09Moneyline · James Madison Dukes -174Win
  • Mr_BiggsMoneyline · James Madison Dukes -175Win
  • DouwannaSpread · Marshall Thundering Herd +5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Marshall Thundering Herd +5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Marshall Thundering Herd +5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · James Madison Dukes -5 (-110)Win