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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Fresno St. Bulldogs vs Nevada Wolfpack
Fri 10:30 PM ET
Fresno St. Bulldogs logo
Fresno St.
Bulldogs24
2-3
versus
Nevada Wolfpack logo
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2-4
Final
Team1234T
Fresno St. Bulldogs3147024
Nevada Wolfpack7140021
NCAAF · Fresno St. Bulldogs at Nevada Wolfpack

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Fresno State Favored by 2.5 Points Over Nevada in Mountain West Showdown

Game time: October 18, 2024 at 10:30 PM ET

Venue: Mackay Stadium — Reno, NV

Article updated Oct 15, 6:02 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Fresno State recently suffered two consecutive losses, dropping their record to 3-3 overall and 1-1 in Mountain West Conference play. On the other hand, Nevada has won two of

Game outlook

Fresno State recently suffered two consecutive losses, dropping their record to 3-3 overall and 1-1 in Mountain West Conference play. On the other hand, Nevada has won two of their last three games and looks to reach a .500 record with a potential win over Fresno State. The Wolfpack, with a 2-4 record, aim to improve upon last season's two-win performance. Ahead of their upcoming matchup, Fresno State is favored by 2.5 points, having opened as a 3-point favorite. The total points for the game is set at 51.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bulldogs -135 | Wolfpack +115

Spread: Bulldogs -2.5 (-110) | Wolfpack +2.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 51 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Fresno St. will win straight-up is 57%.

Fresno St. Bulldogs

Fresno State recently lost a game to Washington State, despite outgaining them in yards. Mikey Keene passed for 220 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions, while Elijah Gilliam rushed for 120 yards and a score. Raylen Sharpe and Mac Dalena combined for 121 receiving yards in the game. The team has failed to cover the spread in their last three games after three consecutive covers. They will be facing a Nevada defense that ranks poorly against the pass and average against the run. Fresno State is ranked 52nd in offense, scoring an average of 31.20 points per game, and 93rd in defense, allowing an average of 28.00 points against them per game. They are currently 3-3 (3-3 ATS) for the season and have a power ranking of 65.

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Nevada Wolfpack Analysis

The Nevada Wolfpack had a strong offensive performance in their last game, defeating Oregon State 42-37 while forcing four turnovers and committing none. Brendon Lewis led the team in rushing with 151 yards and a TD, while Savion Red rushed for 137 yards and four TD. The Wolfpack has covered the spread in their last three games and are focused on their strong running game, ranking 17th in rushing yards per game. They will face a tough Fresno State defense in their next game. Nevada has a power ranking of 116 and is ranked 96th in offense and 83rd in defense, with a record of 3-4 (5-2 ATS). Fresno State has struggled in their last three matchups against Nevada.

Nevada Faces Tough Challenge Against Fresno State in MWC Game

In the upcoming MWC game, Nevada is entering with momentum, having won two out of their last three games, while Fresno State is on a two-game losing streak. Fresno State has faced tough opponents recently and dominated Nevada in their previous meeting. Despite Nevada's recent victory, their defense allowed 522 yards and forced only four turnovers. In contrast, Fresno State boasts a more balanced offense and is likely to perform well on that front. Although their defense may not be outstanding, they are expected to hold their own and limit rushing yards against the Wolfpack. Given Nevada's limited passing game ranking, Fresno State's balanced approach gives them an edge in this upcoming game. Predicting a close game, Fresno State is favored to win and cover the spread, ending their recent losing streak. I recommend taking Fresno State -2.5 for this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#FresnoStBulldogs#NevadaWolfpack

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bulldogs vs Wolfpack archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bulldogs vs Wolfpack matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Fresno St. Bulldogs-150 → -145Moved
  • Moneyline · Nevada Wolfpack+125 → +125Unchanged
  • Spread · Fresno St. Bulldogs-3 (-110) → -3 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Nevada Wolfpack+3 (-110) → +3 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over51.5 (-110) → 50 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under51.5 (-110) → 50 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Fresno St. Bulldogs
2-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Nevada Wolfpack
2-4 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-10-15T22:02:52.856Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-09-30Nevada Wolfpack 9 · Fresno St. Bulldogs 27
  • 2022-11-19Fresno St. Bulldogs 41 · Nevada Wolfpack 14
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Fresno St. Bulldogs defeated Nevada Wolfpack 24-21

Fresno St. Bulldogs defeated Nevada Wolfpack 24-21 on October 18, 2024, a 3-point decision in the series. Fresno St. Bulldogs' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Fresno St. Bulldogs -3 (-110) spread, the spread pushed, while the 45 combined points finished under the recorded total of 50.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BillywatersSpread · Nevada Wolfpack +3 (-110)Push
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Nevada Wolfpack +2.5 (-110)Loss
  • StevehTotal · Over 51 (-110)Loss
  • MauriceJonesSpread · Nevada Wolfpack +2.5 (-110)Loss
  • Philly267Spread · Nevada Wolfpack +2.5 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Over 50.5 (-110)Loss
  • AliencreationSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -3 (-110)Push
  • RcollinsTotal · Under 50.5 (-110)Win
  • PremierPicksTotal · Over 49.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -3 (-110)Push
  • CoolioTotal · Over 49.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -3 (-110)Push
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 49.5 (-110)Loss