Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 17, 2026
The UTSA Roadrunners will beat the Navy Midshipmen 31-24, with their recent conference defense providing the strongest matchup edge. UTSA has held both American opponents below 300 yards, but Navy’s rushing production and second-half defensive strength make separation less certain. Neither UTSA -6.5 (-116) nor the total of 55.5 (-110) offers enough value for an actionable wager. The official recommendation is Pass.
Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction and best bet
UTSA gets the nod because its defensive results against conference opponents give it a credible answer to Navy’s productive offense. The Roadrunners also bring a strong home record into this matchup. Those advantages support a UTSA victory, although Navy has enough offensive upside to make the favorite work through the fourth quarter.
Best bet: Pass. Picking UTSA to win is easier than backing it to cover -6.5 (-116). The total is similarly tight: a projection of 55 points sits almost directly on 55.5, and the recent results include enough scoring to temper an Under recommendation.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game time: Saturday, October 17, 2026, at 8 p.m. ET / 7 p.m. CT.
Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas. This 2026 college football matchup is the programs’ first meeting.
Records and form: UTSA is 5-1 overall and 2-0 in the American, with three consecutive wins. Navy is 2-3 overall and 1-2 in conference play after beating Tulsa.
SportsJaw odds: Navy Midshipmen +5.5 (-108); UTSA Roadrunners -5.5 (-112). Moneyline: Navy Midshipmen +181; UTSA Roadrunners -212. Total: Over 53 (-108); Under 53 (-112).