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  3. Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Notre Dame Fighting Irish logo
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish24
4-0
versus
BYU Cougars logo
BYU
Cougars28
5-0
Final
Team1234T
Notre Dame Fighting Irish376824
BYU Cougars7140728
NCAAF · Notre Dame Fighting Irish at BYU Cougars

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars prediction, odds and best bet for October 17, 2026

Game time: October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: LaVell Edwards Stadium — Provo, UT

Article updated Oct 17, 10:32 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Notre Dame will beat BYU 27-20, with the Fighting Irish’s productive passing and rushing against Stanford supplying the strongest recent reason to favor them. Winning in Provo and covering a double-digit spread are different challenges, however. BYU brings a 5-0 record and No. 8 ranking into this matchup. Neither Notre Dame -10.5 (-110) nor the total of 47 offers a compelling wager.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars prediction and best bet

Notre Dame is the pick to win, but the official betting recommendation is Pass. Its latest offensive performance gives the Fighting Irish a credible route to victory through both the running and passing games. The forecast is Notre Dame 27, BYU 20, with low confidence in the projected margin.

The distinction matters at Notre Dame -10.5 (-110). A convincing performance against Stanford helps explain the favorite’s appeal, but it is a limited guide to the margin against an unbeaten, ranked opponent on the road. BYU’s home setting and perfect start keep this from being a comfortable spread selection.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, October 17, 2026, at 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time and 5:30 p.m. Mountain Time.

Venue: LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah.

Broadcast: ABC.

Records and rankings: No. 2 Notre Dame is 6-0. No. 8 BYU is 5-0. Notre Dame’s active winning streak stands at 16 games.

SportsJaw odds: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110); BYU Cougars +10.5 (-110). Moneyline: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -410; BYU Cougars +320. Total: Over 47.5 (-108); Under 47.5 (-112).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish outlook

Notre Dame beat Stanford 58-7 on October 10 and finished with 598 yards, according to UHND’s October 17 report. CJ Carr threw three touchdown passes on 20 attempts. That performance is the clearest recent illustration of the offensive upside behind this forecast, although repeating it against BYU is a separate challenge.

Jonaz Walton rushed for 181 yards, including a 97-yard run, in that same victory. The long gain demonstrates his ability to change field position immediately. It also warrants perspective: one run accounted for more than half his rushing total, so the final yardage alone should not be treated as proof of steady production on every possession.

The useful takeaway is that Notre Dame received substantial contributions on the ground and through the air. That gives the forecast a stronger foundation than simply choosing the higher-ranked team.

BYU Cougars outlook

BYU’s 5-0 start and No. 8 ranking are the strongest reasons to resist projecting another Notre Dame runaway. The Cougars have won every game on their schedule so far and now host a top-two opponent. Those results justify treating BYU as a serious obstacle, even without detailed offensive and defensive production figures.

BYU Athletics included quarterback Bear Bachmeier among its Notre Dame-week media participants. That appearance supplies no statistical argument for a quarterback advantage, and the forecast does not assume one.

For BYU, the desired outcome is straightforward: keep the deficit within one possession and make Notre Dame earn its separation. Limiting sudden scoring opportunities would make the underdog’s task easier, but that is a proposed route to an upset, not a claim about an established defensive strength.

Key matchup factors

The central question is how much of Notre Dame’s latest offensive success carries into this game. The Stanford result supports choosing the Irish to win; BYU’s unbeaten record argues for caution when translating that result into a double-digit margin.

Series history favors Notre Dame, which leads 7-2 and has won the past four meetings. The most recent was a 28-20 victory in Las Vegas in 2022. This will be the first meeting with both teams ranked, so those older results deserve less weight than the current matchup.

SportsJaw members favor Notre Dame -10.5 (-110) at 75%, while qualified handicappers favor that same spread at 71%. Those are separate groups expressing agreement on a side, not a 75% or 71% probability of covering.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Notre Dame -10.5 (-110) and BYU +10.5 (-110). Notre Dame must win by at least 11 points to cover. Its offensive ceiling makes that possible, but one emphatic recent victory is insufficient reason to expect that margin here.

The projected seven-point result falls inside BYU’s spread. That makes the Cougars the side consistent with the score forecast, but the margin estimate is fragile. Without a clearer picture of BYU’s production, the cushion is not enough to turn the projection into an official wager.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 47 (-110) and Under 47 (-110). The projected 47 points land exactly on the supplied total. Notre Dame’s latest scoring outburst creates an Over argument, but BYU’s scoring outlook remains too uncertain for a firm selection.

The consensus signals disagree. SportsJaw members favor Under 47 (-110) at 100%, while the sportsbook split favors Over 47 (-110) at 72%. The blended figure is 58% toward Over. These measure different groups and a weighted combination; the unanimous member percentage does not imply certainty.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 27, BYU Cougars 20. Notre Dame’s recent passing and rushing production earns the winner selection. BYU’s unbeaten start and home field are the strongest counterarguments to expecting comfortable separation.

Confidence is low because the detailed recent performance evidence is concentrated on Notre Dame. The Irish remain the projected winner, while both betting markets are passes. Official SportsJaw wager: Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Fighting Irish27

Cougars20

Projected winner Notre Dame Fighting IrishConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110) and BYU Cougars +10.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish Official Athletics WebsiteIrish Travel to BYU for Top Ten Matchup
  • BYU Athletics Official Athletics WebsiteBYU Football Game Week 2026 — Notre Dame
  • UHNDHow to Watch Notre Dame Football at BYU: Time, TV, Stream, and Odds for a Top-10 Night in Provo
#NotreDameFightingIrish#BYUCougars

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Fighting Irish vs Cougars game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Fighting Irish vs Cougars matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Notre Dame Fighting Irish-400 → -410Moved
  • Moneyline · BYU Cougars+300 → +320Moved
  • Spread · Notre Dame Fighting Irish-10 (-110) → -10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · BYU Cougars+10 (-110) → +10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over54.5 (-108) → 47.5 (-108)Moved
  • Total · Under54.5 (-112) → 47.5 (-112)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
4-0 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
BYU Cougars
5-0 matchup record · 9-1-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-11T04:19:10.469Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

BYU Cougars defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 28-24

BYU Cougars defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 28-24 on October 17, 2026, a 4-point decision in the series. BYU Cougars' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-7. Against SportsJaw's recorded Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110) spread, BYU Cougars covered, while the 52 combined points finished over the recorded total of 47.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNotre Dame Fighting IrishLoss
  • SpreadPass on Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110) and BYU Cougars +10.5 (-110)Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 47 (-110) and Under 47 (-110)Pass

Tipster picks

  • JtmcentireSpread · Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodTotal · Under 46.5 (-110)Loss
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · BYU Cougars +10.5 (-110)Win
  • GeorgewSpread · BYU Cougars +10.5 (-110)Win
  • EljefeSpread · Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • MauriceJonesSpread · Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • BadmanSpread · Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • DengWinsSpread · Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • EljefeTotal · Under 46.5 (-110)Loss
  • Roderick806Spread · Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • Amp2224Spread · BYU Cougars +10.5 (-110)Win