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NCAAF PicksSat 7:30 PM ET
Notre Dame Fighting Irish logo
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish
4-0
versus
BYU Cougars logo
BYU
Cougars
5-0
NCAAF · NOTRD at BYU

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars Predictions October 17, 2026

Game time: October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: LaVell Edwards Stadium — Provo, UT

Article updated Oct 11, 12:19 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Notre Dame will beat BYU, with a projected score of Notre Dame 31, BYU 21. The Irish’s explosive rushing performance against Stanford and BYU’s loss of leading rusher LJ Martin give Notre Dame the edge. However, BYU’s recent defensive showing and Bear Bachmeier’s production make the supplied spread a demanding assignment. Neither market offers a strong enough betting advantage; the official recommendation is Pass.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars prediction and best bet

Notre Dame gets the pick because its latest win showed several ways to generate points: long scoring runs, touchdown passes and defensive takeaways. Martin’s absence adds a personnel advantage for the Irish, although BYU’s win over Iowa State shows the Cougars still have a productive offensive centerpiece in Bachmeier.

The best betting decision is Pass. Notre Dame -12.5 (-110) requires more than a road victory, and BYU’s combination of quarterback production and defensive resistance makes that margin uncomfortable. The forecast favors Notre Dame outright with medium confidence, but neither the spread nor the total earns an official wager.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at BYU Cougars, 2026 college football season.

Time: Saturday, Oct. 17, 2026, at 5:30 p.m. MDT / 7:30 p.m. ET.

Location: LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah.

Broadcast: ABC.

Records and rankings: Notre Dame is 6-0 and ranked No. 3; BYU is 5-0 and ranked No. 8 in BYU Athletics’ Oct. 10 matchup announcement.

SportsJaw odds: Notre Dame -12.5 (-110), BYU +12.5 (-110). Moneyline: Notre Dame -490, BYU +375. Total: Over 49.5 (-108), Under 49.5 (-112).

Notre Dame Fighting Irish outlook

Notre Dame beat Stanford 58-7 on Oct. 10, rushing for more than 300 yards. Jonaz Walton contributed 181 yards on 13 carries, setting the program’s single-game rushing record for a true freshman. His touchdown runs covered 97 and 40 yards, showing how quickly he could turn a rushing opportunity into points.

CJ Carr also threw touchdown passes of 70 yards to Aneyas Williams and 30 yards to Elijah Burress. Those results give BYU more to prepare for than Walton alone, though one explosive game should not be treated as a promise of another against a different defense.

The Irish allowed Stanford 202 total yards and 58 rushing yards. Boubacar Traore added a strip-sack and an interception. That performance supports confidence in Notre Dame’s defense, with Bachmeier presenting a different challenge through his recent production as both a passer and runner.

BYU Cougars outlook

BYU defeated Iowa State 24-10 at home on Oct. 9. Bachmeier completed 22 of 30 passes for 329 yards and two touchdowns, then added 109 rushing yards. Legend Glasker caught five passes for 99 yards and a touchdown, with a 75-yard reception accounting for much of that receiving production.

The Cougars also limited Iowa State to 200 total yards, including just 49 before halftime, and recorded three sacks. Their latest defensive performance is a substantial reason to expect more resistance than Notre Dame encountered against Stanford.

Martin’s injury remains the central personnel concern. CBS Sports reported Oct. 7 that a lower-body injury would keep him out for at least a month, including this matchup. He led BYU with 344 rushing yards at publication. Bachmeier’s subsequent performance offers encouragement, but replacing Martin still narrows BYU’s established rushing options.

Key matchup factors

Explosive-play prevention could decide whether this becomes a close game or a comfortable Irish win. Notre Dame’s latest scoring plays demonstrate the danger of allowing space, while Glasker’s long reception shows BYU can threaten with a big gain of its own. Sustaining defensive discipline matters for both teams.

The other question is how much BYU must ask of Bachmeier without Martin. His passing and rushing output gives the Cougars flexibility, but Notre Dame can focus its preparation on containing that dual threat. BYU’s best route is to make Carr and Walton earn repeated first downs while keeping its own quarterback productive.

Both defenses impressed against their previous opponents. Those separate results favor a competitive matchup more clearly than they identify a reliable scoring ceiling.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Notre Dame -12.5 (-110) and BYU +12.5 (-110). Notre Dame has a credible path to separation, but the projected 10-point victory falls short of the favorite’s required margin.

That projection places BYU on the covering side of the forecast without making it an automatic bet. Martin’s absence and Notre Dame’s ability to score quickly create meaningful risk for the underdog. With the case resting heavily on each team’s latest performance, the cushion is too fragile to justify either spread price.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 49.5 (-108) and Under 49.5 (-112). The projected 52 points sit above the line, but that small difference is insufficient to make the Over an official recommendation.

The offensive case rests on explosive gains and Bachmeier’s ability to contribute in two ways. The counterweight is each defense’s recent success, plus Martin’s absence. Neither a repeat of Notre Dame’s scoring outburst nor another low-scoring BYU game is a dependable assumption here.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars projected score

Game forecast: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 31, BYU Cougars 21. Notre Dame’s recent offensive range and BYU’s missing leading rusher support the Irish pick. The strongest counterargument is BYU’s combination of Bachmeier’s production and a defense coming off a strong home performance.

Confidence: medium in the projected winner. The expected margin leaves room for a competitive game, and the projected total carries too little separation from 49.5 to warrant a bet. Official SportsJaw wager: Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

NOTRD31

BYU21

Projected winner Notre Dame Fighting IrishConfidenceSlight Lean — BYU Cougars
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — BYU Cougars +12.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Notre Dame Fighting Irish -12.5 (-110) and BYU Cougars +12.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Over 48.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • BYU AthleticsESPN College GameDay coming to BYU for Top-10 clash with Notre Dame
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish AthleticsPrevious-game context: Irish Run Past Stanford 58-7
  • BYU AthleticsPrevious-game context: Bachmeier Leads No. 8 BYU Past Iowa State 24-10

SportsJaw Fighting Irish vs Cougars game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Fighting Irish vs Cougars matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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