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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Jacksonville St. Gamecocks
Tue 7:30 PM ET
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers logo
Western Kentucky
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3-2
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Jacksonville St. Gamecocks logo
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers1070017
Jacksonville St. Gamecocks01001020

Western Kentucky and Jacksonville State to Battle for Top Spot in Conference USA

Game time: October 17, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Burgess-Snow Field — Jacksonville, AL

Article updated Oct 15, 6:15 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The two FBS opponents, Western Kentucky and Jacksonville State, are both near the top of the standings and will face off in the Yellowhammer State on Tuesday night. Western

Game outlook

The two FBS opponents, Western Kentucky and Jacksonville State, are both near the top of the standings and will face off in the Yellowhammer State on Tuesday night. Western Kentucky came away with a win against Louisiana Tech, and Jacksonville State suffered a loss against Liberty in its prior match-up.

Game Info

When: Tuesday, 10/17/2023 @ 7:30pm EST

Where: Burgess-Snow Field at JSU Stadium Stadium Hilltoppers vs Gamecocks Betting Odds Moneyline: Hilltoppers -285 | Gamecocks +228

Spread: Hilltoppers -7 (-110) | Gamecocks +7 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 61 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Western Kentucky will win straight-up is 74%.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Western Kentucky won their second straight game as they took down Louisiana Tech on the road in their previous contest October 5. The Hilltoppers improved to 4-2 overall on the season and stand second in Conference USA with a 2-0 mark.

The Hilltoppers enter this contest 25th in the nation with 287.8 yards per game through the air while they are 122nd in rushing with 102.2 yards per contest. Western Kentucky is 49th in the FBS in scoring offense as they put up an average of 32.2 points per contest while they are 92nd in scoring defense by allowing 29 points a game.

Stats of note:

Ranking: 21st

Offense: 49th (32.17 points per game)

NCAAF · Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Jacksonville St. Gamecocks

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Defense: 90th (29.00 points per game)

Overall record: 4-2 (4-2 ATS)

Quarterback Austin Reed has hit on 150 of 246 passes for 1,665 yards with 14 touchdowns against three interceptions while adding 71 yards plus three scores on the ground. Turner Helton (five of five, 65 yards, TD) and Bronson Barron (one of two, -3 yards, INT) are next up on the depth chart. Markese Stepp (36 carries, 180 yards, two TD), Davion Ervin-Poindexter (26 carries, 115 yards, one TD), L.T. Sanders (21 carries, 131 yards), and Elijah Young (29 carries, 86 yards, TD) have seen work in the run game. Malachi Corley leads the team with 37 receptions for 538 yards and five scores on the year.

Jacksonville St. Gamecocks Analysis

Last week, the Jacksonville State Gamecocks were defeated by the Liberty Flames at home, putting an end to their three-game win streak. The loss placed Jacksonville State at 5-2 overall and 3-1 in Conference USA, behind Liberty and Western Kentucky. The Gamecocks led 7-0 after the first quarter, tied 10-10 at the half, and were outscored 21-3 in the second half. Jacksonville State was outgained in total offense, lost the time of possession battle, and committed two turnovers as opposed to forcing only one from Liberty. On the season, Jacksonville State ranks 121st in FBS in passing offense, averaging 158.6 yards per game, and is tied for 17th in rushing, averaging 204 yards per game. The team is also 78th in scoring offense, averaging 28 points per game, and 32nd in scoring defense, allowing an average of 19.4 points per game. Jacksonville State’s top quarterback is Logan Smothers, who has gone 58/102 for 638 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions while rushing for 253 yards and six touchdowns. Zion Webb and Ashton Frye have also seen time under center. Malik Jackson is the team’s leading rusher with 104 carries for 578 yards and four scores. Perry Carter is the lead receiver, with 18 receptions for 325 yards and two touchdowns. The Gamecocks have had inconsistent kicking success, as Alen Karanjic is 23/24 on extra point attempts but only 7/12 on field goal attempts, with a long of 43. 5-2 (4-2-1 ATS) Power Ranking: #0 Offense Ranking: #0 (averaging 0 points per game) Defense Ranking: #0 (allowing 0 points per game) QB Logan Smothers: 58/102 passing for 638 yards, 5 TDs, 2 INTs, 253 rushing yards, 6 TDs Malik Jackson: 104 carries for 578 yards, 4 TDs Perry Carter: 18 receptions for 325 yards and 2 TDs K Alen Karanjic: 23/24 on extra point attempts, 7

Jacksonville State's Defensive Strength Not Enough to Overcome Offensive Issues: Take Western Kentucky on the Road

Jacksonville State’s defense has performed well, and their run game has been above average. However, their passing offense has been inconsistent. This could pose an issue if they fall behind by multiple scores. Both teams have strong takeaway records and the Gamecocks have a +9 takeaway/giveaway ratio. Though they may be able to slow down the Hilltoppers’ passing, the offensive issues may prove too difficult to overcome. We recommend taking Western Kentucky on the road to secure the win.

Written by Bjenkins Published on 10/15/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Benny Jenkins is the most consistent handicapper across all sports that the industry has to offer. Consistently beating the books for the last 10 years.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#WesternKentuckyHilltoppers#JacksonvilleStGamecocks

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Hilltoppers vs Gamecocks archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Hilltoppers vs Gamecocks matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Western Kentucky Hilltoppers-285 → -310Moved
  • Moneyline · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks+228 → +255Moved
  • Spread · Western Kentucky Hilltoppers-7 (-110) → -7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks+7 (-110) → +7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over61 (-110) → 60.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under61 (-110) → 60.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
3-2 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Jacksonville St. Gamecocks
3-2 matchup record · 4-3-1 ATS · 3-5-0 O/U
Last 8 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-15T22:15:56.961Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Jacksonville St. Gamecocks defeated Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 20-17

Jacksonville St. Gamecocks defeated Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 20-17 on October 17, 2023, a 3-point decision in the series. Jacksonville St. Gamecocks' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 10-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -7.5 (-110) spread, Jacksonville St. Gamecocks covered, while the 37 combined points finished under the recorded total of 60.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks +7 (-110)Win
  • Mahomie15Total · Under 61 (-110)Win
  • Mahomie15Moneyline · Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -275Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -300Loss
  • Amp2224Spread · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks +7.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks +7.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 60 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks +7.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 60 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks +7.5 (-110)Win