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  3. UMass Minutemen vs Penn St. Nittany Lions
Sat 3:30 PM ET
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NCAAF · UMass Minutemen at Penn St. Nittany Lions

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UMass Minutemen Take On Tough Challenge in Matchup With #6 Penn State Nittany Lions

Game time: October 14, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Beaver Stadium — University Park, PA

Article updated Oct 14, 10:15 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Saturday, the UMass Minutemen (1-6, Independent) face #6 ranked Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0, 3-0 Big Ten) in University Park, Pennsylvania. UMass has lost the last six

Game outlook

On Saturday, the UMass Minutemen (1-6, Independent) face #6 ranked Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0, 3-0 Big Ten) in University Park, Pennsylvania. UMass has lost the last six games, while Penn State is undefeated. UMass has several player injuries, including RB Time Baldwin Jr., while Penn State has a long list of injured players, such as WR Tyler Johnson, RB DK Kency and DE Mason Robinson, with many others listed as questionable for Saturday. Penn State is the favored team, with the betting line opening at -42 and not changing since.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/14/2023 @ 3:30pm EST

Where: Beaver Stadium Stadium Minutemen vs Nittany Lions Betting Odds Moneyline: Minutemen +3,000 | Nittany Lions -10,000

Spread: Minutemen +42 (-110) | Nittany Lions -42 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 55 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Penn St. will win straight-up is 99%.

UMass Minutemen

UMass is struggling this season with a power ranking of 119 and a 1-6 (3-4 ATS) record. On defense, they're allowing an average of 39.17 points per game (132nd) and 452.1 yards of total offense (126th). The Minutemen have successfully been able to make 13 quarterback sacks and intercepted five passes. Their best defender is linebacker Gerrell Johnson with 32 tackles, while lineman Billy Wooden is UMass's best sack artist with 4.5 quarterback sacks.

On offense, UMass averages 26.50 points per game (87th), 396.4 yards of total offense per game (65th) 142.7 yards rushing per game (85th) and 253.7 yards passing per game (53rd). Taisun Phommachanh is the starting quarterback, replacing Carlos Davis due to an abdominal injury, and has 788 yards passing with three touchdowns and three interceptions. Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams is the leading rusher with 661 yards and Anthony Simpson is the leading receiver with 566 yards and three touchdowns.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Summary UMass is 1-6 (3-4 ATS) this season with a power ranking of 119. Defensively, they are allowing an average of 39.17 points per game (132nd) and 452.1 yards of total offense (126th) with 13 sacks and 5 interceptions. Offensively, they average 26.50 points per game (87th), 396.4 yards of total offense (65th), 142.7 yard rushing (85th) and 253.7 yards passing (53rd). Taisun Phommachanh is the starting QB with 788 passing yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams is the leading rusher (661 yards) and Anthony Simpson is the leading receiver (566 yards with 3 touchdowns).

Penn St. Nittany Lions Analysis

The No.6 Penn State Nittany Lions are a power ranking of 2 and boast great offensive and defensive stats. On offense, they are scoring an average of 40.6 points per game while gaining an average of 430.4 yards of total offense per game, with their strong rushing averages being 194.8 yards per game and passing averages being 235.6 yards per game. The Nittany Lions have been led by quarterback Drew Allar, who has thrown for 1,092 yards and nine touchdowns, and Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton who have rushed for 307 and 283 yards respectively. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has been the receivers leader with 25 receptions for 372 yards and three touchdowns. On defense the Nittany Lions are second in the nation in points allowed, giving up an average of 9.6 points per game, as well as first in total yards allowed at just 210.6 yards per game. Their strong defensive numbers include holding opponents to an average of 71.0 yards rushing per game (6th in the country) and 139.6 yards passing per game (best in the country). Linebacker Curtis Jacobs leads with 18 tackles and three players have 2.5 quarterback sacks apiece. As a team, they have 24 quarterback sacks and 6 interceptions. Offensive Ranking: #12 Defensive Ranking: #3 Points per Game: 40.6 Total Yards per Game: 430.4 Rushing Yards per Game: 194.8 Passing Yards per Game: 235.6 Points allowed: 9.6 Total Yards allowed: 210.6 Rushing Yards allowed: 71.0 Passing Yards allowed: 139.6 Overall Record: 5-0

Penn State Combines Powerful Defense and Offense to Dominate NCAA Rankings

Penn State's defense is among the best in the country, ranking 11th in points scored per game and 2nd in points allowed. They are also toughest against the pass with 139.6 yards per game, good for top honors in the nation. Their offense is equally as impressive, averaging 40.6 points and 430.4 yards per game despite an average for 26th in the nation in rushing. UMass' passing game is 53rd in the country and they may struggle to find a way to score against the staunch Penn State defense. Additionally, their rush defense is one of the worst in the nation, ranking 131st in yards allowed per game. UMass has gone 2-4 against the spread over the last six games, whereas Penn State has covered the spread in their last six.

Written by Tgodfrey Published on 10/14/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Over 15 years of sports handicapping experience- I do my homework and rely on keen instincts and years of experience to spot the loose lines with the highest value every week.

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#UMassMinutemen#PennStNittanyLions

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Minutemen vs Nittany Lions archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Minutemen vs Nittany Lions matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UMass Minutemen+3,000 → +3,000Unchanged
  • Moneyline · Penn St. Nittany Lions-10,000 → -10,000Unchanged
  • Spread · UMass Minutemen+42 (-110) → +42 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Penn St. Nittany Lions-42 (-110) → -42 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over55 (-110) → 55 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under55 (-110) → 55 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

UMass Minutemen
0-6 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Penn St. Nittany Lions
4-0 matchup record · 9-0-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-14T14:15:06.088Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

On Saturday, the UMass Minutemen (1-6, Independent) face #6 ranked Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0, 3-0 Big Ten) in University Park, Pennsylvania. UMass has lost the last six games, while Penn State is undefeated. UMass has several player injuries, including RB Time Baldwin Jr., while Penn State has a long list of injured players, such as WR Tyler Johnson, RB DK Kency and DE Mason Robinson, with many others listed as questionable for Saturday. Penn State is the favored team, with the betting line opening at -42 and not changing since.

On offense, UMass averages 26.50 points per game (87th), 396.4 yards of total offense per game (65th) 142.7 yards rushing per game (85th) and 253.7 yards passing per game (53rd). Taisun Phommachanh is the starting quarterback, replacing Carlos Davis due to an abdominal injury, and has 788 yards passing with three touchdowns and three interceptions. Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams is the leading rusher with 661 yards and Anthony Simpson is the leading receiver with 566 yards and three touchdowns.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Penn St. Nittany Lions defeated UMass Minutemen 63-0

Penn St. Nittany Lions defeated UMass Minutemen 63-0 on October 14, 2023, a 63-point decision in the series. Penn St. Nittany Lions' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded UMass Minutemen +42 (-110) spread, Penn St. Nittany Lions covered, while the 63 combined points finished over the recorded total of 55.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · UMass Minutemen +42 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 55 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · UMass Minutemen +42 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 55 (-110)Win