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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Auburn Tigers vs LSU Tigers
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Auburn Tigers logo
Auburn
Tigers18
2-2
versus
LSU Tigers logo
LSU
Tigers48
3-2
Final
Team1234T
Auburn Tigers073818
LSU Tigers173141448
NCAAF · Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers

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Auburn vs LSU: Close Matchup Makes Taking the Points a Sensible Betting Decision

Game time: October 14, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Tiger Stadium (LA) — Baton Rouge, LA

Article updated Oct 9, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Auburn and LSU will face off on Saturday at 7:00 EST at LSU's Death Valley. Auburn is 3-2 SU and 0-2 SEC, while LSU is 4-2 SU and 3-1 SEC coming into this game. LSU is coming

Game outlook

Auburn and LSU will face off on Saturday at 7:00 EST at LSU's Death Valley. Auburn is 3-2 SU and 0-2 SEC, while LSU is 4-2 SU and 3-1 SEC coming into this game. LSU is coming off a win against No. 21 Missouri while Auburn is coming off a close loss to top-ranked Georgia, 27-20.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/14/2023 @ 7:00pm EST

Where: Tiger Stadium Stadium Tigers vs Tigers Betting Odds Moneyline: Tigers +318 | Tigers -420

Spread: Tigers +11 (-110) | Tigers -11 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 60 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that LSU will win straight-up is 81%.

Auburn Tigers

The Auburn Tigers are coming off a bye week and are continuing preparation for their upcoming game against ranked opponents LSU. Auburn's offence is currently second-last in the SEC with 358.2 yards of offence per game and 29.6 points per game, which ranks 11th in the conference. As well, both running back Damari Alston and wide receivers Malcolm Johnson Jr. and Ja'Varrius Johnson are questionable with injuries. Defensively, Auburn is ranked fifth-best in the SEC with 18.2 points allowed per game. Notably, the 322.8 total yards allowed per game are the sixth-least in the conference. Additionally, Jaylin Simpson has the team's six interceptions, tying him for most in the country. With a power ranking of 74, Auburn holds a 67th-ranked offense, 28th-ranked defense, and is 3-2 (2-3 ATS) this season. Head coach Hugh Freeze is optimistic about this matchup, expressing ​excitement for the “great college environment” and knowing the team will be ready. He commented that LSU's offence is the "most explosive [he's] seen in a long, long time".

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

LSU Tigers Analysis

The LSU Tigers offense this season has been very strong, achieving the 3rd highest total offensive output in the nation at 548.3 yards per game. At the helm is senior Quarterback Jayden Daniels who has earned SEC Offensive Player of the Week honors with 1,969 passing yards and 422 rushing yards. Wide Receiver Malik Nabers has also been a powerhouse with 771 receiving yards in the season. Coach Brian Kelly has noted the impressive performances from the offense, rating them as the top of the nation for total first downs (169). The defenses' performance however has been a bit weaker, with 445.7 yards allowed per game (most in the SEC) and 32.3 points per game (second most in the SEC). In their last game, Safety Major Burns did intercept a game-ending touchdown in the last 34 seconds, while leading the team with 42 total tackles for the year. Overall, the LSU Tigers have a 16 power ranking, averaging 44 points per game in offense and giving up an average of 31 points per game in defense. They have a 4-2 (3-3 ATS) record and in their last 3 meetings with Auburn, they went 1-2 (0-3 ATS).

Auburn vs. LSU: Six Out of Seven Meetings Within Five Points Make Taking the Points a Sensible Betting Decision

In the past 10 meetings between Auburn and LSU, both teams have been evenly matched with regards to overall outcome and spread. This season, Auburn is 2-3 ATS while LSU is 3-3 ATS. LSU has had a mixed home record, having recently secured a 3-point win over an inconsistent Arkansas team. Auburn comes off of a close game with the top ranked team and could challenge LSU's secondary by passing more than usual. The game should be close, as six out of the last seven meetings have been within five points. Taking the points in Auburn's favor is a sensible betting decision.

Written by Tgodfrey Published on 10/11/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Over 15 years of sports handicapping experience- I do my homework and rely on keen instincts and years of experience to spot the loose lines with the highest value every week.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Tigers vs Tigers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Tigers vs Tigers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Auburn Tigers+335 → +310Moved
  • Moneyline · LSU Tigers-463 → -400Moved
  • Spread · Auburn Tigers+11.5 (-110) → +11 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · LSU Tigers-11.5 (-110) → -11 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over63.5 (-110) → 60.25 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under63.5 (-110) → 60.25 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Auburn Tigers
2-2 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
LSU Tigers
3-2 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 9-1-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-09T22:36:40.855Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Auburn Tigers are coming off a bye week and are continuing preparation for their upcoming game against ranked opponents LSU. Auburn's offence is currently second-last in the SEC with 358.2 yards of offence per game and 29.6 points per game, which ranks 11th in the conference. As well, both running back Damari Alston and wide receivers Malcolm Johnson Jr. and Ja'Varrius Johnson are questionable with injuries. Defensively, Auburn is ranked fifth-best in the SEC with 18.2 points allowed per game. Notably, the 322.8 total yards allowed per game are the sixth-least in the conference. Additionally, Jaylin Simpson has the team's six interceptions, tying him for most in the country. With a power ranking of 74, Auburn holds a 67th-ranked offense, 28th-ranked defense, and is 3-2 (2-3 ATS) this season. Head coach Hugh Freeze is optimistic about this matchup, expressing ​excitement for the “great college environment” and knowing the team will be ready. He commented that LSU's offence is the "most explosive [he's] seen in a long, long time".

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-01LSU Tigers 21 · Auburn Tigers 17
  • 2021-10-02Auburn Tigers 24 · LSU Tigers 19
Final result

Matchup pick recap

LSU Tigers defeated Auburn Tigers 48-18

LSU Tigers defeated Auburn Tigers 48-18 on October 14, 2023, a 30-point decision in the series. LSU Tigers' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 17-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Auburn Tigers +11 (-110) spread, LSU Tigers covered, while the 66 combined points finished over the recorded total of 60.25.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Fisher49Total · Over 62 (-110)Win
  • GsimmsSpread · LSU Tigers -11 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · Auburn Tigers +11 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Under 60 (-110)Loss
  • MookiebetsSpread · LSU Tigers -11 (-110)Win
  • JoeyBergSpread · LSU Tigers -11 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpTotal · Over 60.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · LSU Tigers -10.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 60.25 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Auburn Tigers +10.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 60.25 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Auburn Tigers +10.5 (-110)Loss