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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. San Diego St. Aztecs vs Hawaii Rainbows
Sat 11:00 PM ET
San Diego St. Aztecs logo
San Diego St.
Aztecs41
0-4
versus
Hawaii Rainbows logo
Hawaii
Rainbows34
1-3-1
Final
Team1234T
San Diego St. Aztecs10732141
Hawaii Rainbows014101034
NCAAF · San Diego St. Aztecs at Hawaii Rainbows

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San Diego State Favored to Take Advantage of Hawaii's Struggling Defense in Mountain West Matchup

Game time: October 14, 2023 at 11:00 PM ET

Venue: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex — Honolulu, HI

Article updated Oct 9, 2:36 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

5. On Saturday night, two sides from the Mountain West Conference, San Diego State and Hawaii, face off at 11:00 EST at Murakami Stadium in Honolulu. Both teams come into

Game outlook

5. On Saturday night, two sides from the Mountain West Conference, San Diego State and Hawaii, face off at 11:00 EST at Murakami Stadium in Honolulu. Both teams come into this game struggling, with San Diego State having dropped their fourth straight and remaining winless in Mountain West Conference play and Hawaii losing their last game 44-20 to UNLV. San Diego State is the current betting favorite at -6.5.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/14/2023 @ 11:00pm EST

Where: Clarence T.C. Ching Complex Stadium Aztecs vs Rainbow Warriors Betting Odds Moneyline: Aztecs -225 | Rainbows +185

Spread: Aztecs -6 (-110) | Rainbows +6 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego St. will win straight-up is 69%.

San Diego St. Aztecs

The Aztecs are coming off of a bye week after dropping four in a row, and their defense is struggling allowing 30.8 points per game and 439.7 total yards per game, ranking 15th highest in the country. Senior safety Cedarious Barfield has certainly made a difference, tied for second in the Mountain West with three interceptions. On the offensive end, San Diego State has had three backs rush for over 200 yards and has scored eight of their 13 touchdowns from the ground, with Jaylon Armstead accounting for half of those touchdowns. He is also tied for sixth in the conference with four rushing TDs. Head coach Brady Hoke remains positive, pointing out that they have six guaranteed games left and the desire to play more. With a power ranking of 82, the team is ranked 107th in offense, 86th in defense and 2-4 (3-3 ATS) this season. Summary: The Aztecs are coming off of a bye week after dropping four in a row. Their defense is allowing 30.8 points per game and 439.7 total yards per game. Senior safety Cedarious Barfield is tied for second in the Mountain West with three interceptions. On the offensive end, the team has had three backs rush for over 200 yards, scoring eight of their 13 touchdowns from the ground, with Jaylon Armstead responsible for half. They have six guaranteed games left on the season and have a power ranking of 82. They are ranked 107th in offense, 86th in defense and 2-4 (3-3 ATS) overall.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Hawaii Rainbows Analysis

The Rainbow Warriors have had an up-and-down season so far, entering their conference opener with a 2-4 record. Despite a loss last time out, they have seven more games on the schedule, four of them at home. Their offense has struggled, averaging just 57 rushing yards per game, last in the country, but have seen success through the air with Brayden Schager's 1,661 passing yards and 14 touchdowns, ranked second in the conference. Their passing game has put up 278.7 yards per game, fourth highest in the Mountain West. The defense has not produced stellar results either, allowing 34.7 points and 381 total yards per game, with 1,035 of those yards in the rush game, third most in the conference. Linebacker Isaiah Tufaga has led the team in tackles with 40 and 2 sacks. Offense: 22.60 points per game, 95 rank Defense: 32.80 points per game, 114 rank Overall: 2-4 (1-4-1 ATS)

San Diego State Favored to Utilize Three-Prong Attack and Overcome Hawaii Defense in Head-to-Head Matchup

San Diego State have won 24 games, lost 11 and drawn 2 of their head-to-head matchups against Hawaii. They've achieved a straight-up 8-2 advantage in the last ten meetings and gone 5-3-2 ATS. This year they are 3-3 ATS, while Hawaii are 2-3-1 ATS. They won 16-14 last season meantime, Hawaii struggling with a lack of rushing attack. Meanwhile, San Diego State have three options in attack to tackle a Hawaii defense that is weak against the run. San Diego State are the favoured team and the points looks to be in their favour.

Written by Jtpham Published on 10/12/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: I apply several statistical and situational models to find the best probable winners with the highest percentage odds of winning and that offers the best chance of making a profit.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SanDiegoStAztecs#HawaiiRainbows

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Aztecs vs Rainbows archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Aztecs vs Rainbows matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · San Diego St. Aztecs-220 → -225Moved
  • Moneyline · Hawaii Rainbows+180 → +185Moved
  • Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs-5.5 (-110) → -5.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Hawaii Rainbows+5.5 (-110) → +5.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over52.5 (-110) → 52 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under52.5 (-110) → 52 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

San Diego St. Aztecs
0-4 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Hawaii Rainbows
1-3-1 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-09T06:36:46.722Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-08Hawaii Rainbows 14 · San Diego St. Aztecs 16
  • 2020-11-14Hawaii Rainbows 10 · San Diego St. Aztecs 34
Final result

Matchup pick recap

San Diego St. Aztecs defeated Hawaii Rainbows 41-34

San Diego St. Aztecs defeated Hawaii Rainbows 41-34 on October 14, 2023, a 7-point decision in the series. San Diego St. Aztecs' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-10. Against SportsJaw's recorded San Diego St. Aztecs -5.5 (-110) spread, San Diego St. Aztecs covered, while the 75 combined points finished over the recorded total of 52.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Philly267Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs -6 (-110)Win
  • Philly267Total · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • Kentc_Total · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · Hawaii Rainbows +6 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -6 (-110)Win
  • RainmanSpread · Hawaii Rainbows +6 (-110)Loss
  • Steve512Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs -6 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · San Diego St. Aztecs -225Win
  • JohnTharpSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -6 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Hawaii Rainbows +6 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 52.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Hawaii Rainbows +6 (-110)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs +6 (-110)Win
  • JwSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -6 (-110)Win
  • JoeThomas
Spread · Hawaii Rainbows +6 (-110)
Loss
  • MoneymouthTotal · Over 52.5 (-110)Win
  • StevehSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -6 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -6 (-110)Win