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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Missouri Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats
Sat 7:30 PM ET
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Missouri
Tigers38
4-1
versus
Kentucky Wildcats logo
Kentucky
Wildcats21
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Team1234T
Missouri Tigers01731838
Kentucky Wildcats1407021
NCAAF · Missouri Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats

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Missouri Tigers and Kentucky Wildcats Prepare for Showdown with Game Total Set at 51.5

Game time: October 14, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Kroger Field — Lexington, KY

Article updated Oct 9, 2:36 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The game total is set at 51.5 points. Missouri is 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS, while Kentucky is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS. Mizzou lost 49-39 to LSU last week and Wildcats suffered a 51-13

Game outlook

The game total is set at 51.5 points. Missouri is 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS, while Kentucky is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS. Mizzou lost 49-39 to LSU last week and Wildcats suffered a 51-13 blowout loss to Georgia. Last season, Kentucky defeated Missouri 21-17 in Columbia. Several players on both teams are out due to injuries, and a few more are questionable to play on Saturday when the Mizzou Tigers and Kentucky Wildcats face off at Kroger Field with kickoff scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/14/2023 @ 7:30pm EST

Where: Kroger Field Stadium Tigers vs Wildcats Betting Odds Moneyline: Tigers +120 | Wildcats -140

Spread: Tigers +2.5 (-110) | Wildcats -2.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 53 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Kentucky will win straight-up is 58%.

Missouri Tigers

Missouri suffered a close defeat in their highly-anticipated conference matchup with LSU last week. Despite junior quarterback Brady Cook passing for 411 yards, Jayden Daniels proved difficult to contain. The ex-Arizona State signal-caller showcased his tremendous versatile skillset, quarterbacking the team to a rally from an early deficit with 259 passing yards, three touchdowns, and 130 rushing yards and one TD. The LSU punctuated their victory in the ground game, capping off a 274-yard display on 43 carries at an impressive average of 6.4 yards. Both teams amassed over 500 yards of total offense, however, Missouri fell just short, losing the turnover and possession battles.

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Cook guides the Missouri offense, throwing for 1,879 total yards and 13 touchdowns. His favorite target is sophomore standout Luther Burden III, who has recorded 54 receptions for 793 yards and five TDs. Leading the team in rushing is senior Cody Schrader, having 94 carries for 577 yards and six touchdowns. The Tigers are ranked 40th in offense, scoring 33.2 points per game, and 23rd in total yards, averaging 464.0 yards. They are also notching up an impressive 1st-place ranking in red zone trips, achieving a perfect 100% conversion rate.

Defensively, the Tigers are ranked 71st in points allowed per game (25.5) and 52nd in total yards allowed per game (353.2). Missouri have fifteen sacks and four interceptions to their name this season, and their opponents have a 97th-place 42.6% third down conversion rate and a again 93rd-place 87.5% red zone conversion rate.

Missouri currently have a power ranking of 62, and are 5-1 (3-3 ATS) this season. They rank 55 in offense, averaging 32.00 points per game, 41 in defense, surrendering 20.80 points per game on average, and 23rd in total yards.

Missouri lost their highly-anticipated conference match with LSU, despite strong passing from Brady Cook Cook leads his team in the aerial attack, throwing for 1,879 total yards and 13 touchdowns, with Luther Burden III his favorite target Missouri rank 55 in offense,

Kentucky Wildcats Analysis

The Kentucky Wildcats had a disappointing string of losses against winning SEC opponents, most recently against the defending champs, where they were defeated 51-13. UK surrendered a whopping 608 yards of total offense, while managing just 128 yards in the air and 55 yards on the ground. Their offense averages 33.0 points per game (43rd) with 361.2 total yards (87th), 209.5 passing yards (92nd) and 151.7 rushing yards (72nd) per game. Senior QB Devin Leary leads the UK passing attack, throwing for 1,257 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions on the season. Senior RB Ray Davis leads the ground game with 91 carries for 653 yards and eight scores. The Wildcats defense gives up 21.2 points (43rd) and 349.0 total yards (46th) per game, including 257.0 passing yards (106th) and 92.0 rushing yards (14th). They have 14 sacks and six interceptions this season. Power Ranking: 56 Offense # Ranking: 19 Average points per game: 33.0 Avg. total yards per game: 361.2 Avg. passing yards per game: 209.5 Avg. rushing yards per game: 151.7 Defense # Ranking: 19 Avg. points given up per game: 21.2 Avg. total yards given up per game: 349.0 Avg. passing yards given up per game: 257.0 Avg. rushing yards given up per game: 92.0 Overall record: 5-1

Kentucky Wildcats Set to Capitalize on Weak Defense of Missouri Tigers

The Wildcats will likely use their previous loss to the Bulldogs as motivation against the Missouri Tigers. Kentucky's inability to get their running game going against Georgia may not concern them against Mizzou who allowed 274 rushing yards against LSU last week. Both teams need to bounce back from their terrible defensive performances last week, though the Wildcats defense has been consistent all season allowing an average of only 92.0 rushing yards per game. Kentucky should be favored, however, due to their ability to limit the Tiger's passing attack by controlling the run game.

Written by Steveh Published on 10/11/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Steve Hirshfeld has been involved in the Las Vegas Sports Investment Industry for more than 20 years and consistently beats the book.

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Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Pick on the Total

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#MissouriTigers#KentuckyWildcats

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Tigers vs Wildcats archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Tigers vs Wildcats matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Missouri Tigers+116 → +105Moved
  • Moneyline · Kentucky Wildcats-148 → -125Moved
  • Spread · Missouri Tigers+2.5 (-110) → +1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Kentucky Wildcats-2.5 (-110) → -1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over53.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under53.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Missouri Tigers
4-1 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Kentucky Wildcats
4-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-09T06:36:40.708Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The game total is set at 51.5 points. Missouri is 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS, while Kentucky is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS. Mizzou lost 49-39 to LSU last week and Wildcats suffered a 51-13 blowout loss to Georgia. Last season, Kentucky defeated Missouri 21-17 in Columbia. Several players on both teams are out due to injuries, and a few more are questionable to play on Saturday when the Mizzou Tigers and Kentucky Wildcats face off at Kroger Field with kickoff scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-05Kentucky Wildcats 21 · Missouri Tigers 17
  • 2021-09-11Missouri Tigers 28 · Kentucky Wildcats 35
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Missouri Tigers defeated Kentucky Wildcats 38-21

Missouri Tigers defeated Kentucky Wildcats 38-21 on October 14, 2023, a 17-point decision in the series. Missouri Tigers' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 18-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Missouri Tigers +1.5 (-110) spread, Missouri Tigers covered, while the 59 combined points finished over the recorded total of 50.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Missouri Tigers -2.5 (-110)Win
  • HopkinspicksSpread · Kentucky Wildcats -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • JtgarciaTotal · Over 53 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncTotal · Over 53 (-110)Win
  • JamescashiolaSpread · Missouri Tigers +2.5 (-110)Win
  • Mr_BiggsSpread · Kentucky Wildcats -2 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Missouri Tigers +1.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 50.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Missouri Tigers +1.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 50.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Kentucky Wildcats -1.5 (-110)Loss