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  3. Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Sat 7:30 PM ET
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North Carolina Tar Heels logo
North Carolina
Tar Heels41
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Miami Hurricanes01701431
North Carolina Tar Heels7721641
NCAAF · Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels

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Miami Hurricanes Take on 12th-Ranked North Carolina Tar Heels in ACC Action Saturday Night

Game time: October 14, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Kenan Stadium — Chapel Hill, NC

Article updated Oct 9, 2:36 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Saturday night, the Miami Hurricanes will take on the 12th-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels for a contest in ACC action. The Tar Heels enter the matchup with an

Game outlook

This Saturday night, the Miami Hurricanes will take on the 12th-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels for a contest in ACC action. The Tar Heels enter the matchup with an undefeated record of 5-0 while the Hurricanes are looking to rebound after a tough loss last week. The game is set to take place at 7:30 PM EST and the betting odds currently favor the Tar Heels by a spread of -4.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/14/2023 @ 7:30pm EST

Where: Kenan Memorial Stadium Stadium Hurricanes vs Tar Heels Betting Odds Moneyline: Hurricanes +150 | Tar Heels -180

Spread: Hurricanes +4 (-110) | Tar Heels -4 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 57 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 64%.

Miami Hurricanes

After Saturday's disappointment, Miami is now 4-1 on the season. The Hurricanes were led by quarterback Tyler Van Dyke who had a stellar performance, completing 24 of 26 passes for 288 yards, and one touchdown. Running back Don Chaney Jr. had 103 yards rushing and fellow running back Henry Parrish Jr. added 52 yards and a touchdown. Despite the impressive offensive display, the Hurricanes ultimately fell to Georgia Tech 23-20 due to the Offense's season-high five turnovers. The defensive line made up for the deficit, holding Georgia Tech to 250 total yards of offense and forcing two turnovers; Kam Kinchens led the way with seven tackles while linebacker Francisco Mauigoa had four tackles and an interception. Heading into this week's matchup against the 12th-ranked Heels, the Hurricanes have the 11th best offense in college football. They are 15th in the nation running the football and 23rd through the air, 31st most efficient offense in the red zone and 11th in total defense - 3rd against the run and 58th against the pass. The Hurricanes are 40th in the country in red zone defense and 48th in the nation in turnover differential. However, their biggest struggle this season has been with unforced errors, ranking 117th in the country in penalties per game. Injury Report: DL A. Mesidor (lower body) TE E. Arroyo (knee) WR J. George (undisclosed)- questionable RB T. Citizen (knee) OL S. Okunlola (lower body) DL B. Deen (lower body)- out Miami is now 4-1 (3-2 ATS) on the season, with a power ranking of 60. They have the 11th best defense and are ranked 8th in offense, averaging 43.75 points per game. The Hurricanes are also 3rd against the run and 23rd through the air, 31st most efficient offense in the red zone and 40th in the country in red zone defense. With 117th ranking in penalties per game, Miami is 48th in the nation in turnover differential.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

North Carolina Tar Heels Analysis

The Heels soared to victory over Syracuse on Saturday, 40-7, bringing their record to 5-0 for the first time in 26 years. Behind Heisman-hopeful QB Drake Mayes, the offense had a strong performance managing a season-high 442 yards and three touchdown passes. WR Nate McCollum was a standout of the game with seven catches for 135 yards. The Tar Heels defense showed up as well; shutting out the Orange in the first half and holding them to 221 yards of total offense. The North Carolina Tar Heels have maintained their undefeated streak and are now 5-0 for the first time in 26 years. Quarterback Drake Mayes had a season high 442 yards and three touchdown passes and wide receiver Nate McCollum had seven catches for 135 yards in a 40-7 win against Syracuse. The defense was also solid, shutting out the Orange and holding them to 221 yards of total offense. North Carolina's success is due in part to their strong performance at both offense and defense. Offensively, they rank 34th in the country averaging 35.75 points per game, 11th in passing and 41st in rushing. Defensively, they are 27th overall, 35th against the run and 43rd against the pass. The Tar Heels are 40th in the country for Turnover Differential and 35th for Penalties per game. Looking ahead, North Carolina is set to face Syracuse on Saturday, hoping to stay undefeated and improve their power ranking of 28th in the country. North Carolina Tar Heels is 5-0 (4-1 ATS) overall 6th best offense in the country (Heisman-hopeful Drake Mayes) 27th overall in total defense 35th against the run and 43rd against the pass in the red zone 40th in the country in Turnover Differential 35th for Penalties per game Power Ranking of 28th in the country

North Carolina shines defensively and Mayes expected to pull off victory in Saturday's Matchup Against Miami - Heels -3.5

North Carolina has shone defensively this season, setting themselves apart from previous teams. QB Mayes is a potential first round pick in the NFL, and is likely to produce points for the Heels. Carolina's defensive strength will be tested against Miami, who suffered an epic collapse against Georgia Tech. Miami's tendency to be undisciplined, ranked at 117th in penalties per game, gives the edge to the Heels who have successfully covered the spread in four out of their five games. Mayes's talent should help Carolina come out on top in Saturday's matchup. North Carolina -3.5 is the recommended pick.

Written by Mrmister Published on 10/11/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: I've been betting on sports my whole life. I actually placed 4th in the Golden Nugget contest in Vegas in 2005, and placed 3rd in the Reserve Casino Contest in Vegas in 2002. Still enjoy handicapping and glad I found this platform to share my picks.

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#MiamiHurricanes#NorthCarolinaTarHeels

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Hurricanes vs Tar Heels archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Hurricanes vs Tar Heels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Hurricanes+150 → +125Moved
  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-180 → -145Moved
  • Spread · Miami Hurricanes+3.5 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-3.5 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over56 (-110) → 57 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under56 (-110) → 57 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Hurricanes
3-1 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
North Carolina Tar Heels
5-0 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-09T06:36:39.544Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

After Saturday's disappointment, Miami is now 4-1 on the season. The Hurricanes were led by quarterback Tyler Van Dyke who had a stellar performance, completing 24 of 26 passes for 288 yards, and one touchdown. Running back Don Chaney Jr. had 103 yards rushing and fellow running back Henry Parrish Jr. added 52 yards and a touchdown. Despite the impressive offensive display, the Hurricanes ultimately fell to Georgia Tech 23-20 due to the Offense's season-high five turnovers. The defensive line made up for the deficit, holding Georgia Tech to 250 total yards of offense and forcing two turnovers; Kam Kinchens led the way with seven tackles while linebacker Francisco Mauigoa had four tackles and an interception. Heading into this week's matchup against the 12th-ranked Heels, the Hurricanes have the 11th best offense in college football. They are 15th in the nation running the football and 23rd through the air, 31st most efficient offense in the red zone and 11th in total defense - 3rd against the run and 58th against the pass. The Hurricanes are 40th in the country in red zone defense and 48th in the nation in turnover differential. However, their biggest struggle this season has been with unforced errors, ranking 117th in the country in penalties per game. Injury Report: DL A. Mesidor (lower body) TE E. Arroyo (knee) WR J. George (undisclosed)- questionable RB T. Citizen (knee) OL S. Okunlola (lower body) DL B. Deen (lower body)- out Miami is now 4-1 (3-2 ATS) on the season, with a power ranking of 60. They have the 11th best defense and are ranked 8th in offense, averaging 43.75 points per game. The Hurricanes are also 3rd against the run and 23rd through the air, 31st most efficient offense in the red zone and 40th in the country in red zone defense. With 117th ranking in penalties per game, Miami is 48th in the nation in turnover differential.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-08North Carolina Tar Heels 27 · Miami Hurricanes 24
  • 2021-10-16Miami Hurricanes 42 · North Carolina Tar Heels 45
  • 2020-12-12North Carolina Tar Heels 62 · Miami Hurricanes 26
Final result

Matchup pick recap

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Miami Hurricanes 41-31

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Miami Hurricanes 41-31 on October 14, 2023, a 10-point decision in the series. North Carolina Tar Heels' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Hurricanes +2.5 (-110) spread, North Carolina Tar Heels covered, while the 72 combined points finished over the recorded total of 57.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AveragejoeSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -3.5 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -3.5 (-110)Win
  • DengWinsTotal · Over 57 (-110)Win
  • CovergirlSpread · Miami Hurricanes +3.5 (-110)Loss
  • VfernandezSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels +3.5 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Spread · Miami Hurricanes +3.75 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksSpread · Miami Hurricanes +3.75 (-110)Loss
  • JamescashiolaSpread · Miami Hurricanes +3.75 (-110)Loss
  • KrockpicksTotal · Under 57 (-110)Loss
  • KrockpicksSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -3.75 (-110)Win
  • MookiebetsSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -3.75 (-110)Win
  • RainmanSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -3.75 (-110)Win
  • MtgoldsteinTotal · Under 57 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Miami Hurricanes +2.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 57 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Miami Hurricanes +2.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 57 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -2.5 (-110)Win