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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. UNLV Rebels vs Nevada Wolfpack
Sat 5:00 PM ET
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UNLV
Rebels45
3-1
versus
Nevada Wolfpack logo
Nevada
Wolfpack27
0-4
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Team1234T
UNLV Rebels141410745
Nevada Wolfpack7071327
NCAAF · UNLV Rebels at Nevada Wolfpack

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UNLV Set to Dominate In-State Rival Nevada in Mountain West Conference Matchup

Game time: October 14, 2023 at 5:00 PM ET

Venue: Mackay Stadium — Reno, NV

Article updated Oct 8, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels will face in-state rival Nevada in a Mountain West Conference match up on Saturday at 5:00 PM EST. UNLV has had a successful start to the season with

Game outlook

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels will face in-state rival Nevada in a Mountain West Conference match up on Saturday at 5:00 PM EST. UNLV has had a successful start to the season with a 4-1 record and 1-0 in conference play, while Nevada has had the opposite luck; they have lost five straight games. UNLV is the favorite in the game with an opener line of -9.75 that has since shifted to -9.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/14/2023 @ 5:00pm EST

Where: Clarence Mackay Stadium Stadium Rebels vs Wolf Pack Betting Odds Moneyline: Rebels -350 | Wolfpack +275

Spread: Rebels -9 (-110) | Wolfpack +9 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 53 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that UNLV will win straight-up is 78%.

UNLV Rebels

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels have had tremendous success this season, as they have won three straight games, most recently over Hawaii 44-20, and are now 4-1. This Saturday's win gave UNLV their first time scoring 40 points or more in three games in a row and bolstered their momentum going into Mountain West play. They grabbed 449 yards of total offense, with 307 yards rushing and two touchdowns from Courtney Reese, and prevented any turnover. Defensively, Hawaii was limited to 46 yards rushing and just 1-of-11 on third down conversions, with the Rebel's earning 6 sacks thanks to 6 different players. Offensively the Rebels are ranked 30 with 36.00 points scored per game Defensively they are ranked 80 with 26.80 points allowed per game 4-1 (5-0 ATS) this season with an 85 power ranking Rushing attack is dominant, grabbing 307 yards and 2 touchdowns from Courtney Reese Prevented any turnovers and held Hawaii to just 1-of-11 on third down conversions Six sacks earned by six different players Ranked 3rd in the country in turnover differential 117th in the country in penalties per game Injury Report: QB D. Brumfield (undisclosed) is questionable. DB J. Williams (foot) is out.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Nevada Wolfpack Analysis

The Nevada Wolfpack have had a tough start to their season, going 0-5 overall and 0-1 in conference play. Their last game resulted in a 27-9 loss to 25th-ranked Fresno State two weeks ago. In that game, the Wolfpack offense had just 253 yards of total offense, including 10-of-21 for 70 yards from starting quarterback Brendon Lewis and 9-of-14 for 97 yards from backup AJ Bianco. On defense, Nevada allowed 410 yards of total offense to Fresno State and 19 first downs. The Wolfpack have a power ranking of 131 with some room for improvement. On offense, they rank #130, scoring an average of 15.40 per game, and are #98 through the air. On the defensive side, they rank #128, giving up an average of 38.40 points per game, and are #131 against the pass. In the red zone, they are efficient both offensively (2nd) and defensively (29th). The Wolfpack are also fairly decent with intangibles, ranking 48th in the country in turnover differential and 34th in penalties per game. UNLV has gone 2-1 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Nevada. There have been no reported injuries.

UNLV Highly Favored to Dominate Nevada in Run-Heavy Matchup

UNLV enters the matchup with the 15th-ranked rushing attack and will face a Nevada team that is last in total defense and 114th against the run. Nevada has struggled with their offensive production, ranking 122nd in the nation. UNLV's defense is not elite, but they have been efficient enough to challenge Nevada. Given their explosive ground game and Nevada's lack of success running or throwing the football, UNLV is expected to take control of time of possession and make this a one-sided affair. UNLV -9.5 is the recommended bet.

Written by Tgodfrey Published on 10/12/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Over 15 years of sports handicapping experience- I do my homework and rely on keen instincts and years of experience to spot the loose lines with the highest value every week.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#UNLVRebels#NevadaWolfpack

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Rebels vs Wolfpack archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Rebels vs Wolfpack matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UNLV Rebels-375 → -298Moved
  • Moneyline · Nevada Wolfpack+275 → +240Moved
  • Spread · UNLV Rebels-9.75 (-110) → -7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Nevada Wolfpack+9.75 (-110) → +7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over56.25 (-110) → 51.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under56.25 (-110) → 51.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

UNLV Rebels
3-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Nevada Wolfpack
0-4 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 3-6-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-08T22:36:18.905Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels have had tremendous success this season, as they have won three straight games, most recently over Hawaii 44-20, and are now 4-1. This Saturday's win gave UNLV their first time scoring 40 points or more in three games in a row and bolstered their momentum going into Mountain West play. They grabbed 449 yards of total offense, with 307 yards rushing and two touchdowns from Courtney Reese, and prevented any turnover. Defensively, Hawaii was limited to 46 yards rushing and just 1-of-11 on third down conversions, with the Rebel's earning 6 sacks thanks to 6 different players. Offensively the Rebels are ranked 30 with 36.00 points scored per game Defensively they are ranked 80 with 26.80 points allowed per game 4-1 (5-0 ATS) this season with an 85 power ranking Rushing attack is dominant, grabbing 307 yards and 2 touchdowns from Courtney Reese Prevented any turnovers and held Hawaii to just 1-of-11 on third down conversions Six sacks earned by six different players Ranked 3rd in the country in turnover differential 117th in the country in penalties per game Injury Report: QB D. Brumfield (undisclosed) is questionable. DB J. Williams (foot) is out.

The Nevada Wolfpack have had a tough start to their season, going 0-5 overall and 0-1 in conference play. Their last game resulted in a 27-9 loss to 25th-ranked Fresno State two weeks ago. In that game, the Wolfpack offense had just 253 yards of total offense, including 10-of-21 for 70 yards from starting quarterback Brendon Lewis and 9-of-14 for 97 yards from backup AJ Bianco. On defense, Nevada allowed 410 yards of total offense to Fresno State and 19 first downs. The Wolfpack have a power ranking of 131 with some room for improvement. On offense, they rank #130, scoring an average of 15.40 per game, and are #98 through the air. On the defensive side, they rank #128, giving up an average of 38.40 points per game, and are #131 against the pass. In the red zone, they are efficient both offensively (2nd) and defensively (29th). The Wolfpack are also fairly decent with intangibles, ranking 48th in the country in turnover differential and 34th in penalties per game. UNLV has gone 2-1 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Nevada. There have been no reported injuries.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-26Nevada Wolfpack 22 · UNLV Rebels 27
  • 2021-10-29UNLV Rebels 20 · Nevada Wolfpack 51
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UNLV Rebels defeated Nevada Wolfpack 45-27

UNLV Rebels defeated Nevada Wolfpack 45-27 on October 14, 2023, a 18-point decision in the series. UNLV Rebels' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded UNLV Rebels -7.5 (-110) spread, UNLV Rebels covered, while the 72 combined points finished over the recorded total of 51.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • 72dolphinsSpread · UNLV Rebels -9.5 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffSpread · Nevada Wolfpack +9.5 (-110)Loss
  • SwamipicksSpread · Nevada Wolfpack +9.5 (-110)Loss
  • DtownsendSpread · UNLV Rebels -9.25 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsSpread · UNLV Rebels -9.25 (-110)Win
  • RainmanSpread · UNLV Rebels -9.25 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · UNLV Rebels -8 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · UNLV Rebels -7.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 52.75 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · UNLV Rebels -7.5 (-110)Win