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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Troy Trojans vs Army Black Knights
Sat 3:30 PM ET
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NCAAF · Troy Trojans at Army Black Knights

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Troy Trojans vs Army Black Knights: Injuries Could Decide Low-Scoring Matchup on Saturday

Game time: October 14, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Michie Stadium — West Point, NY

Article updated Oct 8, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Troy Trojans are on the road Saturday to play the Army Black Knights. Troy is currently 4-2 with a 2-1 Sun Belt record, winning their last game against Arkansas State.

Game outlook

The Troy Trojans are on the road Saturday to play the Army Black Knights. Troy is currently 4-2 with a 2-1 Sun Belt record, winning their last game against Arkansas State. Army is 2-3 with their last loss to Boston College. Troy will be without RB Jordan Ingram and S Reggie Bracy and Army will be without QB Alex Meredith and WR Isaiah Alston and RB Miles Stewart are questionable. Troy is the betting favorite for the match-up, opening the line at -4 and currently sitting at -4.5.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/14/2023 @ 3:30pm EST

Where: Blaik Field at Michie Stadium Stadium Trojans vs Black Knights Betting Odds Moneyline: Trojans -196 | Black Knights +170

Spread: Trojans -4.5 (-110) | Black Knights +4.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 43 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Troy will win straight-up is 66%.

Troy Trojans

Troy has been successful in their defensive game this season, allowing an average of 20.3 points per game, which ranks 39th in the nation. They are allowing a total of 286.0 yards per game, with 87.7 yards rushing (12th in the nation) and 198.3 yards passing (34th in the nation). Linebacker Jayden McDonald is their leading tackler with 32, and Javon Solomon has the best 5.5 quarterback sacks. The Trojans have made 11 quarterback sacks and have had four interceptions. In the offensive realm, Troy has an average of 27.8 points per game, ranking 78th in the nation. They have an average of 444.2 yards of total offense, with 179.5 yards rushing and 264.7 yards of passing. Gunnar Watson has 1,539 yards passing with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Kimani Vidal leads the ground game with 835 yards rushing and six touchdowns, while Jabre Barber leads the receivers with 25 receptions for 317 yards and two touchdowns.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Army Black Knights Analysis

The Army Black Knights' performance this season has been mixed, with strengths and weaknesses on both sides of the ball. Defensively, they are allowing an average of 20.4 points and 330.5 yards per game, which ranks 40th and 32nd respectively. While the Black Knights have been strong against the pass, giving up an average of 168.8 yards per game (15th), their defense against the run needs to improve -- they currently rank 96th, with an average of 161.8 rushing yards per game allowed. The leading tackler for Army is linebacker Leo Lowin, with 31, while Jimmy Ciarlo leads in sacks, with 3.0. In total, Army has made 11 quarterback sacks and has intercepted four passes. Army's offense is generating 29.4 points and 357.2 yards of total offense per game which are both 71st and 91st respectively in the nation. The Black Knights' ground game is their strength, averaging 200.6 yards per game (22nd), while their passing game is a bit lacking, averaging 156.6 yards passing per game, ranking 121st nationally. Quarterback Bryson Daily has 697 yards passing with six touchdowns and four interceptions, while also leading the team in rushing with 374 yards and three touchdowns. Receiver Isaiah Alston, listed as questionable, leads all receivers with 266 yards and two touchdowns. Overall, Army Black Knights have a power ranking of 47 and are #62 for offense (scoring an average of 30.75 per game), #32 for defense (giving up an average of 18.75 points per game) and have a record of 2-3 (2-2-1 ATS). Troy went 0-1 (1-0 ATS) in their last three matchups against Army.

Troy vs. Army: This Saturday's Low-Scoring Matchup Could be Decided By Injuries

This Saturday’s matchup between Troy and Army looks to be low scoring due to the two teams’ strong defensive performances. Troy averages 179.5 yards per game rushing, which is 43rd in the nation, which will be up against Army’s 161.8-yard average on the ground, 96th. Army's strength is their 200.6 yard ground game but Troy is 12th best in the nation with their 87.7 yard defense. Isaiah Alston, Army’s leading receiver, may be unable to play due to a questionable injury and this could prove problematic for the Black Knights. Troy has gone against the spread in 12 of their last 18, including 7 of their last 8 on the road.

Written by Mrmister Published on 10/12/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: I've been betting on sports my whole life. I actually placed 4th in the Golden Nugget contest in Vegas in 2005, and placed 3rd in the Reserve Casino Contest in Vegas in 2002. Still enjoy handicapping and glad I found this platform to share my picks.

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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Pick on the Total

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Trojans vs Black Knights archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Trojans vs Black Knights matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Troy Trojans-182 → -234Moved
  • Moneyline · Army Black Knights+140 → +195Moved
  • Spread · Troy Trojans-4 (-110) → -6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Army Black Knights+4 (-110) → +6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over44 (-110) → 41.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under44 (-110) → 41.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Troy Trojans
3-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Army Black Knights
1-3 matchup record · 7-2-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-08T22:36:10.768Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Troy Trojans are on the road Saturday to play the Army Black Knights. Troy is currently 4-2 with a 2-1 Sun Belt record, winning their last game against Arkansas State. Army is 2-3 with their last loss to Boston College. Troy will be without RB Jordan Ingram and S Reggie Bracy and Army will be without QB Alex Meredith and WR Isaiah Alston and RB Miles Stewart are questionable. Troy is the betting favorite for the match-up, opening the line at -4 and currently sitting at -4.5.

The Army Black Knights' performance this season has been mixed, with strengths and weaknesses on both sides of the ball. Defensively, they are allowing an average of 20.4 points and 330.5 yards per game, which ranks 40th and 32nd respectively. While the Black Knights have been strong against the pass, giving up an average of 168.8 yards per game (15th), their defense against the run needs to improve -- they currently rank 96th, with an average of 161.8 rushing yards per game allowed. The leading tackler for Army is linebacker Leo Lowin, with 31, while Jimmy Ciarlo leads in sacks, with 3.0. In total, Army has made 11 quarterback sacks and has intercepted four passes. Army's offense is generating 29.4 points and 357.2 yards of total offense per game which are both 71st and 91st respectively in the nation. The Black Knights' ground game is their strength, averaging 200.6 yards per game (22nd), while their passing game is a bit lacking, averaging 156.6 yards passing per game, ranking 121st nationally. Quarterback Bryson Daily has 697 yards passing with six touchdowns and four interceptions, while also leading the team in rushing with 374 yards and three touchdowns. Receiver Isaiah Alston, listed as questionable, leads all receivers with 266 yards and two touchdowns. Overall, Army Black Knights have a power ranking of 47 and are #62 for offense (scoring an average of 30.75 per game), #32 for defense (giving up an average of 18.75 points per game) and have a record of 2-3 (2-2-1 ATS). Troy went 0-1 (1-0 ATS) in their last three matchups against Army.

This Saturday’s matchup between Troy and Army looks to be low scoring due to the two teams’ strong defensive performances. Troy averages 179.5 yards per game rushing, which is 43rd in the nation, which will be up against Army’s 161.8-yard average on the ground, 96th. Army's strength is their 200.6 yard ground game but Troy is 12th best in the nation with their 87.7 yard defense. Isaiah Alston, Army’s leading receiver, may be unable to play due to a questionable injury and this could prove problematic for the Black Knights. Troy has gone against the spread in 12 of their last 18, including 7 of their last 8 on the road.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-12Army Black Knights 9 · Troy Trojans 10
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Troy Trojans defeated Army Black Knights 19-0

Troy Trojans defeated Army Black Knights 19-0 on October 14, 2023, a 19-point decision in the series. Troy Trojans' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 13-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Troy Trojans -6.5 (-110) spread, Troy Trojans covered, while the 19 combined points finished under the recorded total of 41.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BookieslayerSpread · Troy Trojans -4.5 (-110)Win
  • AveragejoeSpread · Troy Trojans -4.5 (-110)Win
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Army Black Knights +4.5 (-110)Loss
  • KrockpicksTotal · Under 44.5 (-110)Win
  • MickeytSpread · Troy Trojans -5.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Troy Trojans -6 (-110)Win
  • DouwannaSpread · Troy Trojans -6 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Troy Trojans -6 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 42.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Troy Trojans -6 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 42.5 (-110)Loss