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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Penn St. Nittany Lions vs USC Trojans
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Penn St. Nittany Lions logo
Penn St.
Nittany Lions33
4-0
versus
USC Trojans logo
USC
Trojans30
3-2
Final/OT
Team12345T
Penn St. Nittany Lions331410333
USC Trojans71337030
NCAAF · Penn St. Nittany Lions at USC Trojans

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Penn St. Nittany Lions vs USC Trojans Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: October 12, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum — Los Angeles, CA

Article updated Oct 10, 6:09 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In a highly anticipated college football matchup, the USC Trojans (3-2) will face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) on Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern. This will be

Game outlook

In a highly anticipated college football matchup, the USC Trojans (3-2) will face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) on Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern. This will be the teams' first meeting since the Trojans' victory in the 2017 Rose Bowl. While Penn State is favored to win with a current line of -4.5, USC will be looking to pull off an upset and secure a key victory at home. Fans can expect an exciting and competitive game between these two talented teams.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Nittany Lions -195 | Trojans +165

Spread: Nittany Lions -4.5 (-110) | Trojans +4.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Penn St. will win straight-up is 66%.

Penn St. Nittany Lions

In a dominant performance, Penn State extended their undefeated streak by defeating UCLA with a score of 27-1. Quarterback Drew Allar showcased his skills with 237 passing yards and a touchdown, contributing to the team's total of 322 yards. Despite falling short of the 30-point mark in recent games, the Nittany Lions have excelled in converting 3rd downs and scoring in the red zone, with a 52.8% conversion rate and a 90% success rate inside the 20-yard line. Allar has been a standout performer with a 71% completion rate and a strong downfield passing game. On defense, Penn State has been equally impressive, allowing only 11.4 points per game and less than 240 total yards per game. Their solid pass rush has limited opponents to under 60% completion rate, making them a formidable force on both offense and defense. With a power ranking of 6, Penn State ranks 31st in offense, 7th in defense, and holds a 4-0 record this season.

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USC Trojans Analysis

USC is looking to bounce back after dropping their road conference games and will now face Penn State at home. Despite outgaining Minnesota in their last game, turnovers proved costly. The Trojans have been solid on offense, averaging 30.8 points per game and excelling on 3rd downs and in the red zone. Quarterback Miller Moss has been vulnerable with turnovers, but the offensive line has provided good protection. On defense, USC is allowing 18.4 points per game and has been strong in forcing 3rd down stops but vulnerable to chunk plays. They will need to improve their ground defense and pass rush against Penn State's potent offense. USC has a power ranking of 30 and is ranked #41 for offense and #32 for defense. In their last three matchups, Penn State has gone 3-0 against USC.

Penn State Offense Poised for Victory Against USC Defense

The Penn State offense has demonstrated exceptional effectiveness, although it has often been overshadowed by the impressive performance of the defense in disrupting opponents and creating chaos in the backfield. With a high completion rate, Allar is poised to exploit the weaknesses in the Trojans' defense. Additionally, the Trojans' struggle to contain the ground game will further challenge their defensive capabilities. While USC has shown proficiency in moving the ball, Moss has displayed vulnerability in protecting possession, thus facing a formidable challenge against the Penn State defense. Considering these factors, Penn State's advantage of -4.5 underscores their favoritism in the upcoming match.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PennStNittanyLions#USCTrojans

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Nittany Lions vs Trojans archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Nittany Lions vs Trojans matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Penn St. Nittany Lions-198 → -179Moved
  • Moneyline · USC Trojans+164 → +153Moved
  • Spread · Penn St. Nittany Lions-5.5 (-110) → -4 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · USC Trojans+5.5 (-110) → +4 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over48 (-110) → 51.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under48 (-110) → 51.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Penn St. Nittany Lions
4-0 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
USC Trojans
3-2 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-10-10T22:09:09.903Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Penn St. Nittany Lions defeated USC Trojans 33-30

Penn St. Nittany Lions defeated USC Trojans 33-30 on October 12, 2024, a 3-point decision in the series. Penn St. Nittany Lions' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Penn St. Nittany Lions -4 (-110) spread, USC Trojans covered, while the 63 combined points finished over the recorded total of 51.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • ThetotalerSpread · USC Trojans +5.5 (-110)Win
  • Roderick806Spread · Penn St. Nittany Lions -5 (-110)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Under 48 (-110)Loss
  • JtgarciaSpread · USC Trojans +5.5 (-110)Win
  • SwamipicksSpread · USC Trojans +5.5 (-110)Win
  • RcSpread · USC Trojans +5 (-110)Win
  • MtgoldsteinTotal · Under 50.5 (-110)Loss
  • JackCohenTotal · Under 50.5 (-110)Loss
  • IrishblueSpread · USC Trojans +3.5 (-110)Win
  • Altuve27Spread · USC Trojans +3.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Penn St. Nittany Lions -3.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 51 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Penn St. Nittany Lions -3.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 51 (-110)Win