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NCAAF PicksSat 7:00 PM ET
UAB Blazers logo
UAB
Blazers
3-2
versus
Memphis Tigers logo
Memphis
Tigers
3-1
NCAAF · UAB at MEMPHS

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UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers Predictions October 10, 2026

Game time: October 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium — Memphis, TN

Article updated Oct 5, 12:50 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Memphis is the pick to beat UAB, Memphis 34, UAB 20, with its 59-8 road victory at Charlotte providing the strongest recent reason to favor the Tigers at home. UAB’s consecutive wins temper expectations for a runaway. Neither Memphis -14.5 nor the 58.5 total offers a compelling wager at the supplied prices, making the official SportsJaw betting recommendation Pass.

UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers prediction and best bet

Pick Memphis to win the Battle for the Bones. The Tigers enter with a 4-1 record and a decisive conference-opening victory, giving them the stronger immediate case against a 3-2 UAB team. Their latest performance carries more weight in this forecast than the rivalry’s historical balance.

Winning and covering require different judgments here. Memphis must win by at least 15 points to cover -14.5, and the projected margin is 14. That narrow difference is no reason to rush toward UAB, either. The best bet is Pass, with medium confidence in Memphis as the outright winner.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Kickoff: Saturday, October 10, 2026, at 6 p.m. CT. Both schools’ October 4 football reports confirm the date and time.

Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee.

Broadcast: ESPN2.

Records and form: UAB is 3-2 with two consecutive wins. Memphis is 4-1 overall and 1-0 in American Conference play.

SportsJaw spread: UAB +14.5 (-104); Memphis -14.5 (-115).

SportsJaw total: Over 58.5 (-110); Under 58.5 (-110). Moneyline: UAB +482; Memphis -730.

UAB Blazers outlook

UAB followed its September 25 victory over Navy, 24-20, with a 33-14 win over Samford on October 3. The Blazers therefore arrive after winning one close game and another by 19 points. That is encouraging recent form, although results against those opponents are not a direct measure of how UAB will handle Memphis.

The Blazers also won the 2025 meeting 31-24 at Protective Stadium, beating a Memphis team ranked No. 22 at the time. That result belongs in the rivalry context, but it is not a current personnel advantage. This season’s forecast should give greater weight to UAB’s recent results than assume last year’s winning formula will travel unchanged.

Memphis Tigers outlook

Memphis opened American Conference play with a 59-8 road win over Charlotte on October 3. The 51-point margin is the most emphatic recent result cited by either school’s matchup report. It strengthens the Tigers’ case because they return home after delivering that performance away from Memphis.

The challenge is deciding how much of that result to carry into this projection. A 59-point outing makes a comfortable Memphis victory plausible, but treating that scoring pace as the expectation would put too much weight on one game. The forecast favors the Tigers while allowing for a substantially more competitive afternoon against UAB.

Key matchup factors

The central comparison is Memphis’ dominant latest result against UAB’s steadier two-game winning run. Both teams have recent success to draw from, so this is not a forecast built around one side struggling. Memphis gets the edge for the scale of its Charlotte performance and the home setting.

This will be the teams’ 19th meeting, with UAB leading the series 11-7. Those numbers describe the rivalry’s history; they do not make UAB more likely to cover a particular spread. Similarly, last season’s seven-point outcome should not become a shortcut for predicting this season’s margin.

UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers spread prediction

Pass on Memphis -14.5 (-115) and UAB +14.5 (-104). The projected Memphis 34, UAB 20 finish would put UAB inside the number by half a point, but that is too fine a distinction to turn a general game forecast into a spread recommendation.

Memphis’ Charlotte result supplies a credible route to a larger margin. UAB’s consecutive victories supply the counterargument. Neither side has enough separation from this line to justify an official wager, and UAB’s less expensive price alone does not make the underdog a value.

UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers total prediction

Pass on Over 58.5 (-110) and Under 58.5 (-110). The projected 54 points lean below the total, but confidence in that scoring estimate is weaker than confidence in the winner.

Memphis’ latest game finished with 67 combined points, while UAB’s last two finished with 44 and 47. Those contrasting results leave a broad range of plausible outcomes against different opposition. The lower projection is an editorial expectation, not a strong enough scoring edge to recommend Under 58.5.

UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers projected score

Game forecast: Memphis 34, UAB 20. Memphis’ latest performance and home field support the pick, while UAB’s winning streak is the strongest current counterargument to a comfortable Tigers victory.

Confidence is medium in Memphis to win. The projected margin sits close to the spread, and the scoring outlook remains less convincing than the outright pick. Both markets are passes. Official SportsJaw wager: Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

UAB20

MEMPHS34

Projected winner Memphis TigersConfidenceSlight Lean — UAB Blazers
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — UAB Blazers +14.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Memphis Tigers -14.5 (-115) and UAB Blazers +14.5 (-104).

Pick on the Total

Moderate Lean — Under 58.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 58.5 (-110) and Under 58.5 (-110).

Sources

  • UAB AthleticsUAB-Memphis Set for 6 pm Kickoff on ESPN2
  • University of Memphis AthleticsMemphis-UAB Set for 6 p.m. Kick on ESPN2

SportsJaw Blazers vs Tigers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Blazers vs Tigers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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