USC Trojans vs Penn St. Nittany Lions Predictions October 10, 2026
USC will beat Penn State 30-24, with its efficient passing attack and King Miller’s rushing production offering the strongest matchup advantage against a defense coming off a difficult afternoon at Northwestern. USC +1.5 (-110) is the best bet at the supplied price. Confidence is medium because Penn State’s season-long defensive numbers remain strong. Pass on the total of 54.5.
USC Trojans vs Penn St. Nittany Lions prediction and best bet
USC +1.5 (-110) is the selection because the Trojans have two credible ways to sustain drives: Jayden Maiava’s passing and Miller’s work on the ground. Their offensive production makes taking the points attractive even against a Penn State defense with impressive season averages.
The forecast favors USC 30, Penn State 24. Northwestern’s rushing success gives USC a weakness to attack, but one game should not erase Penn State’s broader defensive performance. That tension keeps confidence at medium and makes the spread a stronger choice than the total.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game time: Saturday, October 10, 2026, at 7:30 p.m. ET / 4:30 p.m. PT. This is a 2026 college football matchup between visiting USC and Penn State.
Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, Pennsylvania.
Broadcast: NBC.
Records: USC is 5-1 overall and 2-1 in Big Ten play. Penn State is 3-2 overall and 0-2 in conference play, with consecutive losses to Wisconsin and Northwestern.
SportsJaw odds: USC +1.5 (-110); Penn State -1.5 (-110). Moneyline: USC +100; Penn State -120. Total: Over 54.5 (-112), Under 54.5 (-105).
Consensus: As of October 8 at 15:32 UTC, SportsJaw’s combined consensus favored USC +100 at 72 percent, up one percentage point from October 7. Over 54.5 (-112) led the total at 80 percent. These blended percentages are separate from team win probabilities; neither market has a separate SportsJaw member-pick leader reported.