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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Mercer Bears vs Samford Bulldogs
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Mercer Bears logo
Mercer
Bears57
19-13
versus
Samford Bulldogs logo
Samford
Bulldogs70
18-14
Final
Team12T
Mercer Bears282957
Samford Bulldogs373370
NCAAB · Mercer Bears at Samford Bulldogs

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Mercer Bears vs Samford Bulldogs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: March 9, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Harrah's Cherokee Center — Asheville, NC

Article updated Mar 9, 10:36 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Mercer Bears are on the road playing the Samford Bulldogs at the Harrah's Cherokee Center stadium on Saturday, 3/9/2024 @ 12:00pm EST. Samford is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The Mercer Bears are on the road playing the Samford Bulldogs at the Harrah's Cherokee Center stadium on Saturday, 3/9/2024 @ 12:00pm EST. Samford is the betting favorite opening at -7 and the current line is Samford -9.

Bears vs Bulldogs Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Bulldogs to win today's game by 19 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Samford Bulldogs to cover the 8.5 point spread and the total to go under 154 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Mercer 65 to Samford 84

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mercer Bears and Samford Bulldogs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

52% of SportsJaw users predict Mercer Bears to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Samford will win straight-up is 81%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be MERCR 68, SAMFD 86.

OddsShark 's prediction is Samford will win, cover the spread, and the total will go under.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Mercer Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 158, Mercer is ranked #247 in offense (scoring an average of 71.43 per game), #176 in defense (allowing an average of 71.80 points to be scored against them per game) and are 16-15 (17-11-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Bears hit an average of 45.01% of their field goals (ranked #155) and 67.13% of their free throws (ranked #324) and makes an average of 35.16% of their three pointers ranked #113 in the NCAAB). They average 34.37 rebounds per game (ranked # 242) and average 13.43 offensive assists and 11.30 turnovers per game (ranked # 148 and 127 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Mercer allows an average of 44.40% field goals (ranked #220) and 72.89% free throws (ranked #257 in the NCAAB) The Bears allow an average of 33.61% of the three pointers (ranked #189) and averages 34.83 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.83) Finally, the Bears average 11.10 defensive assists and 12.33 turnovers per game (ranked # 47 and 140 respectively).

Samford Key Betting Stats

Samford Bulldogs has a power ranking of 195 and are #4 for offense (scoring an average of 86.87 per game), #260 for defense (giving up an average of 74.55 points per game) and 26-5 (16-13 ATS) overall. Mercer went 2-1 (0-3 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Samford.

For offense, the Bulldogs hit an average of 49.40% of their field goals (ranked #13) and 73.12% of their free throws (ranked #126) and makes an average of 39.80% of their three pointers (ranked #7 in the NCAAB). They average 35.77 rebounds per game (ranked # 149) and average 17.87 offensive assists and 13.13 turnovers per game (ranked # 7) and 301 respectively).

On defense, Samford allows an average of 43.43% field goals (ranked #162) and 69.13% free throws (ranked #40 in the NCAAB) The Bulldogs allow an average of 34.62% of the three pointers (ranked #251) and averages 35.58 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 35.58) Finally, the Bulldogs average 14.03 defensive assists and 17.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 278 and 4 respectively).

Betting Summary

Samford has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Samford Bulldogs to cover the 8.5 point spread and the total to go under 154 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MercerBears#SamfordBulldogs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Bulldogs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bears vs Bulldogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Mercer Bears-4,895 → +330Moved
  • Moneyline · Samford Bulldogs-5,130 → -430Moved
  • Spread · Mercer Bears+7 (-110) → +9 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Samford Bulldogs-7 (-110) → -9 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over153.5 (-110) → 154 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under153.5 (-110) → 154 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Mercer Bears
19-13 matchup record · 7-2-1 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Samford Bulldogs
18-14 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-10T03:36:10.015Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mercer Bears and Samford Bulldogs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-02-17Samford Bulldogs 84 · Mercer Bears 88
  • 2024-01-20Mercer Bears 80 · Samford Bulldogs 87
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Samford Bulldogs defeated Mercer Bears 70-57

Samford Bulldogs defeated Mercer Bears 70-57 on March 9, 2024, a 13-point decision in the series. Samford Bulldogs' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 37-28. Against SportsJaw's recorded Mercer Bears +9 (-110) spread, Samford Bulldogs covered, while the 127 combined points finished under the recorded total of 154.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

No graded public tipster picks were recorded for this matchup.