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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC San Diego Tritons
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs87
14-19
versus
UC San Diego Tritons logo
UC San Diego
Tritons92
23-11
Final
Team12T
Cal Poly Mustangs355287
UC San Diego Tritons494392
NCAAB · Cal Poly Mustangs at UC San Diego Tritons

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Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC San Diego Tritons Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: March 9, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: LionTree Arena — San Diego, CA

Article updated Mar 9, 6:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Cal Poly Mustangs are traveling to play the UC San Diego Tritons at the LionTree Arena stadium on Saturday, 3/9/2024 @ 7:00pm EST. UC San Diego is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The Cal Poly Mustangs are traveling to play the UC San Diego Tritons at the LionTree Arena stadium on Saturday, 3/9/2024 @ 7:00pm EST. UC San Diego is the betting favorite opening at -18 and the current line is UC San Diego -17.

Mustangs vs Tritons Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Tritons to win tonight's game by 18 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the UC San Diego Tritons to cover the 17 point spread and the total to go over 137 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Cal Poly 60 to UC San Diego 78

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cal Poly Mustangs and UC San Diego Tritons, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

50% of SportsJaw predicts UC San Diego Tritons to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that UC San Diego will win straight-up is 96%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be CP 51.5, UCSD 85.5.

OddsShark predicts UC San Diego will win, cal poly will cover, and the total will go over.

61% picked UC San Diego Tritons on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Cal Poly Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 355, Cal Poly is ranked #356 in offense (scoring an average of 62.90 per game), #235 in defense (allowing an average of 73.52 points to be scored against them per game) and are 4-27 (14-16 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Mustangs hit an average of 40.12% of their field goals (ranked #346) and 69.87% of their free throws (ranked #273) and makes an average of 32.81% of their three pointers ranked #247 in the NCAAB). They average 31.42 rebounds per game (ranked # 345) and average 9.52 offensive assists and 12.94 turnovers per game (ranked # 356 and 286 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Cal Poly allows an average of 45.87% field goals (ranked #306) and 72.80% free throws (ranked #251 in the NCAAB) The Mustangs allow an average of 34.74% of the three pointers (ranked #261) and averages 38.42 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 38.42) Finally, the Mustangs average 11.81 defensive assists and 11.87 turnovers per game (ranked # 96 and 183 respectively).

UC San Diego Key Betting Stats

UC San Diego Tritons has a power ranking of 69 and are #104 for offense (scoring an average of 76.23 per game), #82 for defense (giving up an average of 68.58 points per game) and 20-11 (18-11 ATS) overall. Cal Poly went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against UC San Diego.

For offense, the Tritons hit an average of 45.49% of their field goals (ranked #129) and 75.30% of their free throws (ranked #53) and makes an average of 35.14% of their three pointers (ranked #117 in the NCAAB). They average 34.74 rebounds per game (ranked # 217) and average 12.90 offensive assists and 9.68 turnovers per game (ranked # 197) and 21 respectively).

On defense, UC San Diego allows an average of 43.45% field goals (ranked #163) and 70.52% free throws (ranked #105 in the NCAAB) The Tritons allow an average of 33.07% of the three pointers (ranked #154) and averages 34.61 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.61) Finally, the Tritons average 12.32 defensive assists and 11.90 turnovers per game (ranked # 130 and 178 respectively).

Betting Summary

UC San Diego has the advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the UC San Diego Tritons to cover the 17 point spread and the total to go over 137 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#CalPolyMustangs#UCSanDiegoTritons

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mustangs vs Tritons archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mustangs vs Tritons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+1,200 → +1,000Moved
  • Moneyline · UC San Diego Tritons-2,400 → -2,500Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+18 (-110) → +17 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · UC San Diego Tritons-18 (-110) → -17 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over138 (-110) → 138 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under138 (-110) → 138 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Cal Poly Mustangs
14-19 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
UC San Diego Tritons
23-11 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-09T11:35:50.999Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cal Poly Mustangs and UC San Diego Tritons, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-13UC San Diego Tritons 86 · Cal Poly Mustangs 61
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 92-87

UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 92-87 on March 9, 2024, a 5-point decision in the series. UC San Diego Tritons' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 49-35. Against SportsJaw's recorded Cal Poly Mustangs +17 (-110) spread, Cal Poly Mustangs covered, while the 179 combined points finished over the recorded total of 138.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VfernandezSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +18 (-110)Win
  • JtmcentireSpread · UC San Diego Tritons -17 (-110)Loss