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  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Va. Commonwealth Rams vs Dayton Flyers
Fri 7:00 PM ET
Va. Commonwealth Rams logo
Va. Commonwealth
Rams86
15-9
versus
Dayton Flyers logo
Dayton
Flyers91
21-5
Final/OT
Team123T
Va. Commonwealth Rams38321686
Dayton Flyers31392191
NCAAB · Va. Commonwealth Rams at Dayton Flyers

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Va. Commonwealth Rams vs Dayton Flyers Prediction

Game time: March 8, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: UD Arena — Dayton, OH

Article updated Mar 8, 6:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Va. Commonwealth Rams are on the road playing the Dayton Flyers at the University of Dayton Arena stadium on Friday, 3/8/2024 @ 7:00pm EST. Dayton is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The Va. Commonwealth Rams are on the road playing the Dayton Flyers at the University of Dayton Arena stadium on Friday, 3/8/2024 @ 7:00pm EST. Dayton is the betting favorite opening at -9 and the current line is Dayton -8.5.

Rams vs Flyers Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Flyers to win tonight's game by 5 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Va. Commonwealth Rams to cover the 8.5 point spread and the total to go over 135.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Va. Commonwealth 67 to Dayton 72

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Va. Commonwealth Rams and Dayton Flyers, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

52% of SportsJaw players predict Dayton Flyers to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Dayton will win straight-up is 81%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be VACOM 59.25, DAYTN 76.25.

OddsShark 's prediction is Dayton will win, vcu will cover, and the total will go over.

62% picked Va. Commonwealth Rams on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Va. Commonwealth Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 209, Va. Commonwealth is ranked #239 in offense (scoring an average of 71.93 per game), #49 in defense (allowing an average of 66.83 points to be scored against them per game) and are 19-11 (18-12 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Rams hit an average of 44.33% of their field goals (ranked #202) and 78.93% of their free throws (ranked #9) and makes an average of 36.17% of their three pointers ranked #65 in the NCAAB). They average 35.70 rebounds per game (ranked # 156) and average 14.03 offensive assists and 12.13 turnovers per game (ranked # 123 and 219 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Va. Commonwealth allows an average of 40.54% field goals (ranked #25) and 74.20% free throws (ranked #313 in the NCAAB) The Rams allow an average of 30.54% of the three pointers (ranked #23) and averages 32.73 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.73) Finally, the Rams average 10.50 defensive assists and 10.83 turnovers per game (ranked # 22 and 286 respectively).

Dayton Key Betting Stats

Dayton Flyers has a power ranking of 94 and are #144 for offense (scoring an average of 74.79 per game), #27 for defense (giving up an average of 65.66 points per game) and 23-6 (15-13-1 ATS) overall. Va. Commonwealth went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Dayton.

For offense, the Flyers hit an average of 47.99% of their field goals (ranked #31) and 73.36% of their free throws (ranked #115) and makes an average of 40.23% of their three pointers (ranked #4 in the NCAAB). They average 33.90 rebounds per game (ranked # 265) and average 14.79 offensive assists and 10.21 turnovers per game (ranked # 83) and 48 respectively).

On defense, Dayton allows an average of 41.37% field goals (ranked #48) and 73.30% free throws (ranked #276 in the NCAAB) The Flyers allow an average of 30.97% of the three pointers (ranked #35) and averages 32.41 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.41) Finally, the Flyers average 12.52 defensive assists and 10.07 turnovers per game (ranked # 148 and 329 respectively).

Betting Summary

Dayton has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Va. Commonwealth Rams to cover the 8.5 point spread and the total to go over 135.5 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#VaCommonwealthRams#DaytonFlyers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Rams vs Flyers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Rams vs Flyers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Va. Commonwealth Rams+310 → +320Moved
  • Moneyline · Dayton Flyers-413 → -405Moved
  • Spread · Va. Commonwealth Rams+9 (-110) → +8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Dayton Flyers-9 (-110) → -8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over138.5 (-110) → 135.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under138.5 (-110) → 135.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Va. Commonwealth Rams
15-9 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Dayton Flyers
21-5 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-2-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-08T11:35:12.765Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Va. Commonwealth Rams and Dayton Flyers, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-02-09Dayton Flyers 47 · Va. Commonwealth Rams 49
  • 2023-03-12Dayton Flyers 56 · Va. Commonwealth Rams 68
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Dayton Flyers defeated Va. Commonwealth Rams 91-86

Dayton Flyers defeated Va. Commonwealth Rams 91-86 on March 8, 2024, a 5-point decision in the series. Dayton Flyers' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 39-32. Against SportsJaw's recorded Va. Commonwealth Rams +8.5 (-110) spread, Va. Commonwealth Rams covered, while the 177 combined points finished over the recorded total of 135.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendSpread · Va. Commonwealth Rams +7.5 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Spread · Dayton Flyers -7.5 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Under 138 (-110)Loss
  • 72dolphinsTotal · Under 138 (-110)Loss
  • PremierPicksTotal · Over 138 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsSpread · Va. Commonwealth Rams +7.5 (-110)Win
  • EmcSpread · Dayton Flyers -7.5 (-110)Loss
  • Lockpicker69Total · Over 138 (-110)Win
  • JtmcentireSpread · Dayton Flyers -8.5 (-110)Loss
  • Leadpipe_LocksTotal · Under 135.5 (-110)Loss
  • MoneymouthSpread · Dayton Flyers -8.5 (-110)Loss