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NCAAB PicksTue 9:00 PM ET
UT
UT Rio Grande Valley70
versus
TA
Tarleton St.
Texans74
14-18
Final
Team12T
UT Rio Grande Valley284270
Tarleton St. Texans314374
NCAAB · UT Rio Grande Valley at Tarleton St. Texans

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UT Rio Grande Valley vs Tarleton St. Texans Predictions March 7, 2023

Game time: March 7, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena — Las Vegas, NV

Article updated Mar 6, 2:14 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The UT Rio Grande Valley are traveling to play the Tarleton St. Texans at the Michelob Ultra Arena stadium on Tuesday, 3/7/2023 @ 9:00pm EST. Tarleton St. is the betting

Game outlook

The UT Rio Grande Valley are traveling to play the Tarleton St. Texans at the Michelob Ultra Arena stadium on Tuesday, 3/7/2023 @ 9:00pm EST. Tarleton St. is the betting favorite opening at -5.5 and the current line is Tarleton St. -7.5.

Vaqueros vs Texans Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Texans to win tonight's game by 2 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the UT Rio Grande Valley to cover the 7.5 point spread and the total to go over 147 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: UT Rio Grande Valley 75 to Tarleton St. 77

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the UT Rio Grande Valley and Tarleton St. Texans, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts UT Rio Grande Valley to cover the spread (53%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tarleton St. will win straight-up is 76%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be RIO 66, tar 81.

OddsShark predicts Tarleton State will win, utrgv will cover, and the total will go under.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

UT Rio Grande Valley Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 323, UT Rio Grande Valley is ranked #33 in offense (scoring an average of 78.67 per game), #349 in defense (allowing an average of 77.80 points to be scored against them per game) and are 15-15 (12-14 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Vaqueros hit an average of 46.90% of their field goals (ranked #51) and 70.10% of their free throws (ranked #243) and makes an average of 34.00% of their three pointers ranked #194 in the NCAAB). They average 38.23 rebounds per game (ranked # 30) and average 16.07 offensive assists and 16.03 turnovers per game (ranked # 21 and 359 respectively).

Defensively speaking, UT Rio Grande Valley allows an average of 43.99% field goals (ranked #205) and 73.28% free throws (ranked #277 in the NCAAB) The Vaqueros allow an average of 33.14% of the three pointers (ranked #136) and averages 34.07 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.07) Finally, the Vaqueros average 16.73 defensive assists and 12.97 turnovers per game (ranked # 354 and 150 respectively).

Tarleton St. Key Betting Stats

Tarleton St. Texans has a power ranking of 160 and are #169 for offense (scoring an average of 72.39 per game), #106 for defense (giving up an average of 67.55 points per game) and 16-15 (13-13-1 ATS) overall. UT Rio Grande Valley went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Tarleton St..

For offense, the Texans hit an average of 45.69% of their field goals (ranked #114) and 69.04% of their free throws (ranked #276) and makes an average of 33.92% of their three pointers (ranked #199 in the NCAAB). They average 31.84 rebounds per game (ranked # 316) and average 12.97 offensive assists and 12.42 turnovers per game (ranked # 187) and 186 respectively).

On defense, Tarleton St. allows an average of 43.69% field goals (ranked #178) and 73.06% free throws (ranked #268 in the NCAAB) The Texans allow an average of 35.30% of the three pointers (ranked #276) and averages 33.61 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.61) Finally, the Texans average 12.52 defensive assists and 18.13 turnovers per game (ranked # 176 and 3 respectively).

Betting Summary

Tarleton St. has the advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the UT Rio Grande Valley to cover the 7.5 point spread and the total to go over 147 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw UT Rio Grande Valley vs Texans archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UT Rio Grande Valley+205 → +260Moved
  • Moneyline · Tarleton St. Texans-225 → -313Moved
  • Spread · UT Rio Grande Valley+5.5 (-110) → +7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Tarleton St. Texans-5.5 (-110) → -7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over151.5 (-110) → 147 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under151.5 (-110) → 147 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

UT Rio Grande Valley
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Tarleton St. Texans
14-18 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-03-06T19:14:22.116Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the UT Rio Grande Valley and Tarleton St. Texans, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-25Tarleton St. Texans 95 · UT Rio Grande Valley 99
  • 2023-02-11Tarleton St. Texans 75 · Utah Tech 71
  • 2023-02-04UT Rio Grande Valley 68 · Tarleton St. Texans 65
  • 2023-01-26Utah Tech 72 · Tarleton St. Texans 74
  • 2023-01-21Tarleton St. Texans 48 · California Baptist 77
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tarleton St. Texans defeated UT Rio Grande Valley 74-70

Tarleton St. Texans defeated UT Rio Grande Valley 74-70 on March 7, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Tarleton St. Texans' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 31-28. Against SportsJaw's recorded UT Rio Grande Valley +7.5 (-110) spread, UT Rio Grande Valley covered, while the 144 combined points finished under the recorded total of 147.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MickeytSpread · UT Rio Grande Valley +5.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · UT Rio Grande Valley +7.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 147 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · UT Rio Grande Valley +7.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 147 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · UT Rio Grande Valley +7.5 (-110)Win
  • MoneymouthSpread · Tarleton St. Texans -7 (-110)Loss