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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Fresno St. Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos
Wed 10:30 PM ET
Fresno St. Bulldogs logo
Fresno St.
Bulldogs58
9-18
versus
New Mexico Lobos logo
New Mexico
Lobos79
19-8
Final
Team12T
Fresno St. Bulldogs243458
New Mexico Lobos374279
NCAAB · Fresno St. Bulldogs at New Mexico Lobos

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Fresno State vs. New Mexico Basketball Showdown Expected to Bring Excitement to The Pit, New Mexico

Game time: March 6, 2024 at 10:30 PM ET

Venue: The Pit — Albuquerque, NM

Article updated Mar 6, 8:14 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

College basketball fans can expect an exciting showdown between Fresno State and New Mexico at The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Fresno State has dominated in recent

Game outlook

College basketball fans can expect an exciting showdown between Fresno State and New Mexico at The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Fresno State has dominated in recent meetings, winning eight out of the last ten matchups. The Lobos hold a significant advantage as the 17.5-point favorite in this game, with the total set at 151.5. Despite opening at -17.5, the current line has shifted to New Mexico -18.5. Be sure to stay updated for the latest Fresno State vs. New Mexico pick and odds.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bulldogs +1,093 | Lobos -2,300

Spread: Bulldogs +18.5 (-110) | Lobos -18.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 152 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New Mexico will win straight-up is 96%.

Fresno St. Bulldogs

In summary, the Fresno State Bulldogs suffered their fifth consecutive loss against Nevada, bringing their record to 11-17. The Bulldogs are struggling with their shooting percentages, particularly from the free-throw line. Despite their solid field-goal percentage, their poor free-throw shooting is a major factor in their struggles. Isaiah Hill led the team with 16 points, but the Bulldogs were unable to overcome Nevada's early lead. With a ranking of 226, Fresno State is ranked 312th in offense and 209th in defense. They are 11-18 for the season and have room for improvement in various aspects of their game. 2⃣3⃣ does it ALL🫨 📺 @CBSSportsNet pic.twitter.com/O00iKh1qPp

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

New Mexico Lobos Analysis

The New Mexico Lobos suffered their second consecutive defeat, falling to Boise State with a final score of 89-79. Despite a strong 9-7 record in the conference and an impressive 12-3 home record, the Lobos are facing challenges in maintaining consistency in their performance. The team is currently ranked 32nd by Bart Torvik and 38th in the KenPom rankings, showcasing their potential for success. New Mexico's offensive statistics are strong, ranking 18th in scoring with an average of 82.75 points per game. However, their shooting percentages from beyond the arc and the free-throw line have room for improvement. Player JT Toppin led the team with 21 points and eight rebounds, showcasing his strong performance throughout the season. On defense, the Lobos have areas where they can tighten up, particularly in their opponent's three-point shooting percentage. Despite these challenges, the Lobos have demonstrated the ability to compete at a high level and will look to bounce back in their upcoming games. Third 20-point game of the season for JT Toppin. #GoLobos 📺 @CBSSportsNet pic.twitter.com/GjZdCnsyrZ

New Mexico Favored to Win, But Unlikely to Cover Spread Against Fresno State

It is probable that New Mexico will emerge victorious in this game, however, winning by an 18-point margin may be unlikely based on historical performance. Despite New Mexico's strong track record this season, Fresno State has historically presented a tough challenge, securing victories in eight of the last 10 matchups between the two teams. While New Mexico has performed well in terms of covering the spread with a 19-8 record, the 18-point spread in this case appears to be excessively high. This game may see a deviation from the usual patterns, with Fresno State losing the game but New Mexico failing to cover the spread. The Lobos have failed to cover the spread in their last four games, while Fresno State has won their last two games and boasts a 5-2 against the spread record in their last seven games.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#FresnoStBulldogs#NewMexicoLobos

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bulldogs vs Lobos archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bulldogs vs Lobos matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Fresno St. Bulldogs+1,000 → +1,000Unchanged
  • Moneyline · New Mexico Lobos-2,200 → -2,200Unchanged
  • Spread · Fresno St. Bulldogs+17.5 (-110) → +17.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · New Mexico Lobos-17.5 (-110) → -17.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over152 (-110) → 153.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under152 (-110) → 153.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Fresno St. Bulldogs
9-18 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Mexico Lobos
19-8 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-06T13:14:27.367Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

New Mexico Lobos defeated Fresno St. Bulldogs 79-58

New Mexico Lobos defeated Fresno St. Bulldogs 79-58 on March 6, 2024, a 21-point decision in the series. New Mexico Lobos' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 37-24. Against SportsJaw's recorded Fresno St. Bulldogs +17.5 (-110) spread, New Mexico Lobos covered, while the 137 combined points finished under the recorded total of 153.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • HitmanhartSpread · New Mexico Lobos -18.5 (-110)Win
  • 1118240754Spread · New Mexico Lobos -18.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 152 (-110)Loss
  • TgodfreyTotal · Over 152 (-110)Loss
  • BrycetSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs +18 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · New Mexico Lobos -18 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 153 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · New Mexico Lobos -18 (-110)Win