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NCAAB PicksTue 8:30 PM ET
Old Dominion Monarchs logo
Old Dominion
Monarchs83
12-21
versus
TE
Texas State92
Final/OT
Team123T
Old Dominion Monarchs3836983
Texas State28461892
NCAAB · Old Dominion Monarchs at Texas State

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Old Dominion Monarchs vs Texas State Predictions March 5, 2024

Game time: March 5, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET

Venue: Pensacola Bay Center — Pensacola, FL

Article updated Mar 5, 6:35 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Old Dominion Monarchs are traveling to play the Texas State at the Pensacola Bay Center stadium on Tuesday, 3/5/2024 @ 8:30pm EST. Texas State is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The Old Dominion Monarchs are traveling to play the Texas State at the Pensacola Bay Center stadium on Tuesday, 3/5/2024 @ 8:30pm EST. Texas State is the betting favorite opening at -4 and the current line is Texas State -3.75.

Monarchs vs Bobcats Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Bobcats to win tonight's game by 11 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Texas State to cover the 4 point spread and the total to go over 136.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Old Dominion 67 to Texas State 78

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Old Dominion Monarchs and Texas State, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

52% of SportsJaw predicts Texas State to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Texas State will win straight-up is 64%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be OLDDO 64.5, TXST 72.

OddsShark predicts Texas State will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

74% picked Texas State on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Old Dominion Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 284, Old Dominion is ranked #276 in offense (scoring an average of 70.33 per game), #295 in defense (allowing an average of 76.00 points to be scored against them per game) and are 7-24 (7-22-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Monarchs hit an average of 41.94% of their field goals (ranked #306) and 66.20% of their free throws (ranked #337) and makes an average of 31.96% of their three pointers ranked #285 in the NCAAB). They average 35.20 rebounds per game (ranked # 194) and average 10.27 offensive assists and 10.80 turnovers per game (ranked # 350 and 84 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Old Dominion allows an average of 43.41% field goals (ranked #166) and 71.09% free throws (ranked #148 in the NCAAB) The Monarchs allow an average of 34.93% of the three pointers (ranked #275) and averages 40.50 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 40.50) Finally, the Monarchs average 14.70 defensive assists and 13.10 turnovers per game (ranked # 317 and 92 respectively).

Texas State Key Betting Stats

Texas State has a power ranking of 109 and are #309 for offense (scoring an average of 68.47 per game), #108 for defense (giving up an average of 69.67 points per game) and 14-17 (14-15 ATS) overall. Old Dominion went 1-1 (1-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Texas State.

For offense, the Bobcats hit an average of 43.89% of their field goals (ranked #231) and 68.99% of their free throws (ranked #296) and makes an average of 32.32% of their three pointers (ranked #268 in the NCAAB). They average 35.53 rebounds per game (ranked # 169) and average 11.80 offensive assists and 13.17 turnovers per game (ranked # 290) and 299 respectively).

On defense, Texas State allows an average of 43.67% field goals (ranked #181) and 73.47% free throws (ranked #288 in the NCAAB) The Bobcats allow an average of 31.52% of the three pointers (ranked #65) and averages 33.67 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.67) Finally, the Bobcats average 11.47 defensive assists and 12.40 turnovers per game (ranked # 73 and 141 respectively).

Betting Summary

Old Dominion has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Texas State to cover the 4 point spread and the total to go over 136.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Monarchs vs Texas State archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Old Dominion Monarchs+150 → +155Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas State-175 → -175Unchanged
  • Spread · Old Dominion Monarchs+4 (-110) → +3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Texas State-4 (-110) → -3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over137 (-110) → 136.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under137 (-110) → 136.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Old Dominion Monarchs
12-21 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-05T11:35:33.812Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Old Dominion Monarchs and Texas State, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-02Texas State 65 · Old Dominion Monarchs 36
  • 2023-02-11Old Dominion Monarchs 70 · Texas State 68
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas State defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 92-83

Texas State defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 92-83 on March 5, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. Texas State's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 46-36. Against SportsJaw's recorded Old Dominion Monarchs +3.5 (-110) spread, Texas State covered, while the 175 combined points finished over the recorded total of 136.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DoclocksSpread · Texas State -4 (-110)Win
  • JohnmiznerSpread · Texas State -3.5 (-110)Win