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NCAAB PicksSun 7:00 PM ET
ST
St. Thomas - Minnesota67
versus
Western Illinois Leathernecks logo
Western Illinois
Leathernecks60
5-26
Final
Team12T
St. Thomas - Minnesota303767
Western Illinois Leathernecks342660
NCAAB · St. Thomas - Minnesota at Western Illinois Leathernecks

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St. Thomas - Minnesota vs Western Illinois Leathernecks Predictions March 5, 2023

Game time: March 5, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Denny Sanford Premier Center — Sioux Falls, SD

Article updated Mar 5, 6:14 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The St. Thomas - Minnesota are traveling to play the Western Illinois Leathernecks at the Denny Sanford PREMIER Center stadium on Sunday, 3/5/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. St. Thomas -

Game outlook

The St. Thomas - Minnesota are traveling to play the Western Illinois Leathernecks at the Denny Sanford PREMIER Center stadium on Sunday, 3/5/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. St. Thomas - Minnesota is the betting favorite opening at -3.5 and the line hasn't moved.

Tommies vs Leathernecks Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Tommies to win tonight's game by 6 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the St. Thomas - Minnesota to cover the 3.5 point spread and the total to go under 147.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: St. Thomas - Minnesota 75 to Western Illinois 69

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the St. Thomas - Minnesota and Western Illinois Leathernecks, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

53% of SportsJaw predicts Western Illinois Leathernecks to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that St. Thomas - Minnesota will win straight-up is 62%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be STMN 77.25, W.ILL 70.25.

OddsShark predicts St. Thomas (MN) will win, cover the spread.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

split down the middle on Covers.com

St. Thomas - Minnesota Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 86, St. Thomas - Minnesota is ranked #110 in offense (scoring an average of 74.70 per game), #189 in defense (allowing an average of 70.13 points to be scored against them per game) and are 18-13 (18-10-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Tommies hit an average of 45.26% of their field goals (ranked #149) and 79.01% of their free throws (ranked #7) and makes an average of 35.42% of their three pointers ranked #122 in the NCAAB). They average 31.33 rebounds per game (ranked # 337) and average 12.93 offensive assists and 10.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 198 and 14 respectively).

Defensively speaking, St. Thomas - Minnesota allows an average of 45.45% field goals (ranked #290) and 75.49% free throws (ranked #343 in the NCAAB) The Tommies allow an average of 33.78% of the three pointers (ranked #185) and averages 34.03 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.03) Finally, the Tommies average 11.70 defensive assists and 12.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 105 and 243 respectively).

Western Illinois Key Betting Stats

Western Illinois Leathernecks has a power ranking of 233 and are #134 for offense (scoring an average of 73.64 per game), #259 for defense (giving up an average of 72.61 points per game) and 16-13 (15-11 ATS) overall. St. Thomas - Minnesota went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Western Illinois.

For offense, the Leathernecks hit an average of 45.33% of their field goals (ranked #143) and 70.43% of their free throws (ranked #224) and makes an average of 32.03% of their three pointers (ranked #296 in the NCAAB). They average 34.86 rebounds per game (ranked # 185) and average 13.82 offensive assists and 10.93 turnovers per game (ranked # 137) and 36 respectively).

On defense, Western Illinois allows an average of 46.09% field goals (ranked #311) and 71.49% free throws (ranked #190 in the NCAAB) The Leathernecks allow an average of 31.94% of the three pointers (ranked #70) and averages 34.86 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.86) Finally, the Leathernecks average 10.32 defensive assists and 11.82 turnovers per game (ranked # 26 and 257 respectively).

Betting Summary

St. Thomas - Minnesota has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the St. Thomas - Minnesota to cover the 3.5 point spread and the total to go under 147.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw St. Thomas - Minnesota vs Leathernecks archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · St. Thomas - Minnesota-170 → -165Moved
  • Moneyline · Western Illinois Leathernecks+145 → +143Moved
  • Spread · St. Thomas - Minnesota-3.5 (-110) → -3.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Western Illinois Leathernecks+3.5 (-110) → +3.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over145.5 (-110) → 147.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under145.5 (-110) → 147.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

St. Thomas - Minnesota
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Western Illinois Leathernecks
5-26 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-03-05T11:14:15.097Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the St. Thomas - Minnesota and Western Illinois Leathernecks, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-18Western Illinois Leathernecks 69 · St. Thomas - Minnesota 82
  • 2023-01-21St. Thomas - Minnesota 56 · Western Illinois Leathernecks 60
  • 2022-12-03UT Rio Grande Valley 72 · Western Illinois Leathernecks 90
  • 2022-11-30Southern Indiana 78 · Western Illinois Leathernecks 86
  • 2022-11-21Western Illinois Leathernecks 77 · UT Rio Grande Valley 78
Final result

Matchup pick recap

St. Thomas - Minnesota defeated Western Illinois Leathernecks 67-60

St. Thomas - Minnesota defeated Western Illinois Leathernecks 67-60 on March 5, 2023, a 7-point decision in the series. St. Thomas - Minnesota's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 37-26. Against SportsJaw's recorded St. Thomas - Minnesota -3.5 (-110) spread, St. Thomas - Minnesota covered, while the 127 combined points finished under the recorded total of 147.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · Western Illinois Leathernecks +3.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Western Illinois Leathernecks +3.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 148.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Western Illinois Leathernecks +3.5 (-110)Loss
  • HitmanhartTotal · Under 148.5 (-110)Win