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NCAAB PicksSat 6:00 PM ET
TE
Texas State71
versus
Marshall Thundering Herd logo
Marshall
Thundering Herd68
19-13
Final
Team12T
Texas State373471
Marshall Thundering Herd383068
NCAAB · Texas State at Marshall Thundering Herd

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Texas State vs Marshall Thundering Herd Predictions March 4, 2023

Game time: March 4, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET

Venue: Pensacola Bay Center — Pensacola, FL

Article updated Mar 3, 10:23 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Texas State are on the road playing the Marshall Thundering Herd at the Pensacola Bay Center stadium on Saturday, 3/4/2023 @ 6:00pm EST. Marshall is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The Texas State are on the road playing the Marshall Thundering Herd at the Pensacola Bay Center stadium on Saturday, 3/4/2023 @ 6:00pm EST. Marshall is the betting favorite opening at -8.5 and the current line is Marshall -8.

Bobcats vs Thundering Herd Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Thundering Herd to win tonight's game by 13 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Marshall Thundering Herd to cover the 8 point spread and the total to go over 146.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Texas State 68 to Marshall 81

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas State and Marshall Thundering Herd, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

53% of SportsJaw users predict Texas State to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Marshall will win straight-up is 78%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be TXST 65.25, MARSH 81.25.

OddsShark 's prediction is Marshall will win, cover the spread, and the total will go under.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Texas State Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 289, Texas State is ranked #319 in offense (scoring an average of 66.09 per game), #110 in defense (allowing an average of 67.69 points to be scored against them per game) and are 15-18 (10-18-2 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Bobcats hit an average of 43.91% of their field goals (ranked #224) and 72.77% of their free throws (ranked #136) and makes an average of 30.53% of their three pointers ranked #340 in the NCAAB). They average 32.50 rebounds per game (ranked # 297) and average 9.94 offensive assists and 11.78 turnovers per game (ranked # 356 and 104 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Texas State allows an average of 45.16% field goals (ranked #279) and 72.05% free throws (ranked #212 in the NCAAB) The Bobcats allow an average of 36.36% of the three pointers (ranked #324) and averages 30.69 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 30.69) Finally, the Bobcats average 10.78 defensive assists and 12.38 turnovers per game (ranked # 41 and 197 respectively).

Marshall Key Betting Stats

Marshall Thundering Herd has a power ranking of 119 and are #10 for offense (scoring an average of 82.19 per game), #218 for defense (giving up an average of 71.29 points per game) and 24-7 (19-11 ATS) overall. Texas State went 1-0 (1-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Marshall.

For offense, the Thundering Herd hit an average of 46.56% of their field goals (ranked #68) and 69.10% of their free throws (ranked #274) and makes an average of 33.51% of their three pointers (ranked #230 in the NCAAB). They average 39.29 rebounds per game (ranked # 12) and average 17.77 offensive assists and 11.77 turnovers per game (ranked # 4) and 101 respectively).

On defense, Marshall allows an average of 41.96% field goals (ranked #74) and 63.59% free throws (ranked #1 in the NCAAB) The Thundering Herd allow an average of 31.85% of the three pointers (ranked #68) and averages 38.87 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 38.87) Finally, the Thundering Herd average 12.45 defensive assists and 15.13 turnovers per game (ranked # 168 and 38 respectively).

Betting Summary

Marshall has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Marshall Thundering Herd to cover the 8 point spread and the total to go over 146.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Texas State vs Thundering Herd archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas State+315 → +290Moved
  • Moneyline · Marshall Thundering Herd-383 → -360Moved
  • Spread · Texas State+8.5 (-110) → +8 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Marshall Thundering Herd-8.5 (-110) → -8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over147 (-110) → 146.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under147 (-110) → 146.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Marshall Thundering Herd
19-13 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-03-04T03:23:03.347Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas State and Marshall Thundering Herd, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-19Marshall Thundering Herd 81 · Texas State 73
  • 2022-11-21Chicago State 70 · Marshall Thundering Herd 82
  • 2022-11-17Marshall Thundering Herd 95 · Miami (OH) 69
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas State defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 71-68

Texas State defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 71-68 on March 4, 2023, a 3-point decision in the series. Texas State's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 34-30. Against SportsJaw's recorded Texas State +8 (-110) spread, Texas State covered, while the 139 combined points finished under the recorded total of 146.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · Marshall Thundering Herd -8 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 146.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Marshall Thundering Herd -8 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 146.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Marshall Thundering Herd -8 (-110)Loss