TCU Horned Frogs Poised to Upset Utah State in NCAA Tournament Midwest Regional Matchup
The Midwest Regional matchup between No. 8 Utah State and No. 9 TCU on Friday night will feature two teams looking to bounce back from recent tournament losses. TCU, with a
Game outlook
The Midwest Regional matchup between No. 8 Utah State and No. 9 TCU on Friday night will feature two teams looking to bounce back from recent tournament losses. TCU, with a record of 21-12 SU and 19-14 ATS, fell to Houston in the Big 12 quarterfinals, while Utah State, at 27-6 SU and 14-14-3 ATS, was defeated by San Diego State in the Mountain West semifinals. The game is set to take place at 9:40 EST at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, with TCU opening as the -3.5 favorite and the current line standing at TCU -4.
Betting Odds
Moneyline: Horned Frogs -180 | Aggies +154
Spread: Horned Frogs -4 (-110) | Aggies +4 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 150.5 (-110)
Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that TCU will win straight-up is 64%.
TCU Horned Frogs
TCU had a challenging schedule this season, with a non-conference strength of schedule ranking of 357. They had a record of 3-10 against tournament teams, with wins over Houston, Baylor, and Texas Tech. The team struggled towards the end of the season, going 3-5 in their last seven games and losing in the quarterfinals of their conference tournament. Offensively, they averaged 73.4 points per game in their last five games and 79.2 points per game overall, ranking third in the Big 12. They shot 46.5% from the field and 35.6% from three-point range, with a +4.5-rebound differential. Defensively, TCU allowed 71.2 points per game and ranked 12th in the conference. They averaged 9.1 steals and 3.8 blocks per game, with opponents shooting 44.6% from the field and 32.8% from three-point range against them. The team had a 1.33 assist-to-turnover ratio. TCU had three players averaging at least 11.1 points per game, led by Emanuel Miller with 15.9 points and 5.9 rebounds per game. Their power ranking was 102, with a 52 ranking in offense and 155 ranking in defense. The team had a record of 21-12 (19-14 ATS) this season. Offensively, they shot 46.49% from the field and 72.96% from the free-throw line, making 35.57% of their three-pointers. Defensively, TCU allowed 44.55% shooting from the field and 69.91% from the free-throw line, with opponents making 32.78% of their three-pointers. They averaged 37.03 rebounds and 16.94 assists per game.

