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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. TCU Horned Frogs vs Utah State Aggies
Fri 9:55 PM ET
TCU Horned Frogs logo
TCU
Horned Frogs72
16-13
versus
Utah State Aggies logo
Utah State
Aggies88
25-6
Final
Team12T
TCU Horned Frogs373572
Utah State Aggies434588
NCAAB · TCU Horned Frogs at Utah State Aggies

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TCU Horned Frogs Poised to Upset Utah State in NCAA Tournament Midwest Regional Matchup

Game time: March 22, 2024 at 9:55 PM ET

Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse — Indianapolis, IN

Article updated Mar 20, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Midwest Regional matchup between No. 8 Utah State and No. 9 TCU on Friday night will feature two teams looking to bounce back from recent tournament losses. TCU, with a

Game outlook

The Midwest Regional matchup between No. 8 Utah State and No. 9 TCU on Friday night will feature two teams looking to bounce back from recent tournament losses. TCU, with a record of 21-12 SU and 19-14 ATS, fell to Houston in the Big 12 quarterfinals, while Utah State, at 27-6 SU and 14-14-3 ATS, was defeated by San Diego State in the Mountain West semifinals. The game is set to take place at 9:40 EST at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, with TCU opening as the -3.5 favorite and the current line standing at TCU -4.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Horned Frogs -180 | Aggies +154

Spread: Horned Frogs -4 (-110) | Aggies +4 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 150.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that TCU will win straight-up is 64%.

TCU Horned Frogs

TCU had a challenging schedule this season, with a non-conference strength of schedule ranking of 357. They had a record of 3-10 against tournament teams, with wins over Houston, Baylor, and Texas Tech. The team struggled towards the end of the season, going 3-5 in their last seven games and losing in the quarterfinals of their conference tournament. Offensively, they averaged 73.4 points per game in their last five games and 79.2 points per game overall, ranking third in the Big 12. They shot 46.5% from the field and 35.6% from three-point range, with a +4.5-rebound differential. Defensively, TCU allowed 71.2 points per game and ranked 12th in the conference. They averaged 9.1 steals and 3.8 blocks per game, with opponents shooting 44.6% from the field and 32.8% from three-point range against them. The team had a 1.33 assist-to-turnover ratio. TCU had three players averaging at least 11.1 points per game, led by Emanuel Miller with 15.9 points and 5.9 rebounds per game. Their power ranking was 102, with a 52 ranking in offense and 155 ranking in defense. The team had a record of 21-12 (19-14 ATS) this season. Offensively, they shot 46.49% from the field and 72.96% from the free-throw line, making 35.57% of their three-pointers. Defensively, TCU allowed 44.55% shooting from the field and 69.91% from the free-throw line, with opponents making 32.78% of their three-pointers. They averaged 37.03 rebounds and 16.94 assists per game.

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Utah State Aggies Analysis

The Utah State Aggies have a strong offensive game, ranking 45th in scoring with an average of 79.79 points per game. The team is shooting 49.32% from the field and 33.07% from three-point range. They are also solid on defense, holding opponents to an average of 70.27 points per game and allowing a field goal percentage of 43.62%. The team is led by Mountain West Player of the Year Great Osobor, who averages 18 points and 9.2 rebounds per game. The Aggies have a 27-6 record and enter the tournament ranked 20th in the AP poll. Their offense has been a key factor in their success, averaging 78.7 points per game down the stretch.

TCU Horned Frogs Poised to Upset Utah State in NCAA Tournament

The Texas A&M Aggies and TCU Horned Frogs have a history of two face-offs, with the Aggies holding a 2-0 record. Their most recent meeting occurred in 1982. Both teams faced a common opponent this season, resulting in losses to Nevada. The Mountain West Conference exceeded expectations by sending six teams to the tournament, although the Big 12 outperformed with their season performance. Despite a challenging stretch, TCU demonstrated resilience and deserves credit for reaching this point. The Horned Frogs have the potential to stifle the Utah State offense, drawing inspiration from San Diego State's success in limiting their scoring. TCU has proven to be a strong contender against the spread, boasting a 6-4 record in their last ten games. In contrast, Utah State struggled with a 3-5-2 ATS record during the same stretch. Considering these factors, it is advisable to prioritize the Horned Frogs in terms of point spread.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Horned Frogs vs Aggies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Horned Frogs vs Aggies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · TCU Horned Frogs-160 → -175Moved
  • Moneyline · Utah State Aggies+140 → +155Moved
  • Spread · TCU Horned Frogs-3.5 (-110) → -3.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Utah State Aggies+3.5 (-110) → +3.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over150.5 (-110) → 149.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under150.5 (-110) → 149.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

TCU Horned Frogs
16-13 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Utah State Aggies
25-6 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-21T02:35:57.640Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Utah State Aggies defeated TCU Horned Frogs 88-72

Utah State Aggies defeated TCU Horned Frogs 88-72 on March 22, 2024, a 16-point decision in the series. Utah State Aggies' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 45-35. Against SportsJaw's recorded TCU Horned Frogs -3.5 (-110) spread, Utah State Aggies covered, while the 160 combined points finished over the recorded total of 149.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MiamimikeSpread · Utah State Aggies +4 (-110)Win
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Over 150.5 (-110)Win
  • BillywatersSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -4 (-110)Loss
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Utah State Aggies -4 (-110)Win
  • MackintoshSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -4 (-110)Loss
  • MikeVargasTotal · Over 150.5 (-110)Win
  • CovergirlSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -4 (-110)Loss
  • PurplebloodSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -4 (-110)Loss
  • MickeytSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -4 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Spread · Utah State Aggies +4 (-110)Win
  • Roderick806Spread · TCU Horned Frogs -4 (-110)Loss
  • 1735203231Spread · Utah State Aggies +4 (-110)Win
  • MtgoldsteinSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -4 (-110)Loss
  • JamescashiolaTotal · Under 149.5 (-110)Loss